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• 31. [Article] Spatial and Temporal Variability of Glacier Melt in the McMurdo Dry Valleys, Antarctica

  In the McMurdo Dry Valleys, Victoria Land, East Antarctica, melting of glacial ice is the primary source of water to streams, lakes, and associated ecosystems. To better understand meltwater production, ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Spatial and Temporal Variability of Glacier Melt in the McMurdo Dry Valleys, Antarctica Author: Hoffman, Matthew James Year: 2011 In the McMurdo Dry Valleys, Victoria Land, East Antarctica, melting of glacial ice is the primary source of water to streams, lakes, and associated ecosystems. To better understand meltwater production, three hypotheses are tested: 1) that small changes in the surface energy balance on these glaciers will result in large changes in melt, 2) that subsurface melt does not contribute significantly to runoff, and 3) that melt from 25-m high terminal cliffs is the dominant source of baseflow during cold periods. These hypotheses were investigated using a surface energy balance model applied to the glaciers of Taylor Valley using 14 years of meteorological data and calibrated to ablation measurements. Inclusion of transmission of solar radiation into the ice through a source term in a one-dimensional heat transfer equation was necessary to accurately model summer ablation and ice temperatures. Results showed good correspondence between calculated and measured ablation and ice temperatures over the 14 years using both daily and hourly time steps, but an hourly time step allowed resolution of short duration melt events and melt within the upper 15 cm of the ice. Resolution of short duration melt events was not important for properly resolving seasonal ablation totals. Across the smooth surfaces of the glaciers, ablation was dominated by sublimation and melting was rare. Above freezing air temperatures did not necessarily result in melt, and low wind speed was important for melt initiation. According to the model, subsurface melt between 5 and 15 cm depth was extensive and lasted for up to six weeks in some summers. The model was better able to predict ablation if some subsurface melt was assumed to drain, lowering ice density, consistent with observations of a low density weathering crust that forms over the course of the summer on Dry Valley glaciers. In extreme summers, drainage of subsurface melt may have contributed up to half of the observed surface lowering through reduction of ice density and possibly through collapse of highly weathered ice. When applied spatially, the model successfully predicted proglacial streamflow at seasonal and daily time scales. This was despite omitting a routing scheme, and instead assuming that all melt generated exits the glacier on the same day, suggesting refreezing is not substantial. Including subsurface melt as runoff improved predictions of runoff volume and timing, particularly for the recession of large flood peaks. Because overland flow was rarely observed over much of these glaciers, these model results suggest that runoff may be predominantly transported beneath the surface in a partially melted permeable layer of weathered ice. According to the model, topographic basins, particularly the low albedo basin floors, played a prominent role in runoff production. Smooth glacier surfaces exhibited low melt rates, but were important during high melt conditions due to their large surface area. Estimated runoff contributions from cliffs and cryoconite holes was somewhat smaller than suggested in previous studies. Spatial and temporal variability in albedo due to snow and debris played a dominant role in flow variations between streams and seasons. In general, the model supported the existing assumption that snowmelt is insignificant, but in extreme melt years snowmelt in the accumulation area may contribute significantly to runoff in some locations. Title: Spatial and Temporal Variability of Glacier Melt in the McMurdo Dry Valleys, Antarctica Author: Hoffman, Matthew James Year: 2011 In the McMurdo Dry Valleys, Victoria Land, East Antarctica, melting of glacial ice is the primary source of water to streams, lakes, and associated ecosystems. To better understand meltwater production, three hypotheses are tested: 1) that small changes in the surface energy balance on these glaciers will result in large changes in melt, 2) that subsurface melt does not contribute significantly to runoff, and 3) that melt from 25-m high terminal cliffs is the dominant source of baseflow during cold periods. These hypotheses were investigated using a surface energy balance model applied to the glaciers of Taylor Valley using 14 years of meteorological data and calibrated to ablation measurements. Inclusion of transmission of solar radiation into the ice through a source term in a one-dimensional heat transfer equation was necessary to accurately model summer ablation and ice temperatures. Results showed good correspondence between calculated and measured ablation and ice temperatures over the 14 years using both daily and hourly time steps, but an hourly time step allowed resolution of short duration melt events and melt within the upper 15 cm of the ice. Resolution of short duration melt events was not important for properly resolving seasonal ablation totals. Across the smooth surfaces of the glaciers, ablation was dominated by sublimation and melting was rare. Above freezing air temperatures did not necessarily result in melt, and low wind speed was important for melt initiation. According to the model, subsurface melt between 5 and 15 cm depth was extensive and lasted for up to six weeks in some summers. The model was better able to predict ablation if some subsurface melt was assumed to drain, lowering ice density, consistent with observations of a low density weathering crust that forms over the course of the summer on Dry Valley glaciers. In extreme summers, drainage of subsurface melt may have contributed up to half of the observed surface lowering through reduction of ice density and possibly through collapse of highly weathered ice. When applied spatially, the model successfully predicted proglacial streamflow at seasonal and daily time scales. This was despite omitting a routing scheme, and instead assuming that all melt generated exits the glacier on the same day, suggesting refreezing is not substantial. Including subsurface melt as runoff improved predictions of runoff volume and timing, particularly for the recession of large flood peaks. Because overland flow was rarely observed over much of these glaciers, these model results suggest that runoff may be predominantly transported beneath the surface in a partially melted permeable layer of weathered ice. According to the model, topographic basins, particularly the low albedo basin floors, played a prominent role in runoff production. Smooth glacier surfaces exhibited low melt rates, but were important during high melt conditions due to their large surface area. Estimated runoff contributions from cliffs and cryoconite holes was somewhat smaller than suggested in previous studies. Spatial and temporal variability in albedo due to snow and debris played a dominant role in flow variations between streams and seasons. In general, the model supported the existing assumption that snowmelt is insignificant, but in extreme melt years snowmelt in the accumulation area may contribute significantly to runoff in some locations. Close

• 32. [Article] Hydrologic Response to Extreme Warm and Cold Summers in the McMurdo Dry Valleys, East Antarctica

  The meteorological characteristics and hydrological response of an extreme warm, and cold summer in the McMurdo Dry Valleys are compared. The driver behind the warmer summer conditions was the occurrence ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Hydrologic Response to Extreme Warm and Cold Summers in the McMurdo Dry Valleys, East Antarctica Author: Doran, Peter T., McKay, Christopher P., Fountain, Andrew G., Nylen, Thomas H., McKnight, Diane M., Jaros, Chris, Barrett, John E. Year: 2008 The meteorological characteristics and hydrological response of an extreme warm, and cold summer in the McMurdo Dry Valleys are compared. The driver behind the warmer summer conditions was the occurrence of down-valley winds, which were not present during the colder summer. Occurrence of the summer down-valley winds coincided with lower than typical mean sea level pressure in the Ross Sea region. There was no significant difference in the amount of solar radiation received during the two summers. Compared to the cold summer, glaciological and hydrological response to the warm summer in Taylor Valley included significant glacier mass loss, and 3- to nearly 6000-fold increase in annual streamflow. Lake levels decreased slightly during the cold summer, and increased between 0.54 and 1.01 m during the warm summer, effectively erasing the prior 14 years of lake level lowering in a period of three months. Lake level rise during the warm summer was shown to be strongly associated with and increase in degree days above freezing at higher elevations. We suggest that strong summer down-valley winds may have been responsible for the generation of large glacial lakes during the Last Glacial Maximum when ice core records recorded annual temperatures significantly colder than present. Title: Hydrologic Response to Extreme Warm and Cold Summers in the McMurdo Dry Valleys, East Antarctica Author: Doran, Peter T., McKay, Christopher P., Fountain, Andrew G., Nylen, Thomas H., McKnight, Diane M., Jaros, Chris, Barrett, John E. Year: 2008 The meteorological characteristics and hydrological response of an extreme warm, and cold summer in the McMurdo Dry Valleys are compared. The driver behind the warmer summer conditions was the occurrence of down-valley winds, which were not present during the colder summer. Occurrence of the summer down-valley winds coincided with lower than typical mean sea level pressure in the Ross Sea region. There was no significant difference in the amount of solar radiation received during the two summers. Compared to the cold summer, glaciological and hydrological response to the warm summer in Taylor Valley included significant glacier mass loss, and 3- to nearly 6000-fold increase in annual streamflow. Lake levels decreased slightly during the cold summer, and increased between 0.54 and 1.01 m during the warm summer, effectively erasing the prior 14 years of lake level lowering in a period of three months. Lake level rise during the warm summer was shown to be strongly associated with and increase in degree days above freezing at higher elevations. We suggest that strong summer down-valley winds may have been responsible for the generation of large glacial lakes during the Last Glacial Maximum when ice core records recorded annual temperatures significantly colder than present. Close

• 33. [Article] Glacier Status and Contribution to Streamflow in the Olympic Mountains, USA

  The Olympic Peninsula, Washington, USA, currently holds 184 alpine glaciers larger than 0.01 km² and their combined area is 30.2 ± 0.95km². Only four glaciers are >1km² and 120 of the others are -¹ (1900–80) ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Glacier Status and Contribution to Streamflow in the Olympic Mountains, USA Author: Riedel, Jon L., Wilson, Steve, Baccus, William, Larrabee, Michael, Fudge, T.J., Fountain, Andrew G. Year: 2015 The Olympic Peninsula, Washington, USA, currently holds 184 alpine glaciers larger than 0.01 km² and their combined area is 30.2 ± 0.95km². Only four glaciers are >1km² and 120 of the others are -¹ (1900–80) to 0.54 km² a-¹ (1980–2009). Thinning rates on four of the largest glaciers averaged nearly 1ma-¹ from 1987 to 2010, resulting in estimated volume losses of 17–24%. Combined glacial snow, firn and ice melt in the Hoh watershed is in the range 63–79 ± 7 × 106m3, or 9–15% of total May–September streamflow. In the critical August–September period, the glacial fraction of total basin runoff increases to 18–30%, with one-third of the water directly from glacial ice (i.e. not snow and firn). Glaciers in the Elwha basin produce 12–15 ± 1.3 × 106m3 (2.5–4.0%), while those in the Dungeness basin contribute 2.5–3.1 ± 0.28 × 106m3 (3.0–3.8%). Title: Glacier Status and Contribution to Streamflow in the Olympic Mountains, USA Author: Riedel, Jon L., Wilson, Steve, Baccus, William, Larrabee, Michael, Fudge, T.J., Fountain, Andrew G. Year: 2015 The Olympic Peninsula, Washington, USA, currently holds 184 alpine glaciers larger than 0.01 km² and their combined area is 30.2 ± 0.95km². Only four glaciers are >1km² and 120 of the others are -¹ (1900–80) to 0.54 km² a-¹ (1980–2009). Thinning rates on four of the largest glaciers averaged nearly 1ma-¹ from 1987 to 2010, resulting in estimated volume losses of 17–24%. Combined glacial snow, firn and ice melt in the Hoh watershed is in the range 63–79 ± 7 × 106m3, or 9–15% of total May–September streamflow. In the critical August–September period, the glacial fraction of total basin runoff increases to 18–30%, with one-third of the water directly from glacial ice (i.e. not snow and firn). Glaciers in the Elwha basin produce 12–15 ± 1.3 × 106m3 (2.5–4.0%), while those in the Dungeness basin contribute 2.5–3.1 ± 0.28 × 106m3 (3.0–3.8%). Close

• 34. [Article] Onset of deglacial warming in West Antarctica driven by local orbital forcing

  To the best of our knowledge, one or more authors of this paper were federal employees when contributing to this work. This is the publisher’s final pdf. The published article is copyrighted by Macmillan ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Onset of deglacial warming in West Antarctica driven by local orbital forcing Author: Mortensen, Nicolai, Edwards, R. Lawrence, Popp, Trevor J., Brook, Edward J., Neff, Peter, Edwards, Ross, Sowers, Todd, Cole-Dai, Jihong, Markle, Bradley R., Johnson, Jay, Hargreaves, Geoffrey, Schauer, Andrew J., Cuffey, Kurt M., Fegyveresi, John M., White, James W. C., Alley, Richard B., Clow, Gary D., McGwire, Kenneth C., Ding, Qinghua, Mitchell, Logan E., Fitzpatrick, Joan J., Schoenemann, Spruce W., Steig, Eric J., Fudge, T. J., Maselli, Olivia J., Mason, William, Ferris, David, Orsi, Anais J., Edwards, Jon S., Taylor, Kendrick C., McConnell, Joseph R., Conway, Howard, Lee, James E., Cheng, Hai To the best of our knowledge, one or more authors of this paper were federal employees when contributing to this work. This is the publisher’s final pdf. The published article is copyrighted by Macmillan Publishers Limited and can be found at: http://www.macmillan.com/. Title: Onset of deglacial warming in West Antarctica driven by local orbital forcing Author: Mortensen, Nicolai, Edwards, R. Lawrence, Popp, Trevor J., Brook, Edward J., Neff, Peter, Edwards, Ross, Sowers, Todd, Cole-Dai, Jihong, Markle, Bradley R., Johnson, Jay, Hargreaves, Geoffrey, Schauer, Andrew J., Cuffey, Kurt M., Fegyveresi, John M., White, James W. C., Alley, Richard B., Clow, Gary D., McGwire, Kenneth C., Ding, Qinghua, Mitchell, Logan E., Fitzpatrick, Joan J., Schoenemann, Spruce W., Steig, Eric J., Fudge, T. J., Maselli, Olivia J., Mason, William, Ferris, David, Orsi, Anais J., Edwards, Jon S., Taylor, Kendrick C., McConnell, Joseph R., Conway, Howard, Lee, James E., Cheng, Hai To the best of our knowledge, one or more authors of this paper were federal employees when contributing to this work. This is the publisher’s final pdf. The published article is copyrighted by Macmillan Publishers Limited and can be found at: http://www.macmillan.com/. Close

• 35. [Article] Sequence of events from the onset to the demise of the Last Interglacial: Evaluating strengths and limitations of chronologies used in climatic archives

  This is the publisher’s final pdf. The published article is copyrighted by the author(s) and published by Elsevier. The published article can be found at: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/quaternary-sc...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Sequence of events from the onset to the demise of the Last Interglacial: Evaluating strengths and limitations of chronologies used in climatic archives Author: Masson-Delmotte, V., Waelbroeck, C., Blunier, T., Capron, E., Tzedakis, P. C., Hillaire-Marcel, C., Seidenkrantz, M.-S., Zahn, R., Ghaleb, B., Veres, D., Bazin, L., Bassinot, F., Jimenez-Amat, P., Landais, A., Govin, A., St-Onge, G., Martrat, B., Parrenin, F., Genty, D., Verheyden, S., Stoner, J. S., Gersonde, R., Combourieu-Nebout, N., El Ouahabi, A. This is the publisher’s final pdf. The published article is copyrighted by the author(s) and published by Elsevier. The published article can be found at: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/quaternary-science-reviews/ Title: Sequence of events from the onset to the demise of the Last Interglacial: Evaluating strengths and limitations of chronologies used in climatic archives Author: Masson-Delmotte, V., Waelbroeck, C., Blunier, T., Capron, E., Tzedakis, P. C., Hillaire-Marcel, C., Seidenkrantz, M.-S., Zahn, R., Ghaleb, B., Veres, D., Bazin, L., Bassinot, F., Jimenez-Amat, P., Landais, A., Govin, A., St-Onge, G., Martrat, B., Parrenin, F., Genty, D., Verheyden, S., Stoner, J. S., Gersonde, R., Combourieu-Nebout, N., El Ouahabi, A. This is the publisher’s final pdf. The published article is copyrighted by the author(s) and published by Elsevier. The published article can be found at: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/quaternary-science-reviews/ Close

• 36. [Article] The Holocene History of Nares Strait: Transition from Glacial Bay to Arctic-Atlantic Throughflow

  This is the publisher's version of record. The original submission is copyrighted by Oceanography Society and can be found here: http://www.tos.org/

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: The Holocene History of Nares Strait: Transition from Glacial Bay to Arctic-Atlantic Throughflow Author: Francus, Pierre, Sheldon, Christina, Andrews, John, Stoner, Joseph, Cronin, Thomas M., Jennings, Anne E. This is the publisher's version of record. The original submission is copyrighted by Oceanography Society and can be found here: http://www.tos.org/ Title: The Holocene History of Nares Strait: Transition from Glacial Bay to Arctic-Atlantic Throughflow Author: Francus, Pierre, Sheldon, Christina, Andrews, John, Stoner, Joseph, Cronin, Thomas M., Jennings, Anne E. This is the publisher's version of record. The original submission is copyrighted by Oceanography Society and can be found here: http://www.tos.org/ Close

• 37. [Article] Thorium-230 normalized particle flux and sediment focusing in the Panama Basin region during the last 30,000 years

  Copyright 2007 by the American Geophysical Union

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Thorium-230 normalized particle flux and sediment focusing in the Panama Basin region during the last 30,000 years Author: Francois, R., Kienast, M., Calvert, S. E., Kienast, S. S., Mix, Alan C. Copyright 2007 by the American Geophysical Union Title: Thorium-230 normalized particle flux and sediment focusing in the Panama Basin region during the last 30,000 years Author: Francois, R., Kienast, M., Calvert, S. E., Kienast, S. S., Mix, Alan C. Copyright 2007 by the American Geophysical Union Close

• 38. [Article] Eastern Pacific Warm Pool paleosalinity and climate variability: 0–30 kyr

  Multiproxy geologic records of δ18O and Mg/Ca in fossil foraminifera from sediments under the Eastern Pacific Warm Pool (EPWP) region west of Central America document variations in upper ocean temperature, ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Eastern Pacific Warm Pool paleosalinity and climate variability: 0–30 kyr Author: Haley, Brian A., Benway, Heather M., Mix, Alan C., Klinkhammer, Gary P. Multiproxy geologic records of δ18O and Mg/Ca in fossil foraminifera from sediments under the Eastern Pacific Warm Pool (EPWP) region west of Central America document variations in upper ocean temperature, pycnocline strength, and salinity (i.e., net precipitation) over the past 30 kyr. Although evident in the paleotemperature record, there is no glacial-interglacial difference in paleosalinity, suggesting that tropical hydrologic changes do not respond passively to high-latitude ice sheets and oceans. Millennial variations in paleosalinity with amplitudes as high as ~4 practical salinity units occur with a dominant period of ~3–5 ky during the glacial/deglacial interval and ~1.0–1.5 ky during the Holocene. The amplitude of the EPWP paleosalinity changes greatly exceeds that of published Caribbean and western tropical Pacific paleosalinity records. EPWP paleosalinity changes correspond to millennial-scale climate changes in the surface and deep Atlantic and the high northern latitudes, with generally higher (lower) paleosalinity during cold (warm) events. In addition to Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) dynamics, which play an important role in tropical hydrologic variability, changes in Atlantic-Pacific moisture transport, which is closely linked to ITCZ dynamics, may also contribute to hydrologic variations in the EPWP. Calculations of interbasin salinity average and interbasin salinity contrast between the EPWP and the Caribbean help differentiate long-term changes in mean ITCZ position and Atlantic-Pacific moisture transport, respectively. Title: Eastern Pacific Warm Pool paleosalinity and climate variability: 0–30 kyr Author: Haley, Brian A., Benway, Heather M., Mix, Alan C., Klinkhammer, Gary P. Multiproxy geologic records of δ18O and Mg/Ca in fossil foraminifera from sediments under the Eastern Pacific Warm Pool (EPWP) region west of Central America document variations in upper ocean temperature, pycnocline strength, and salinity (i.e., net precipitation) over the past 30 kyr. Although evident in the paleotemperature record, there is no glacial-interglacial difference in paleosalinity, suggesting that tropical hydrologic changes do not respond passively to high-latitude ice sheets and oceans. Millennial variations in paleosalinity with amplitudes as high as ~4 practical salinity units occur with a dominant period of ~3–5 ky during the glacial/deglacial interval and ~1.0–1.5 ky during the Holocene. The amplitude of the EPWP paleosalinity changes greatly exceeds that of published Caribbean and western tropical Pacific paleosalinity records. EPWP paleosalinity changes correspond to millennial-scale climate changes in the surface and deep Atlantic and the high northern latitudes, with generally higher (lower) paleosalinity during cold (warm) events. In addition to Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) dynamics, which play an important role in tropical hydrologic variability, changes in Atlantic-Pacific moisture transport, which is closely linked to ITCZ dynamics, may also contribute to hydrologic variations in the EPWP. Calculations of interbasin salinity average and interbasin salinity contrast between the EPWP and the Caribbean help differentiate long-term changes in mean ITCZ position and Atlantic-Pacific moisture transport, respectively. Close

• 39. [Article] Relative timing and variability of atmospheric methane and GISP2 oxygen isotopes between 68 and 86 ka

  This is the publisher’s final pdf. The published article is copyrighted by the American Geophysical Union and can be found at: http://www.agu.org/journals/gb/index.shtml.

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Relative timing and variability of atmospheric methane and GISP2 oxygen isotopes between 68 and 86 ka Author: Brook, Edward J., Severinghaus, Jeffrey P., Grachev, Alexi M., Pisias, Nicklas G. This is the publisher’s final pdf. The published article is copyrighted by the American Geophysical Union and can be found at: http://www.agu.org/journals/gb/index.shtml. Title: Relative timing and variability of atmospheric methane and GISP2 oxygen isotopes between 68 and 86 ka Author: Brook, Edward J., Severinghaus, Jeffrey P., Grachev, Alexi M., Pisias, Nicklas G. This is the publisher’s final pdf. The published article is copyrighted by the American Geophysical Union and can be found at: http://www.agu.org/journals/gb/index.shtml. Close

• 40. [Article] Impact of the Ocean’s Overturning Circulation on Atmospheric CO2

  A coupled climate-carbon cycle model and ice core CO2 data from the last glacial period are used to explore the impact of changes in ocean circulation on atmospheric CO2 concentrations on millennial time ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Impact of the Ocean’s Overturning Circulation on Atmospheric CO2 Author: Brook, Edward J., Schmittner, Andreas, Ahn, Jinho A coupled climate-carbon cycle model and ice core CO2 data from the last glacial period are used to explore the impact of changes in ocean circulation on atmospheric CO2 concentrations on millennial time scales. In the model, stronger wind driven circulation increases atmospheric CO2. Changes in the buoyancy driven deep overturning in the Atlantic affect atmospheric CO2 only indirectly through their effect on Southern Ocean stratification. In simulations with an abrupt and complete shutdown of the Atlantic overturning, stratification in the Southern Ocean decreases due to salinification of surface waters and freshening of the deep sea. Deeper mixed layers and steeper isopycnals lead to outgassing of CO2 in the Southern Ocean and hence gradually increasing atmospheric CO2 concentrations on a multi-millennial time scale. The rise in CO2 terminates at the time of rapid resumption of deep water formation and warming in the North Atlantic, and CO2 levels subsequently gradually decrease. These model responses and a strong correlation between simulated atmospheric CO2 and Antarctic surface air temperatures with little or no time lag are consistent with newly synchronized ice core data from the last ice age. Sensitivity experiments reveal that the amplitude of the response of atmospheric CO2 is sensitive to the model background climatic state and decreases in a colder climate owing to smaller changes in the overturning. Title: Impact of the Ocean’s Overturning Circulation on Atmospheric CO2 Author: Brook, Edward J., Schmittner, Andreas, Ahn, Jinho A coupled climate-carbon cycle model and ice core CO2 data from the last glacial period are used to explore the impact of changes in ocean circulation on atmospheric CO2 concentrations on millennial time scales. In the model, stronger wind driven circulation increases atmospheric CO2. Changes in the buoyancy driven deep overturning in the Atlantic affect atmospheric CO2 only indirectly through their effect on Southern Ocean stratification. In simulations with an abrupt and complete shutdown of the Atlantic overturning, stratification in the Southern Ocean decreases due to salinification of surface waters and freshening of the deep sea. Deeper mixed layers and steeper isopycnals lead to outgassing of CO2 in the Southern Ocean and hence gradually increasing atmospheric CO2 concentrations on a multi-millennial time scale. The rise in CO2 terminates at the time of rapid resumption of deep water formation and warming in the North Atlantic, and CO2 levels subsequently gradually decrease. These model responses and a strong correlation between simulated atmospheric CO2 and Antarctic surface air temperatures with little or no time lag are consistent with newly synchronized ice core data from the last ice age. Sensitivity experiments reveal that the amplitude of the response of atmospheric CO2 is sensitive to the model background climatic state and decreases in a colder climate owing to smaller changes in the overturning. Close