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• 1. [Article] Present-day and future contributions of glacier runoff to summertime flows in a Pacific Northwest watershed: Implications for water resources

  This is the publisher’s final pdf. The published article is copyrighted by the American Geophysical Union and can be found at: http://www.agu.org/journals/wr/.

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Present-day and future contributions of glacier runoff to summertime flows in a Pacific Northwest watershed: Implications for water resources Author: Lewis, Sarah L., Jefferson, Anne, Phillippe, Jeff, Nolin, Anne W. This is the publisher’s final pdf. The published article is copyrighted by the American Geophysical Union and can be found at: http://www.agu.org/journals/wr/. Title: Present-day and future contributions of glacier runoff to summertime flows in a Pacific Northwest watershed: Implications for water resources Author: Lewis, Sarah L., Jefferson, Anne, Phillippe, Jeff, Nolin, Anne W. This is the publisher’s final pdf. The published article is copyrighted by the American Geophysical Union and can be found at: http://www.agu.org/journals/wr/. Close

• 2. [Article] Impacts of Swiss needle cast on overstory Douglas-fir forests of the western Oregon Coast Range

  Article appears in Forest Ecology and Management (http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/503310/description#description) and is copyrighted by Elsevier.

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Impacts of Swiss needle cast on overstory Douglas-fir forests of the western Oregon Coast Range Author: Stone, Jeffrey K., Black, Bryan A., Shaw, David C. Article appears in Forest Ecology and Management (http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/503310/description#description) and is copyrighted by Elsevier. Title: Impacts of Swiss needle cast on overstory Douglas-fir forests of the western Oregon Coast Range Author: Stone, Jeffrey K., Black, Bryan A., Shaw, David C. Article appears in Forest Ecology and Management (http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/503310/description#description) and is copyrighted by Elsevier. Close

• 3. [Article] A method for remotely monitoring glaciers with regional application to the Pacific Northwest

  An integrative method for monitoring glacier geometry change and mass balance is presented and applied to the Pacific Northwest, USA. Acting as a baseline for interpretation of future changes in glacier ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: A method for remotely monitoring glaciers with regional application to the Pacific Northwest Author: Medley, Brooke An integrative method for monitoring glacier geometry change and mass balance is presented and applied to the Pacific Northwest, USA. Acting as a baseline for interpretation of future changes in glacier size and shape, we first derive a new inventory of regional glacier cover using remotely sensed data. To investigate current climate controls on glacier health, we next model glacier mass balance for select glaciers, incorporating glacier hypsometry results from our new remotely derived inventory. Model results are then used to interpret climate-glacier interactions through sensitivity analysis and the future impacts on glacier geometry. These steps when taken together create a method for remote monitoring of glacier health and dynamics that can be replicated globally. Inventory results derived from the Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer imagery for the Pacific Northwest indicate that both the North Cascades National Park (99.0 ± 5.0 km2) and the Cascade volcanoes of Washington and Oregon (96.0 ± 4.8 km2) contain similar ice coverage while glaciers of the Olympic Mountains account for only 37.3 ± 1.9 km2. Additionally, significant semi-annual variations in glacier coverage on the Cascade volcanoes highlight the need to consider recent mass balance variations when selecting satellite data for glacier inventorying. Modeling results provided insight into climate-glacier interactions. Model results from the study glaciers show a recent strengthening of the relationship between summer balance and the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) from the mid-1980s to the present. The correlation strengthening between ENSO and summer temperatures around 1985 is manifested in our results through enhanced summer melt. However, the influence of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) on balance fluctuations is more ambiguous, as the recent 1976/77 shift into a warm phase is weakly distinguishable at only one study glacier. Glacier sensitivity estimates for a 1° C rise in temperature range from -0.73 to -1.09 mw.e., decreasing with latitude; however, no discernible pattern of precipitation sensitivity exists. At South Cascade glacier, a 30% increase in winter precipitation could offset a 1° C rise in temperature. Glaciers further south require a >40% increase in winter precipitation to remain in balance. However, South Cascade is the only glacier of the four study glaciers that could not exist under a 2° C warming scenario as its accumulation area occupies very low elevations. We postulate that the sensitivity of South Cascade glacier does not change as rapidly as those of the remaining three glaciers as the glacier retreats, making it the most vulnerable to climate change. Title: A method for remotely monitoring glaciers with regional application to the Pacific Northwest Author: Medley, Brooke An integrative method for monitoring glacier geometry change and mass balance is presented and applied to the Pacific Northwest, USA. Acting as a baseline for interpretation of future changes in glacier size and shape, we first derive a new inventory of regional glacier cover using remotely sensed data. To investigate current climate controls on glacier health, we next model glacier mass balance for select glaciers, incorporating glacier hypsometry results from our new remotely derived inventory. Model results are then used to interpret climate-glacier interactions through sensitivity analysis and the future impacts on glacier geometry. These steps when taken together create a method for remote monitoring of glacier health and dynamics that can be replicated globally. Inventory results derived from the Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer imagery for the Pacific Northwest indicate that both the North Cascades National Park (99.0 ± 5.0 km2) and the Cascade volcanoes of Washington and Oregon (96.0 ± 4.8 km2) contain similar ice coverage while glaciers of the Olympic Mountains account for only 37.3 ± 1.9 km2. Additionally, significant semi-annual variations in glacier coverage on the Cascade volcanoes highlight the need to consider recent mass balance variations when selecting satellite data for glacier inventorying. Modeling results provided insight into climate-glacier interactions. Model results from the study glaciers show a recent strengthening of the relationship between summer balance and the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) from the mid-1980s to the present. The correlation strengthening between ENSO and summer temperatures around 1985 is manifested in our results through enhanced summer melt. However, the influence of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) on balance fluctuations is more ambiguous, as the recent 1976/77 shift into a warm phase is weakly distinguishable at only one study glacier. Glacier sensitivity estimates for a 1° C rise in temperature range from -0.73 to -1.09 mw.e., decreasing with latitude; however, no discernible pattern of precipitation sensitivity exists. At South Cascade glacier, a 30% increase in winter precipitation could offset a 1° C rise in temperature. Glaciers further south require a >40% increase in winter precipitation to remain in balance. However, South Cascade is the only glacier of the four study glaciers that could not exist under a 2° C warming scenario as its accumulation area occupies very low elevations. We postulate that the sensitivity of South Cascade glacier does not change as rapidly as those of the remaining three glaciers as the glacier retreats, making it the most vulnerable to climate change. Close

• 4. [Article] The Performance of Four Native Perennial Forb Species Along a Climate Gradient in Pacific Northwest Prairies

  To determine how Pacific Northwest prairies are influenced by local site factors versus. regional climate, we studied the reproduction, plant size, and density of sixteen natural populations of four perennial ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: The Performance of Four Native Perennial Forb Species Along a Climate Gradient in Pacific Northwest Prairies Author: Hendricks, Lauren Year: 2016 To determine how Pacific Northwest prairies are influenced by local site factors versus. regional climate, we studied the reproduction, plant size, and density of sixteen natural populations of four perennial forb species native to Pacific Northwest prairies: Ranunculus austro-oreganus, Sidalcea malviflora spp. virgata, Microseris laciniata, and Eriophyllum lanatum. These populations were distributed along a 700 kilometer latitudinal gradient from southern Oregon to Whidbey Island, Washington. We found significant differences in plant size and reproduction among populations for all species, but correlations among edaphic and climate variables and plant size and reproduction were weak. Instead, density was more strongly correlated with both edaphic and climate variables, suggesting that this is a better indicator of long-term demographic processes. Although a few factors are important across species (e.g., nutrient availability and minimum temperature), response is idiosyncratic at the individual species level in Pacific Northwest prairies. Title: The Performance of Four Native Perennial Forb Species Along a Climate Gradient in Pacific Northwest Prairies Author: Hendricks, Lauren Year: 2016 To determine how Pacific Northwest prairies are influenced by local site factors versus. regional climate, we studied the reproduction, plant size, and density of sixteen natural populations of four perennial forb species native to Pacific Northwest prairies: Ranunculus austro-oreganus, Sidalcea malviflora spp. virgata, Microseris laciniata, and Eriophyllum lanatum. These populations were distributed along a 700 kilometer latitudinal gradient from southern Oregon to Whidbey Island, Washington. We found significant differences in plant size and reproduction among populations for all species, but correlations among edaphic and climate variables and plant size and reproduction were weak. Instead, density was more strongly correlated with both edaphic and climate variables, suggesting that this is a better indicator of long-term demographic processes. Although a few factors are important across species (e.g., nutrient availability and minimum temperature), response is idiosyncratic at the individual species level in Pacific Northwest prairies. Close

• 5. [Article] Predicting landscape sensitivity to present and future floods in the Pacific Northwest, USA

  Supporting information is available online at: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/hyp.10553/suppinfo

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Predicting landscape sensitivity to present and future floods in the Pacific Northwest, USA Author: Lewis, Sarah L., Safeeq, Mohammad, Staab, Brian, Grant, Gordon E. Supporting information is available online at: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/hyp.10553/suppinfo Title: Predicting landscape sensitivity to present and future floods in the Pacific Northwest, USA Author: Lewis, Sarah L., Safeeq, Mohammad, Staab, Brian, Grant, Gordon E. Supporting information is available online at: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/hyp.10553/suppinfo Close