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2301. [Article] Science basis for changing forest structure to modify wildfire behavior and severity
Fire, other disturbances, physical setting, weather, and climate shape the structure and function of forests throughout the Western United States. More than 80 years of fire research have shown that physical ...Citation Citation
- Title:
- Science basis for changing forest structure to modify wildfire behavior and severity
- Author:
- Graham, Russell T., McCaffrey, Sarah, Jain, Theresa B.
Fire, other disturbances, physical setting, weather, and climate shape the structure and function of forests throughout the Western United States. More than 80 years of fire research have shown that physical setting, fuels, and weather combine to determine wildfire intensity (the rate at which it consumes fuel) and severity (the effect fire has on vegetation, soils, buildings, watersheds, and so forth). Millions of acres of forestlands (mainly in dry forests dominated by ponderosa pine and/or Douglas-fir) contain a high accumulation of flammable fuels compared to conditions prior to the 20th century. Forests with high stem density and fuel loading combined with extreme fire weather conditions have led to severe and large wildfires (such as those seen in the summers of 2000, 2002, and 2003) that have put a number of important values at risk. Although homes in the path of a wildfire are perhaps the most immediately recognized value, these wildfires also put numerous other human and ecological values at risk, such as power grids, drinking water supplies, firefighter safety, critical habitat, soil productivity, and air quality. For a given set of weather conditions, fire behavior is strongly influenced by stand and fuel structure. Crown fires in the dry forest types represent an increasing challenge for fire management as well as a general threat to the ecology of these forests and the closely associated human values. Crown fires are dependent on the sequence of available fuels starting from the ground surface to the canopy. Limiting crown fire in these forests can be accomplished by actions that manage in concert the surface, ladder, and crown fuels. Reducing crown fire and wildland fire growth across landscapes decreases the chances of developing large wildfires that affect human values adjacent to forested areas. However, a narrow focus on minimizing crown fire potential will not necessarily reduce the damage to homes and ecosystems when fires do occur. Homes are often ignited by embers flying far from the fire front, and by surface fires. Fire effects on ecosystems can also occur during surface fires where surface and understory fuels and deep organic layers are sufficient to generate high temperatures for long periods. Fuel treatments can help produce forest structures and fuel characteristics that then reduce the likelihood that wildfires will cause large, rapid changes in biophysical conditions. Fuel treatments can also help modify fire behavior sufficiently so that some wildfires can be suppressed more easily. Subsequent, sustained fuel treatments can maintain these conditions. Different fuel reduction methods target different components of the fuel bed. Thinning mainly affects standing vegetation, and other types of fuel treatments such as prescribed fire and pile burning woody fuels are needed to modify the combustion environment of surface fuels. In forests that have not experienced fire for many decades, multiple fuel treatments—that is, thinning and surface fuel reduction—may be required to significantly affect crown fire and surface fire hazard. Fuel treatments cannot guarantee benign fire behavior but can reduce the probability that extreme fire behavior will occur. Fuel treatments can be designed to restore forest conditions to a more resilient and resistant condition than now exists in many forests, and subsequent management could maintain these conditions, particularly in dry forests (ponderosa pine and Douglas-fir) where crown fires were historically infrequent. The degree of risk reduction will depend to some degree on the level of investment, social and economic acceptability of treatments, and concurrent consideration of other resource values (for example, wildlife). This report describes the kinds, quality, amount, and gaps of scientific knowledge for making informed decisions on fuel treatments used to modify wildfire behavior and effects in dry forests of the interior Western United States (especially forests dominated by ponderosa pine and Douglas-fir). A review of scientific principles and applications relevant to fuel treatment primarily for the dry forests is provided for the following topics: fuels, fire hazard, fire behavior, fire effects, forest structure, treatment effects and longevity, landscape fuel patterns, and scientific tools useful for management and planning.
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Remote sensing techniques have long been useful in quantifying changes in ecosystems and the field of remote sensing is constantly evolving to better assess and describe changes, both spatially and temporally. ...
Citation Citation
- Title:
- Quantification of Ecological Change Using Repeat Photography and Ground Based Lidar
- Author:
- Batchelor, Jonathan L.
Remote sensing techniques have long been useful in quantifying changes in ecosystems and the field of remote sensing is constantly evolving to better assess and describe changes, both spatially and temporally. In this thesis I explored the novel use of two remote sensing methods to quantify ecosystems; repeat photograph to describe change over time, and ground based lidar to describe change spatially. Using repeat photography, I assessed the effects of the removal of livestock in riparian systems at Hart Mountain National Antelope Refuge in southeastern Oregon, 23 years after the cessation of cattle grazing. I compared photos taken before grazing was ended with later retake photos. Two methods were used for this assessment: 1) a qualitative visual method comparing seven cover types and processes and 2) a new quantitative method of inserting digital line transects into photos. Results indicated that channel widths and eroding banks decreased in 64% and 73% of sites, respectively. I found a 90% decrease in the amount of bare soil (p<0.001) and a 63 % decrease in exposed channel (p<0.001) as, well as a significant increase in the cover of grasses/sedges/forbs (15% increase, p=0.037), rushes (389% increase, p=0.014) and willow (388% increase, P<0.001). I also assessed the accuracy of the new method of inserting digital line transects into photo pairs. An overall accuracy of 91% (kappa 83%) suggests digital line transects can be a useful tool for quantifying vegetation cover from photos. My results indicate that the removal of cattle can result in dramatic changes in riparian vegetation, even in semi-arid landscapes and without active restoration treatments. I used ground based lidar to quantify forest structure in a spatially explicit manner. The structural complexity of a forest has profound influences on its ecological functioning and overall health. The arrangement and amount of aboveground biomass are two important components of this structural complexity that influence the biodiversity in a forest ecosystem. In this paper, I explored and develop novel depth and openness metrics derived from single point ground-based lidar scans, which can quantify this complexity to a higher level of detail. Depth is a 3D, radial measure of the visible distance in all directions from a location (e.g., at the scanner origin). Openness is the percent of scan pulses in the near-omnidirectional view without a return,. To derive these metrics, I collected 243 scans at 27 forested stands in the Pacific Northwest region of the United States, representing a broad range of forest structure types. I created structural signatures using depth and openness for each stand and determined that our metrics could reliably differentiate forests. These metrics were compared to several traditional metrics: diameter at breast height (DBH), basal area, and diameter diversity index (DDI). The mean and variance in DBH of trees, basal area, and DDI of each stand were determined by generating isovists (polygons measuring visible space from a location) derived from point cloud cross sections. Interestingly, there was only weak to moderate correlation observed between depth or openness metrics when compared with the mean and variance in DBH, basal area, and DDI, suggesting that our new metrics (depth and openness) quantify a wider range of aspects of structure at the stand and plot level that are not captured by those traditional metrics. The proposed metrics can quantify forest structure at a high level of precision, reduce observer bias, and preserve a level of complexity lost in simple indices. The proposed metrics have great potential for quantifying change in forested systems, and describing habitat for organisms.
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2303. [Article] Modeling Transport, Retention, and Growth of Early Life Stages of Small Pelagic Fishes in the Southern Humboldt System
Small pelagic fishes (SPF), such as anchovies and sardines, are ecologically important due to their large abundance and intermediate trophic position that links plankton production to upper trophic levels. ...Citation Citation
- Title:
- Modeling Transport, Retention, and Growth of Early Life Stages of Small Pelagic Fishes in the Southern Humboldt System
- Author:
- Gomez, Fabian A.
Small pelagic fishes (SPF), such as anchovies and sardines, are ecologically important due to their large abundance and intermediate trophic position that links plankton production to upper trophic levels. They are also economically important, supporting large fisheries that contribute to one fourth of the world fish landings. Reproductive success in SPF strongly depends on environmental factors acting on early life stages (ELS). Among these factors are ocean circulation, habitat temperature, prey and predators. Understanding the coupling between ocean circulation and ELS is relevant to obtain insights on the processes that control SPF abundance. Using a numerical modeling approach, this dissertation examines spatiotemporal patterns in dispersal, growth and survival of ELS of anchovy (Engraulis ringens) and common sardine (Strangomera bentincki) in the southern Humboldt System (off central Chile). Three model components are integrated: 1) a realistically driven three-dimensional high-resolution ocean circulation model, coupled to an eight-component lower trophic level model (LTLM), which reproduces the main physics and plankton dynamics experienced by fish ELS; 2) a particle-tracking model (PTM) to simulate ELS dispersal; and 3) an Individual Based Model (IBM) of bioenergetics to simulate ELS development, growth, and survival. A combination of remotely sensed observations and the outputs of the ocean model are used in Chapter 2 to document the impact of intraseasonal upwelling variability on plankton abundance and structure. Intraseasonal changes in phytoplankton are consistent with alongshore wind disturbances due to Madden-Julian oscillations. The phytoplankton intraseasonal variability exhibits largest amplitude in spring-summer, a feature related to the background seasonal conditions in ocean stratification and light. Chapter 3 documents variability in ELS dispersal using the PTM. We examine if patterns in anchovy and sardine spawning promote shelf retention and prey availability for ELS. We show that the timing of spawning (Aug-Oct) is only partially linked to high retention, but also demonstrate that the main spawning locations along the coast favor high coastal retention year-round. Experiments with ontogenetic diel vertical migration (ODVM) schemes increase retention and spawning-to-nursery connectivity. We suggest that the main spawning period is mostly explained by enhanced prey availability and connectivity, whereas inner shelf spawning and ODVM are the main strategies to increase retention of larvae nearshore. Chapter 4 examines anchovy ELS development, growth, and survival derived from an IBM. Mortality rate is assumed to decline with individual development and size, and increases with temperature. Dispersal patterns strongly determine individual growth and survival. Passive individuals initialized at 5 m depth growth fast near the coast, but they experience strong food limitation when advected far offshore. Passive individuals initialized at 20 m depth have the largest nearshore retention, but slow growth and survival due to low temperature and prey abundance. A favorable trade-off between high retention and growth was derived from individuals initialized at 10 m. Ontogenetic and diel vertical migration increased retention and survival over the shelf, but decreased larval growth. This study advances understanding of the interplay of multiple processes that modulate the timing and intensity of spawning, distribution, growth and survival of small pelagic fish in coastal upwelling ecosystems. It also documents the need for more and better field studies to represent better crucial early life stage traits and processes, such as vertical distribution, larval foraging, mortality, and bioenergetics.
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2304. [Article] Dispersal Behavior in African Buffalo (Syncerus caffer) : Tradeoffs Between Nutritional Resources and Disease Exposure
Dispersal facilitates population health and maintains resilience in species via gene flow. Adult dispersal occurs in some species, is often facultative, and is poorly understood, but has important management ...Citation Citation
- Title:
- Dispersal Behavior in African Buffalo (Syncerus caffer) : Tradeoffs Between Nutritional Resources and Disease Exposure
- Author:
- Spaan, Robert Steven
Dispersal facilitates population health and maintains resilience in species via gene flow. Adult dispersal occurs in some species, is often facultative, and is poorly understood, but has important management implications, particularly with respect to disease spread. Although the role of adult dispersal in spreading disease has been documented, the potential influence of disease on dispersal has received little attention. African buffalo (Syncerus caffer) are wide ranging and harbor many pathogens that can affect nearby livestock. Dispersal of adult buffalo has been well documented, but ecological and social drivers of buffalo dispersal are poorly understood. At the individual level, animals must balance the potential benefits of dispersal against its costs. Costs may be incurred in the form of risk, such as mortality or potential injury while dispersing, energetic and time costs associated with the energy and time invested in dispersing, and costs associated with lost opportunities, e.g. reduced fecundity due to unfamiliar surroundings and social groups. Disease in particular is another poorly-understood but potentially important factor influencing costs and benefits of dispersal. Dispersal from a crowded habitat may offer an escape from high pathogen and parasite exposure risk, conversely dispersing individuals in this stressful period may have reduced immunity and consequently be more susceptible to infections. In addition, if pathogen exposure profiles differ among social groups, dispersing animals may face new pathogen challenges to which they are immunologically naïve to, when they arrive at a new social group. However, few studies have estimated dispersal costs of large mammals, particularly those with facultative adult dispersal. First, we investigated drivers of adult buffalo dispersal to determine whether likelihood of dispersal for individual female buffalo was influenced by (1) animal traits, including age, condition, and reproductive status (2) herd membership, (3) environmental variables - season and year, (4) gastro-intestinal parasites - strongyles, coccidia and schistosomes and (5) microparasite infections - bovine tuberculosis (Mycobacterium bovis) and brucellosis (Brucella abortus). The likelihood and drivers of buffalo dispersal varied by herd, area and year. In the Lower Sabie herd younger individuals were more likely to disperse, with most dispersal occurring in the early wet season and during an unusually dry year, 2009. In the Crocodile Bridge area buffalo in poor condition were most likely to disperse. Our findings suggest that dispersal of female buffalo is driven by either seasonal (Lower Sabie), or perhaps social (Crocodile Bridge) resource restriction. We found no direct effects of infections on buffalo dispersal, assuaging fears that highly infectious individuals might be more prone to dispersing, which could accelerate the spatial spread of infectious diseases. Second, we investigated: (1) effects of dispersal on fitness, by comparing survival, and fecundity of dispersing and philopatric (control) buffalo, as well as comparing the difference in pre and post dispersal body condition of dispersers with the change of body condition of philopatric control animals for the same period; (2) disease risks associated with dispersal, by determining whether burdens of gastro-intestinal parasites and the incidence of bacterial and viral infections changed during dispersal. No significant difference in mortality risk or fecundity was observed between dispersing and philopatric control animals, nor did change in body condition differ. However, we detected disease consequences of dispersal that varied by location. Dispersers from the resource-limited herd suffered more bovine tuberculosis and brucellosis infections after dispersal, both of which are chronic infections with clear, long term effects on survival and fecundity, when compared to controls from the same location. Dispersers from the less resource-limited herds had increases in schistosome burdens. Schistosomes are parasitic worms with relatively minor health effects; relatively long-lived but not as long as the life of the host (i.e., buffalo can reduce their burdens). Previous work has shown that adult buffalo disperse in response to resource limitation due to seasonal forage shortages or density dependent
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Riparian ecosystems play numerous and essential roles related to the quality and flow of water, and food/habitat for fish, and varieties of wildlife. Due to lateral and linear linkages throughout the landscape, ...
Citation Citation
- Title:
- The ecology of riparian ecosystems of Northeast Oregon : shrub recovery at Meadow Creek and the structure and biomass of headwater Upper Grande Ronde ecosystems
- Author:
- Case, Richard L.
Riparian ecosystems play numerous and essential roles related to the quality and flow of water, and food/habitat for fish, and varieties of wildlife. Due to lateral and linear linkages throughout the landscape, these zones influence the integrity of the terrestrial as well as the entire aquatic-riverine ecosystem. Since Euro-American settlement in the West, the structure and condition of many riparian ecosystems has been significantly altered. To provide tools and an ecological perspective related to riparian restoration and management, and to document late 20th century headwater riparian structure and biomass in the Upper Grande Ronde Basin, this research project was undertaken. At Meadow Creek, the response of riparian hardwood species to the termination of livestock grazing was quantified. Regression equations were developed to predict shrub biomass. Permanently marked hardwood plants were measured annually to quantify parameters of growth (height, crown area, mainstem diameter, number of stems, biomass). Permanent belt transects on gravel bars were utilized to quantify rates of shrub establishment. Elk/deer-proof exclosures allowed the quantification of the browsing influence of wild ungulates. In 1991, initial shrub heights and densities reflected decades of grazing pressure. Mean heights of515 woody plants (14 species) was 47 cm and densities on gravel bars averaged 10.7 plants/100m². After two seasons without livestock grazing, mean crown volumes of willows (Salix spp.) increased 550% inside of wild ungulate exclosures and 195% outside, black cottonwood (Populus trichocarpa) 773% inside and 808% outside, and thin-leaf alder (Almis incana) 1046% inside and 198% outside, respectively. Willows were significantly impeded (p<0.Ol) mule deer and Rocky Mountain elk, alder samples were too small to statistically test, and cottonwood was not significantly impeded. However, impacts by deer and elk may be exaggerated due to high densities and the ungulate density-dynamics unique within the 77 km² Starkey Experimental Forest big-game enclosure surrounding the study site. Establishment rates are low at this time, i.e., only 10% of previously suppressed willows produced catkins. Although in transects densities increased by 5 new woody plants/lOOm² (50m of streambank). Other non-anthropogenic factors influencing the recovery of shrubs, included beaver which removed mainstems from 20% of willows, 11% of thin-leaf alder, and 4% of black cottonwood, and active insect defoliation which was noted on 16% of willows, 7% of thin-leaf alder, and 0% of black cottonwood. Crude protein levels measured in willow and alder leaves was relatively high (16.1 to 16.3%) helping to explain their palatability and use by wild and domestic herbivores. Few studies have quantified biomass, structure and composition of headwater riparian ecosystems. Data such as this are important given their dominant roles in ecosystem biodiversity, and aquatic function. To document relatively intact forested headwater ripanan conditions in the Upper Grande Ronde Basin, the biomass, structure and composition along six headwater reaches was quantified. Sampling was done using a nested belt transect/plot arrangement along 500 meter reaches. Total aboveground biomass (TAGB) ranged from 203 to 261 Mg/ha, with overstory conifers contributing 101 to 177 Mg/ha. Living understory components (saplings, seedlings, shrubs, and herbs) comprised 5 to 18 Mg/ha (2 to 9% of TAGB), while forest floor detrital accumulations comprised 65 to 101 Mg/ha (29 to 42% of TAGB). Average shade per day for July, 1993 ranged between 53% and 75%, reducing the unshaded solar energy potential of 2390 Mj/day to between 680 and 1280 Mj/day striking each m² of stream surface. This baseline reference information can serve in multi-disciplined research, as well as, be a basis for long term studies of natural systems responding to changing climate and different resource management scenarios.
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2306. [Article] Direct and indirect effects of livestock grazing intensity on processes regulating grassland bird populations
In grasslands, grazing by large ungulates can influence vegetation structure, composition, primary productivity, and ultimately, ecosystem functioning. While grazing represents a complex disturbance, grazing ...Citation Citation
- Title:
- Direct and indirect effects of livestock grazing intensity on processes regulating grassland bird populations
- Author:
- Johnson, Tracey N.
In grasslands, grazing by large ungulates can influence vegetation structure, composition, primary productivity, and ultimately, ecosystem functioning. While grazing represents a complex disturbance, grazing intensity largely determines the effects of grazing on vegetation. Structural and compositional changes in the plant community caused by grazing could have bottom-up effects on species and interactions at higher trophic levels. Thus, particular management strategies for domestic livestock in rangeland systems could exert a strong affect on grassland wildlife. Grassland-dependent songbirds may be particularly susceptible to the effects of domestic grazers because they depend on grassland vegetation for foraging and nesting. Domestic livestock may influence grassland-breeding bird populations by affecting settlement decisions, resource availability, or reproductive success. We investigated the effects of grazing intensity on grassland vegetation structure and songbird demography in a northwestern bunchgrass prairie using paddocks with experimentally-manipulated cattle stocking rates. We compared effects of four stocking rates (0, 14.4, 28.8, and 43.2 animal unit months) on songbirds using a randomized complete block design with four replicates of each stocking rate to address hypotheses regarding demography of grassland songbirds. Overall paddock-level vegetation structure decreased and structural heterogeneity of vegetation increased with higher stocking rates, and those effects carried over one-year post-grazing. However, most bird species were able to locate nesting sites with similar vegetation structure regardless of paddock-level effects of stocking rate. The exceptions were western meadowlarks and vesper sparrows; nests of these species in paddocks with higher stocking rates had less vegetative cover. Apparent nest density for grasshopper sparrows was negatively affected by higher stocking rates. Grazing treatment effects on songbird population density were restricted to negative effects of higher stocking rates on savannah sparrows, but this relationship was not observed until the post-treatment year. Songbird community composition differed between control and heavily-grazed paddocks, but diversity was not affected by stocking rate. Nest fates were evaluated to determine whether stocking rate influenced nest survival or cause-specific nest failure. Other variables such as vegetation structure and predator community, date, year, and nest age were included to help clarify which mechanisms might be responsible for differences in nest survival or failure rates among treatments. For our analysis, we introduce the use of a novel software package, McNestimate, to estimate the daily probability of nest survival and failure from specific causes. McNestimate estimates the probability of nest failure from competing causes when the exact dates of failure are unknown using a Markov Chain framework, and incorporates a model selection approach which allows the use of covariates to help identify variables important in explaining variation in the daily probability of nest failure. Nest predation rates increased with the age of the nest and throughout the breeding season, but were not affected by stocking rate. The probability of nest failure from adverse weather declined throughout the season, but the rate of decline depended on year. Nest failure rates due to trampling were higher in paddocks with higher stocking rates, but also depended on the number of days cattle were present during the nesting period. Patterns of overall probability of nest success were driven by predation patterns in the first year, but in the second year were strongly influenced by the chances of weather-related nest failure. Although starvation was not identified as a significant source of nest failure, grazing-induced changes to vegetation structure and composition could influence food availability for breeding songbirds, ultimately affecting the composition of nestling diets and nestling condition. To better understand the relationship between grazing intensity, nestling diet composition, and subsequent effects on nestling condition, we examined the invertebrate composition of nestling fecal samples. All species showed strong preferences for Lepidoptera (moths and butterflies) larvae, and partial preferences for Coleoptera (beetles) and Araneae (spiders). The proportion of preferred prey items was not affected by stocking rate. There were effects of bird species on the proportion of Araneae and Coleoptera and the proportion of Acrididae (short-horned grasshoppers) in the diet of western meadowlark nestlings decreased with high stocking rates. Growth rates for western meadowlarks and vesper sparrows were negatively affected by higher stocking rates. These results suggest that stocking rates can have variable effects on grassland songbird population and nest density depending on each species' habitat requirements. However, negative effects of high stocking rates on nest survival and nestling condition could have consequences for juvenile survival and recruitment. Overall, low-to-moderate stocking rates are likely compatible with many grassland bird species in northwest bunchgrass prairie, and although heavier livestock grazing may help create suitable vegetation structure for some songbird species, high stocking rates may influence grassland songbird diet quality, or have negative effects on nestling condition. We hypothesized that grazing intensity could influence the grassland songbird community through "bottom-up" effects on vegetation, but effects of grazing at different intensities did not translate directly through the food web to influence songbird populations as strongly as lower trophic levels. Processes responsible for changes in community composition such as immigration or emigration may not have had time to ensue during our short-term experiment; alternatively, sufficient spatial or temporal heterogeneity remained in the system, even at the highest grazing intensity, such that grazing-induced changes in lower trophic levels were irrelevant for most songbird species. Our results contribute to understanding grassland songbird demographic responses to different grazing intensities and identify specific mechanisms by which conservation measures for declining grassland bird populations can be improved.
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2307. [Article] The physiology ecology and run diversity of adult Pacific lamprey, Entosphenus tridentatus, during the freshwater spawning migration
Pacific lamprey, Entosphenus tridentatus, have shown recent and rapid declines in abundance. These anadromous fish return to streams where they mature, spawn and die. It has been inferred that Pacific ...Citation Citation
- Title:
- The physiology ecology and run diversity of adult Pacific lamprey, Entosphenus tridentatus, during the freshwater spawning migration
- Author:
- Clemens, Benjamin Jacob, 1976-
Pacific lamprey, Entosphenus tridentatus, have shown recent and rapid declines in abundance. These anadromous fish return to streams where they mature, spawn and die. It has been inferred that Pacific lamprey enter freshwater and reside for ~ 1 year before spawning. This long exposure to the freshwater environment may affect the plasticity of the maturation process and the migration timing of Pacific lamprey. Diversity in run times and body size has been observed for Pacific lamprey, yet it is unknown if this diversity is induced by the freshwater environment or if it is genetic. My first goal was to describe the maturation and migration characteristics of adult Pacific lamprey during their freshwater migration. My second goal was to use these data to make an estimation of the run diversity in Pacific lamprey. I conducted three complementary studies, in the laboratory and the field, to achieve these goals. I held immature adult lamprey (non-ripe fish that had ceased parasitic feeding in the ocean and had returned to freshwater) in the laboratory at temperatures that mimicked what these fish would experience in the wild, during the summer (mean: 21.8 °C), and another group of lamprey at cooler temperature (mean: 13.6 °C) to compare maturation timing and characteristics. The warm water group of lamprey showed significantly greater proportional decreases in body mass following temperature exposure than fish in the cooler water. All fish exposed to the warm water matured the following spring (8-10 months later) whereas only about half of the fish from the cool water exposure matured. To understand the migration distances and timing of adult Pacific lamprey, I tracked radio-tagged fish throughout the Willamette Basin above Willamette Falls, Oregon, by airplane and recorded their location. Fish migrated primarily during the spring to early summer period before stopping during the remainder of summer, when peak river temperatures (≥ 20°C) occurred. These fish tended to remain stationary through the fall and winter. However, at least a few fish continued to migrate upstream after September. I monitored maturation characteristics of adult Pacific lamprey, over time at Willamette Falls, Oregon and compared these fish with recent migrants collected from the Pacific Ocean as they entered freshwater. The results suggest a unimodal spawn timing between April and June, at water temperatures < 20 °C. Between July and mid-September, as water temperatures peaked at ~ 25 °C, relatively immature fish for both sexes prevailed. Warm summer temperatures coincided with an increase and prevalence of testicular atrophy in males, and I also observed a large die-off of lamprey during this time. The immature fish had maturation stages and phenotypic characteristics similar to recent migrants collected at the mouth of the Klamath River, suggesting that the immature fish at Willamette Falls would spawn the following year, and spawners in any given year may have been recent migrants during the previous year. However there is a temporal overlap in the spring of immature and mature fish, and I found evidence from gonad histology of maturing fish as they entered the river from the ocean, suggesting that a cohort is comprised of recent migrants that spawn within several weeks of entering freshwater, and another cohort is comprised of recent migrants that mature and spawn at least 1 year later. I hypothesize that the recent migrants that would likely spawn shortly after entering freshwater are akin to a winter or "ocean maturing" steelhead, Oncorhynchus mykiss, that optimizes feeding and growth in the open ocean for a few years before entering freshwater to spawn low in the river system shortly afterwards. Alternatively, these lamprey may be similar to coastal cutthroat trout, O. clarki clarki, that feed and grow in the coastal areas of the ocean for a few months before entering freshwater to spawn. There could be other less apparent explanations as well. I also hypothesize that the lamprey that would likely spawn within ~ 1 year of entering freshwater are akin to a "stream maturing" steelhead that foregoes feeding and growth opportunities, enters freshwater during the summer – fall, and accesses spawning grounds to spawn at temperatures that promote evolutionary fitness via successful spawning the following spring. Based on the results of my research, I hypothesize that warm summer temperatures (> 20 °C) can act as a strong selection factor against stream maturing Pacific lamprey in two ways. First, these temperatures may expedite their maturation, while at the same time slowing their migration. If these hypotheses are true, then I predict an uncoupling of spawn timing with optimal habitat characteristics, that would promote fitness, in the upper watershed. Second, summer temperatures may cause gonad atrophy and death prior to spawning. This scenario may select for ocean maturing Pacific lamprey.
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2308. [Article] Cruise ship disturbance to Kittlitz's murrelets (Brachyramphus brevirostris) in Glacier Bay National Park and Preserve, Alaska
The Kittlitz's murrelet (Brachyramphus brevirostris), a small pursuit-diving seabird in the family Alcidae, occurs across much of coastal Alaska and parts of the Russian Far East. Glacier Bay National ...Citation Citation
- Title:
- Cruise ship disturbance to Kittlitz's murrelets (Brachyramphus brevirostris) in Glacier Bay National Park and Preserve, Alaska
- Author:
- Marcella, Timothy K.
The Kittlitz's murrelet (Brachyramphus brevirostris), a small pursuit-diving seabird in the family Alcidae, occurs across much of coastal Alaska and parts of the Russian Far East. Glacier Bay National Park, located in Southeast Alaska, is believed to support approximately 37% of the worldwide breeding population of Kittlitz's murrelets during the summer months. Recent concern over apparent population declines in Alaska, coupled with the Park's dual mandate of resource preservation and visitation, led to this study. Cruise ships, although not the most numerous vessel type operating in Glacier Bay, have previously been identified as the vessel type eliciting the greatest disturbance response from Kittlitz's murrelets. During the murrelet breeding seasons in 2011 and 2012, my field assistants and I collected focal observations of 4,251 Brachyramphus murrelets from the bow of cruise ships traveling through Glacier Bay. Identification of murrelets to species was hampered by both the distance at which murrelets responded to the approaching ship and the type of response to the ship (diving vs. flushing). For roughly 40% of focal observations of murrelets from cruise ships, the species of murrelet (Kittlitz's murrelet or marbled murrelet [B. marmoratus]) could not be identified. Apparent habitat partitioning by the two murrelet species in Glacier Bay resulted in 79% of identified murrelets in the upper section of the Bay (Upper Bay) being Kittlitz's murrelets, while 83% of identified murrelets in the lower section of the Bay (Lower Bay) were marbled murrelets. In the Upper Bay, cruise ships are predicted to disturb 61% of all murrelets within 850 m on either side of the cruise ship's course (i.e., elicited a flushing or diving response), whereas in the Lower Bay, cruise ships are predicted to disturb 72% of murrelets within 850 m of the ship's course. Using Cox multistate models, I demonstrated that murrelets in the Upper Bay (predominantly Kittlitz's murrelets) were more likely to dive than flush in response to approaching cruise ships, whereas murrelets in the Lower Bay (predominantly marbled murrelets) were more likely to flush than dive. Also, murrelets in the Upper Bay responded to cruise ships by flushing or diving at shorter distances from the ship compared to murrelets in the Lower Bay. Murrelets in both areas of Glacier Bay generally reacted to cruise ships at greater distances when the ship approached indirectly, presumably because of the larger profile presented by a passing ship as opposed to a directly advancing ship. Absolute distance of the cruise ship from a focal murrelet was a strong predictor of murrelet disturbance response; no other management-relevant covariates that were measured during this study (e.g., ship velocity, distance to shore, whether a cruise ship had entered the Bay earlier that day) explained a significant proportion of the variation in murrelet response. Inferences based on data collected on-board cruise ships were limited to murrelet disturbance responses that occurred within 1 km of the ship. This was because of limits to the distance from the ship at which behavioral responses could be observed and the a priori assumption that disturbance to murrelets by cruise ships was unlikely at distances greater than 1 km. Results from shipboard observations indicated that some proportion of murrelets encountered at the farthest distance we could make inferences were on occasion disturbed (point estimate at 850 m perpendicular distance from ship's course = 15-30% probability of flushing or diving). This suggests that disturbance of murrelets by cruise ships in Glacier Bay exceeded expected distance thresholds. In order to investigate the effects of cruise ships on murrelet behavior at distances greater than 1 km, my assistants and I collected a total of 643 focal observations of Kittlitz's murrelets during 181 hours of observation from land-based observation sites in the Upper Bay during the 2012 field season. By combining these data with AIS and GPS ship tracks, I was able to append distance to the nearest cruise ship to each focal murrelet observation and search for patterns in murrelet behavior. By collecting data in this manner, I was able to avoid biasing the study based on pre-conceived notions of what constituted a threshold distance for cruise ships to disturb Kittlitz's murrelets. Using a segmented regression model within a logistic regression framework, I found that Kittlitz's murrelets exhibited a disturbance threshold (defined as an increased incidence of flushing from the water) by cruise ships at distances of at least 1.6 km, and perhaps as great as 6.0 km, with a best estimate of threshold disturbance distance at 3.8 km from a cruise ship. When cruise ships were greater than 3.8 km from focal Kittlitz's murrelets, the baseline probability of murrelets flushing during a focal observation period was 12.5%. When cruise ships were less than 3.8 km from focal Kittlitz's murrelets, the probability of flushing increased logistically with decreasing distance to an estimated 48% for the closest approach distances. The unexpectedly long distances at which murrelet behavior was affected by cruise ships in Glacier Bay is most likely attributable to social facilitation by other disturbed murrelets, because similar numbers of murrelets flushed when cruise ships were approaching (n = 30) as when they were receding (n = 27). Once a Kittlitz's murrelet flushed from the water, the subsequent duration of flight did not vary with distance to the nearest cruise ship. Instead, the duration of Kittlitz's murrelet flight was associated with time of day. The strong association between the proximity of cruise ships and the probability of a murrelet flushing, even at distances of several kilometers, demonstrates that Kittlitz's murrelets in Glacier Bay are susceptible to disturbance from cruise ships at distances greater than has previously been published for any seabird.
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2309. [Article] Evaluating the data-poor fishery stock assessment method, DB-SRA
Depletion-Based Stock Reduction Analysis (DB-SRA; Dick and MacCall, 2011) is a catch-only fisheries stock assessment model that has been developed to estimate an overfishing limit (OFL) in data-poor situations. ...Citation Citation
- Title:
- Evaluating the data-poor fishery stock assessment method, DB-SRA
- Author:
- Owashi, Brandon R.
Depletion-Based Stock Reduction Analysis (DB-SRA; Dick and MacCall, 2011) is a catch-only fisheries stock assessment model that has been developed to estimate an overfishing limit (OFL) in data-poor situations. DB-SRA projects the biomass trajectories of a stock by means of a catch time series and five parameters: the instantaneous, per annum, rate of natural mortality (M), age at 50% maturity, F[subscript MSY]/M, B[subscriptMSY]/B₀, and the predicted depletion of the stock from its unfished condition. F[subscriptMSY]/M is the rate of fishing mortality associated with the maximum sustainable yield (MSY) divided by the natural mortality rate, and B[subscriptMSY]/B₀ is the biomass level associated with the MSY divided by the unfished level of biomass. DB-SRA performs a Monte Carlo simulation where a large number of random parameter draws are made based on the input parameter’s prior distribution. Based on the catch time series, a biomass trajectory is produced to estimate a feasible set of input parameters and an OFL. The run and corresponding set of input parameters are not retained if the biomass trajectory goes below zero. In instances where the input parameter prior distributions are unknown, Dick and MacCall (2011) proposed a set of default values for two life history types (rockfish and flatfish). Although DB-SRA has been evaluated to some extent and is currently being used for management of data-poor species on the U.S. west coast, further evaluation is warranted. Like other fisheries assessment models, DB-SRA makes several assumptions that may have large influence on outputs and have largely gone untested. First, in essence DB-SRA assumes that only mature fish are caught in the fishery; this is rarely true on the U.S. West Coast and elsewhere, particularly for species with substantial recreational catch. Second, most stock assessment methods, including DB-SRA, are applied to large regions (e.g., U.S. west coast), assuming the population dynamics and fishing behavior remain consistent across the entire area. Market demands and habitat, among other factors, can lead to heterogeneity in population dynamics and fishing behavior. For instance, immature fish are often caught in recreational fisheries, but commercial fisheries tend to target larger fish, causing fishing impact to change across regions. I developed a two-region operating model that simulated data to generate input parameter expected values and a catch time series for each region, then conducted a factorial experiment to investigate the effect of four factors on DB-SRA (version 4) results: (1) different positions of the selectivity curve (the relative vulnerability to fishing of each age class) relative to the maturity curve; (2) spatial scale (separate by region versus combined); (3) exploitation history; and (4) life history type (rockfish and flatfish). The position of the selectivity curve influences the accuracy of the OFL estimates from DB-SRA, whereas the exploitation history has little effect. The OFL estimates are overestimated when the selectivity curve is to the right of the maturity curve and underestimated when the selectivity curve is to the left of the maturity curve. DB-SRA produces higher OFL estimates when two regions are used instead of one large region. Dividing the catch data into multiple regions resulted in higher OFL estimates than one combined region when the same input parameters and catch time series were used. An updated production function, for mimicking population dynamics, was implemented in DB-SRA (version 4), creating separate time lags for mortality and production (recruitment and growth). Instead of setting the time lags for mortality and production equal to the age at 50% maturity (version 3), the time lag for mortality has been changed to one year (version 4). Although the version 4 DB-SRA model has been used for fishery management, it has not been formally evaluated against version 3 to understand the impacts of this change on model results. To investigate the two versions, I looked at different positions of the selectivity curve relative to the maturity curve, different exploitation histories, and varying spatial scale for two life history types. The OFL estimates from version 3 of DB-SRA were larger than the OFL estimates from version 4, which is also evident in the biomass trajectories. The biomass trajectories from version 3 are always greater than the respective biomass trajectories from version 4. Although the OFL estimates from version 4 are not always less biased than those from version 3, the estimates from version 4 are always more precautionary and significantly reduce the chances for overestimating the OFL. The identification of factors that influence DB-SRA OFL estimates could demonstrate how DB-SRA can be adjusted to produce less biased OFL estimates in more situations. The change made in the production function between versions 3 and 4 of DB-SRA makes OFL estimates more precautionary; but does not always reduce the bias in the median OFL estimate. The results from this study could provide information to fisheries managers so that DB-SRA could be potentially improved and is applied in appropriate situations.
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2310. [Article] Effects of the invasive Pacific red lionfish Pterois volitans on native Atlantic coral-reef fish communities
Predatory lionfishes (Pterois volitans and P. miles) were introduced to Florida waters during the mid to late 1980s, and eventually established self-sustaining breeding populations in the tropical western ...Citation Citation
- Title:
- Effects of the invasive Pacific red lionfish Pterois volitans on native Atlantic coral-reef fish communities
- Author:
- Albins, Mark A.
Predatory lionfishes (Pterois volitans and P. miles) were introduced to Florida waters during the mid to late 1980s, and eventually established self-sustaining breeding populations in the tropical western Atlantic. These invasive species are now widespread along the southeastern seaboard of the United States, across the Caribbean Sea, and in the Gulf of Mexico. In these regions, lionfish reach larger maximum sizes and higher abundances than they do in their native Pacific, suggesting that they have undergone ecological release. Invaded marine communities have thus far provided little if any biotic resistance. Lionfish are generalist predators with high consumption rates, inhabit a broad range of habitats, are defended from predation by venomous spines, and are capable of long-range larval dispersal. It is possible that lionfish have direct effects on native communities, through consumption of native fishes and competition with native predators, as well as indirect effects, such as overconsumption of herbivorous fishes that prevent seaweeds from outcompeting reef-building corals. There is also serious concern that invasive lionfish could act additively, or even synergistically, with existing stressors of coral-reef systems, such as overfishing and ocean warming, resulting in substantial negative consequences for native ecosystems and economically valuable fisheries. The primary goal of this dissertation was to conduct a set of controlled, replicated field experiments to rigorously examine and measure the effects of lionfish on native reef-fish communities across a range of spatial and temporal scales. In the first experiment (Chapter 2), the net recruitment of native fishes to twenty small patch reefs was compared in the presence (n = 10) and absence (n = 10) of lionfish. This study demonstrated that lionfish reduced net recruitment, or change in abundance of small native fishes, by an average (± SEM) of 78.9 ± 32.2 % over 5 weeks, affecting 23 of 38 species recruiting to reefs in both treatments. In a second experiment (Chapter 4), I examined the effects of lionfish on patch-reef communities of small native fishes relative to, and in combination with, those of a similarly sized native predator, the coney grouper (Cephalopholis fulva). Four different predator treatments were established by transplanting predators (n = 5 reefs each). Treatments included a single small invasive lionfish, a single small native grouper, a grouper and a lionfish together, and predator-free controls. Compared to controls, invasive lionfish caused reductions (mean ± SEM) in abundance (93.7 ± 17.8 %) and species richness (4.6 ± 1.6 species) of small native fishes. The negative effect of lionfish on abundance was 2.6 ± 0.5 times stronger than that of the native grouper. The greatest negative effects on abundance, species richness, evenness, and diversity of native fishes occurred when both lionfish and native grouper were present. Additionally, lionfish grew more than six times faster in both length and mass than did native grouper. A third experiment (Chapter 6) assessed the effects of lionfish on native reef-fish communities at spatial and temporal scales directly relevant to management and conservation efforts. Subsequent to baseline surveys, high- and low-density lionfish treatments were established on 10 large (1400 to 4000 m²) isolated coral reefs. After initiation of treatments, quarterly surveys of the native reef-fish communities were conducted for approximately 14 months. Lionfish caused significant reductions (mean ± SEM) in density (up to 3.22 ± 0.95 fish m⁻²), biomass (3.26 ± 1.10 g m⁻²), and species richness (4.92 ± 2.09 species) of small (<10 cm TL) native fishes. However, these negative effects on prey-sized fishes had not yet translated into declines in larger size classes during the first 14 months of this experiment. In addition to field experiments, this dissertation describes field and aquarium observations of a previously undocumented piscivorous behavior by invasive lionfish - blowing jets of water at prey fish - which may confer a high degree of predation efficiency, thus contributing to the dramatic success of the invasion (Chapter 5). Also provided is a review of the current state of knowledge about the lionfish invasion, with speculation on the long-term effects of the invasion on coral-reef communities, and a brief discussion of potential mitigation measures (Chapter 3). In sum, this research demonstrated that invasive lionfish have substantial negative effects on native communities of coral-reef fishes. In all cases, numerical reductions in small (prey-sized) native fishes caused by lionfish were substantial. Additionally, lionfish caused considerable reductions in native reef-fish species richness (via predation on rare species). These findings indicate that the lionfish invasion may have long-term, broad-scale impacts on the structure and function of coral-reef communities as a whole, potentially reducing the resilience of these systems to a myriad of existing stressors as well as their capacity to provide valuable ecosystem goods and services to humans.