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• 1. [Article] The Path Ahead: Future enrollments in Portland Public Schools, 2000-2010

  This report provides a school Enrollment Forecast, including demographic information, for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: The Path Ahead: Future enrollments in Portland Public Schools, 2000-2010 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Edmonston, Barry Year: 2000 This report provides a school Enrollment Forecast, including demographic information, for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the present and 2010, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. To take into account a variety of demographic and enrollment possibilities, this report describes five different scenarios of housing, population, and enrollment changes for the ten years between 2000 to 2010. Title: The Path Ahead: Future enrollments in Portland Public Schools, 2000-2010 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Edmonston, Barry Year: 2000 This report provides a school Enrollment Forecast, including demographic information, for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the present and 2010, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. To take into account a variety of demographic and enrollment possibilities, this report describes five different scenarios of housing, population, and enrollment changes for the ten years between 2000 to 2010. Close

• 2. [Article] Changing Times, Changing Enrollments: How Recent Demographic Trends are Affecting Enrollments in Portland Public Schools

  The purpose of this report is to provide an analysis of the demographic factors affecting recent enrollment changes in Portland Public Schools. Toward this goal, the report discusses how trends in births, ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Changing Times, Changing Enrollments: How Recent Demographic Trends are Affecting Enrollments in Portland Public Schools Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Edmonston, Barry Year: 2000 The purpose of this report is to provide an analysis of the demographic factors affecting recent enrollment changes in Portland Public Schools. Toward this goal, the report discusses how trends in births, migration, and international migration have affected public school enrollments in Portland. This report reaches four main conclusions: * First and foremost, public school enrollments have declined in recent years primarily because there have been sizeable decreases in the number of students entering kindergarten and the early elementary school grades. Smaller numbers of entering students are, in turn, the result of substantial reductions in the number of births--reductions that began in 1991. Because there were fewer births in the early 1990s, fewer students enrolled in school in the late 1990s. The number of births declined in the 1980s primarily because there were decreases in the number of younger couples--not because there were decreases in the average number of births per couples in the 1980s. * The number of births has continued to decline in the 1990s. The lower number of births in the second half of the decade has not yet affected school enrollments. But they will add to declines in school enrollments in the future, starting after about 2002. Although there was net out-migration of school-age children, in the 1980s and 1990s, net out-migration of school-age children appears to have increased in the late 1990s, further reducing enrollments. * Increased international migration into the Portland metropolitan area has ameliorated the decline in enrollments by adding several thousand foreign-born students to the Portland Public Schools. Immigrant couples are contributing an increasing number of births to the population. Births to immigrants partially counterbalance fertility declines among native-born residents. * There is conflicting evidence from public, private, and home schooling data on changes in public school capture rates (the proportion of school age children enrolled in Portland Public Schools). Available data, however, suggest that changes in capture rates have not been a major determinant of public school enrollment trends. Title: Changing Times, Changing Enrollments: How Recent Demographic Trends are Affecting Enrollments in Portland Public Schools Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Edmonston, Barry Year: 2000 The purpose of this report is to provide an analysis of the demographic factors affecting recent enrollment changes in Portland Public Schools. Toward this goal, the report discusses how trends in births, migration, and international migration have affected public school enrollments in Portland. This report reaches four main conclusions: * First and foremost, public school enrollments have declined in recent years primarily because there have been sizeable decreases in the number of students entering kindergarten and the early elementary school grades. Smaller numbers of entering students are, in turn, the result of substantial reductions in the number of births--reductions that began in 1991. Because there were fewer births in the early 1990s, fewer students enrolled in school in the late 1990s. The number of births declined in the 1980s primarily because there were decreases in the number of younger couples--not because there were decreases in the average number of births per couples in the 1980s. * The number of births has continued to decline in the 1990s. The lower number of births in the second half of the decade has not yet affected school enrollments. But they will add to declines in school enrollments in the future, starting after about 2002. Although there was net out-migration of school-age children, in the 1980s and 1990s, net out-migration of school-age children appears to have increased in the late 1990s, further reducing enrollments. * Increased international migration into the Portland metropolitan area has ameliorated the decline in enrollments by adding several thousand foreign-born students to the Portland Public Schools. Immigrant couples are contributing an increasing number of births to the population. Births to immigrants partially counterbalance fertility declines among native-born residents. * There is conflicting evidence from public, private, and home schooling data on changes in public school capture rates (the proportion of school age children enrolled in Portland Public Schools). Available data, however, suggest that changes in capture rates have not been a major determinant of public school enrollment trends. Close

• 3. [Article] Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast, 2005-2015, Based on October 2004 Enrollments

  The Population Research Center has prepared district-wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Portland Public Schools (PPS) for the past 6 years. This year’s forecast relies on October 2004 ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast, 2005-2015, Based on October 2004 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Edmonston, Barry, Proehl, Risa S., Endo, Sonoko, Lycan, Richard Year: 2005 The Population Research Center has prepared district-wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Portland Public Schools (PPS) for the past 6 years. This year’s forecast relies on October 2004 PPS enrollment figures. It considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the October 2004 and 2015, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. The forecasts do not take into account local factors such as changing school programs or future school reorganizations that may have a significant effect on an individual school’s enrollment. Forecasts were initially prepared for the District as a whole and for the students residing in the high school clusters and elementary school attendance areas. The students were then assigned to the schools they were predicted to attend. A longer, more detailed report describes the data sources and methods and presents Enrollment Forecasts for each school, by grade. Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast, 2005-2015, Based on October 2004 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Edmonston, Barry, Proehl, Risa S., Endo, Sonoko, Lycan, Richard Year: 2005 The Population Research Center has prepared district-wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Portland Public Schools (PPS) for the past 6 years. This year’s forecast relies on October 2004 PPS enrollment figures. It considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the October 2004 and 2015, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. The forecasts do not take into account local factors such as changing school programs or future school reorganizations that may have a significant effect on an individual school’s enrollment. Forecasts were initially prepared for the District as a whole and for the students residing in the high school clusters and elementary school attendance areas. The students were then assigned to the schools they were predicted to attend. A longer, more detailed report describes the data sources and methods and presents Enrollment Forecasts for each school, by grade. Close

• 4. [Article] The Path Ahead: Future Enrollments in Portland Public Schools, 2002-2010, Based on October 2002 Enrollments

  This report provides a school Enrollment Forecast, including demographic information, for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: The Path Ahead: Future Enrollments in Portland Public Schools, 2002-2010, Based on October 2002 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Edmonston, Barry, Lycan, Richard, Proehl, Risa S. Year: 2003 This report provides a school Enrollment Forecast, including demographic information, for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the present and 2010, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. This is the third annual report that forecasts future enrollments for the Portland Public Schools. Previous annual reports were based on October 1999, 2000, and 2001 enrollments; this report relies on October 2002 enrollments. To take into account a variety of demographic and enrollment possibilities, this report describes an extrapolation of likely future trends for housing, population, and enrollment changes between the present and 2010. Title: The Path Ahead: Future Enrollments in Portland Public Schools, 2002-2010, Based on October 2002 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Edmonston, Barry, Lycan, Richard, Proehl, Risa S. Year: 2003 This report provides a school Enrollment Forecast, including demographic information, for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the present and 2010, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. This is the third annual report that forecasts future enrollments for the Portland Public Schools. Previous annual reports were based on October 1999, 2000, and 2001 enrollments; this report relies on October 2002 enrollments. To take into account a variety of demographic and enrollment possibilities, this report describes an extrapolation of likely future trends for housing, population, and enrollment changes between the present and 2010. Close

• 5. [Article] The Path Ahead: Future Enrollments in Portland Public Schools, 2001-2010, Based on October 2001 Enrollments

  This report provides a school Enrollment Forecast, including demographic information, for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: The Path Ahead: Future Enrollments in Portland Public Schools, 2001-2010, Based on October 2001 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center Year: 2002 This report provides a school Enrollment Forecast, including demographic information, for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the present and 2010, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. This is the third annual report that forecasts future enrollments for the Portland Public Schools. Previous annual reports were based on October 1999 and October 2000 enrollments; this report relies on October 2001 enrollments. To take into account a variety of demographic and enrollment possibilities, this report describes an extrapolation of likely future trends for housing, population, and enrollment changes for the ten years between 2001 to 2010. Title: The Path Ahead: Future Enrollments in Portland Public Schools, 2001-2010, Based on October 2001 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center Year: 2002 This report provides a school Enrollment Forecast, including demographic information, for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the present and 2010, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. This is the third annual report that forecasts future enrollments for the Portland Public Schools. Previous annual reports were based on October 1999 and October 2000 enrollments; this report relies on October 2001 enrollments. To take into account a variety of demographic and enrollment possibilities, this report describes an extrapolation of likely future trends for housing, population, and enrollment changes for the ten years between 2001 to 2010. Close

• 6. [Article] The Path Ahead: Future Enrollments in Portland Public Schools, 2000-2010, Based on October 2000 Enrollments

  This report provides a school Enrollment Forecast, including demographic information, for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: The Path Ahead: Future Enrollments in Portland Public Schools, 2000-2010, Based on October 2000 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Edmonston, Barry, Lycan, Richard, Proehl, Risa Year: 2000 This report provides a school Enrollment Forecast, including demographic information, for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the present and 2010, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. This is the second report that forecasts future enrollments for the Portland Public Schools. The first report (dated July 2000) was based on October 1999 enrollments; this report relies on October 2000 enrollments. To take into account a variety of demographic and enrollment possibilities, this report describes five different scenarios of housing, population, and enrollment changes for the ten years between 2000 to 2010. Title: The Path Ahead: Future Enrollments in Portland Public Schools, 2000-2010, Based on October 2000 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Edmonston, Barry, Lycan, Richard, Proehl, Risa Year: 2000 This report provides a school Enrollment Forecast, including demographic information, for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the present and 2010, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. This is the second report that forecasts future enrollments for the Portland Public Schools. The first report (dated July 2000) was based on October 1999 enrollments; this report relies on October 2000 enrollments. To take into account a variety of demographic and enrollment possibilities, this report describes five different scenarios of housing, population, and enrollment changes for the ten years between 2000 to 2010. Close

• 7. [Article] Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast, 2006-2015, Based on October 2005 Enrollments

  The Population Research Center has prepared district-wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Portland Public Schools (PPS) for the past 7 years. This year’s forecast relies on October 2005 ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast, 2006-2015, Based on October 2005 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Proehl, Risa S., Buelow, Vicky, Radin, Kenneth, Hough, George C., Jr., Rynerson, Charles Year: 2006 The Population Research Center has prepared district-wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Portland Public Schools (PPS) for the past 7 years. This year’s forecast relies on October 2005 PPS enrollment figures. It considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the October 2005 and 2015, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. The forecasts do not take into account local factors such as changing school programs or future school reorganizations that may have a significant effect on an individual school’s enrollment. It does consider PPS Board approved changes in attendance area boundaries and in schools’ grade configuration that were resolved prior to March 31, 2006. Forecasts were initially prepared for the District as a whole and for the students residing in the high school clusters and elementary school attendance areas. The students were then assigned to the schools they were predicted to attend yielding the Enrollment Forecasts for the individual schools in PPS. The school assignment was based on the current pattern of where the students live and the schools that they attend. Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast, 2006-2015, Based on October 2005 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Proehl, Risa S., Buelow, Vicky, Radin, Kenneth, Hough, George C., Jr., Rynerson, Charles Year: 2006 The Population Research Center has prepared district-wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Portland Public Schools (PPS) for the past 7 years. This year’s forecast relies on October 2005 PPS enrollment figures. It considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the October 2005 and 2015, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. The forecasts do not take into account local factors such as changing school programs or future school reorganizations that may have a significant effect on an individual school’s enrollment. It does consider PPS Board approved changes in attendance area boundaries and in schools’ grade configuration that were resolved prior to March 31, 2006. Forecasts were initially prepared for the District as a whole and for the students residing in the high school clusters and elementary school attendance areas. The students were then assigned to the schools they were predicted to attend yielding the Enrollment Forecasts for the individual schools in PPS. The school assignment was based on the current pattern of where the students live and the schools that they attend. Close

• 8. [Article] Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast, 2004-2015, Based on October 2003 Enrollments

  This is the fourth annual report prepared by the Population Research Center (PRC) forecasting future enrollments for the Portland Public Schools (PPS). Previous annual reports were based on October 1999, ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast, 2004-2015, Based on October 2003 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Proehl, Risa S., Endo, Sonoko, Chen, Chen, Lycan, Richard Year: 2004 This is the fourth annual report prepared by the Population Research Center (PRC) forecasting future enrollments for the Portland Public Schools (PPS). Previous annual reports were based on October 1999, 2000, 2001, and 2002 enrollments; this report considers October 2003 PPS enrollments. This report provides a district-wide Enrollment Forecast, Enrollment Forecasts for individual schools, and demographic information for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the October 2003 and 2015, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. This document provides the district-wide Enrollment Forecasts and an explanation of the methods and assumptions used to produce the forecasts. However, the forecasts for individual schools were subsequently revised to better reflect the changes in housing growth in Forest Park ES attendance area (Lincoln HS attendance area), the closing of Columbia Villa (Roosevelt HS attendance area) and the reconstruction of New Columbia. Use the tables in “Addendum to the Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast, 2005-2015 and Revised Forecast Tables”, August 2004 for the forecasts by school. Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast, 2004-2015, Based on October 2003 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Proehl, Risa S., Endo, Sonoko, Chen, Chen, Lycan, Richard Year: 2004 This is the fourth annual report prepared by the Population Research Center (PRC) forecasting future enrollments for the Portland Public Schools (PPS). Previous annual reports were based on October 1999, 2000, 2001, and 2002 enrollments; this report considers October 2003 PPS enrollments. This report provides a district-wide Enrollment Forecast, Enrollment Forecasts for individual schools, and demographic information for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the October 2003 and 2015, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. This document provides the district-wide Enrollment Forecasts and an explanation of the methods and assumptions used to produce the forecasts. However, the forecasts for individual schools were subsequently revised to better reflect the changes in housing growth in Forest Park ES attendance area (Lincoln HS attendance area), the closing of Columbia Villa (Roosevelt HS attendance area) and the reconstruction of New Columbia. Use the tables in “Addendum to the Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast, 2005-2015 and Revised Forecast Tables”, August 2004 for the forecasts by school. Close