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• 1. [Article] VanoJulieCEOASSeasonalHydrologicResponses.pdf

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: VanoJulieCEOASSeasonalHydrologicResponses.pdf Author: Vano, Julie A., Lettenmaier, Dennis P., Nijssen, Bart Title: VanoJulieCEOASSeasonalHydrologicResponses.pdf Author: Vano, Julie A., Lettenmaier, Dennis P., Nijssen, Bart Close

• 2. [Article] VanoJulieCEOASSeasonalHydrologicResponsesSupportingInfoS1.pdf

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: VanoJulieCEOASSeasonalHydrologicResponsesSupportingInfoS1.pdf Author: Vano, Julie A., Lettenmaier, Dennis P., Nijssen, Bart Title: VanoJulieCEOASSeasonalHydrologicResponsesSupportingInfoS1.pdf Author: Vano, Julie A., Lettenmaier, Dennis P., Nijssen, Bart Close

• 3. [Article] Seasonal hydrologic responses to climate change in the Pacific Northwest

  This is the publisher’s final pdf. The article is copyrighted by American Geophysical Union and published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. It can be found at: http://sites.agu.org/

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Seasonal hydrologic responses to climate change in the Pacific Northwest Author: Vano, Julie A., Lettenmaier, Dennis P., Nijssen, Bart This is the publisher’s final pdf. The article is copyrighted by American Geophysical Union and published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. It can be found at: http://sites.agu.org/ Title: Seasonal hydrologic responses to climate change in the Pacific Northwest Author: Vano, Julie A., Lettenmaier, Dennis P., Nijssen, Bart This is the publisher’s final pdf. The article is copyrighted by American Geophysical Union and published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. It can be found at: http://sites.agu.org/ Close

• 4. [Article] Climate change impacts on maritime mountain snowpack in the Oregon Cascades

  This is the publisher’s final pdf. The published article is copyrighted by Copernicus Publications and can be found at: http://publications.copernicus.org/.

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Climate change impacts on maritime mountain snowpack in the Oregon Cascades Author: Sproles, E. A., Nolin, A.W., Rittger, K., Painter, T. H. This is the publisher’s final pdf. The published article is copyrighted by Copernicus Publications and can be found at: http://publications.copernicus.org/. Title: Climate change impacts on maritime mountain snowpack in the Oregon Cascades Author: Sproles, E. A., Nolin, A.W., Rittger, K., Painter, T. H. This is the publisher’s final pdf. The published article is copyrighted by Copernicus Publications and can be found at: http://publications.copernicus.org/. Close

• 5. [Article] Carbon isotopes show snowpack acts as a valuable moisture subsidy to mountain forests in the Oregon Cascades

  This study examines climatological influences, particularly that of snowpack, on tree growth and stable carbon isotope discrimination (Δ¹³C) from ~1980 to 2013 at two sites located in the upper reaches ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Carbon isotopes show snowpack acts as a valuable moisture subsidy to mountain forests in the Oregon Cascades Author: Ratcliff, Christopher J. This study examines climatological influences, particularly that of snowpack, on tree growth and stable carbon isotope discrimination (Δ¹³C) from ~1980 to 2013 at two sites located in the upper reaches of the McKenzie River watershed of the Oregon Cascade Mountains. We tested the use of Δ¹³C values from latewood, corroborated by tree-ring width chronologies as precipitation proxies to develop correlations between moisture stress and climate variables. Tree species at each site included Douglas-fir and mountain hemlock. Interpolated meteorological and snowpack data included snow water equivalent (SWE), precipitation, atmospheric temperature, vapor pressure deficit (VPD), relative humidity (RH), and a metric estimating growing season length. Significant correlations between latewood Δ¹³C and winter SWE at each site indicated the importance of winter snowpack to our selected tree species (r = 0.35, r = 0.43). Late summer precipitation and relative humidity (RH) were also significantly correlated with Δ¹³C (r = 0.49, r = 0.46; r = 0.43, r = 0.44). High correlations at both sites reinforced that late summer VPD was the primary driver of Δ¹³C (r = - 0.67, r = -0.61), which is often associated with moisture stress. This was further supported by correlations between air temperature and Δ¹³C (r = -0.46, r = -0.47), which drives much of the variation in VPD. Growing season length also showed significance in mountain hemlocks at the site with longer average snowpack (r = -0.22, r = -0.44). Moisture supplied by spring snow melt is a seasonably limited resource, nonetheless both sites clearly showed that snowpack acts as a valuable moisture subsidy to coniferous mountain forests in the Oregon Cascades. This study acts as a useful case study for future investigations into the relationship between snowpack and forest health in the Pacific North West. Title: Carbon isotopes show snowpack acts as a valuable moisture subsidy to mountain forests in the Oregon Cascades Author: Ratcliff, Christopher J. This study examines climatological influences, particularly that of snowpack, on tree growth and stable carbon isotope discrimination (Δ¹³C) from ~1980 to 2013 at two sites located in the upper reaches of the McKenzie River watershed of the Oregon Cascade Mountains. We tested the use of Δ¹³C values from latewood, corroborated by tree-ring width chronologies as precipitation proxies to develop correlations between moisture stress and climate variables. Tree species at each site included Douglas-fir and mountain hemlock. Interpolated meteorological and snowpack data included snow water equivalent (SWE), precipitation, atmospheric temperature, vapor pressure deficit (VPD), relative humidity (RH), and a metric estimating growing season length. Significant correlations between latewood Δ¹³C and winter SWE at each site indicated the importance of winter snowpack to our selected tree species (r = 0.35, r = 0.43). Late summer precipitation and relative humidity (RH) were also significantly correlated with Δ¹³C (r = 0.49, r = 0.46; r = 0.43, r = 0.44). High correlations at both sites reinforced that late summer VPD was the primary driver of Δ¹³C (r = - 0.67, r = -0.61), which is often associated with moisture stress. This was further supported by correlations between air temperature and Δ¹³C (r = -0.46, r = -0.47), which drives much of the variation in VPD. Growing season length also showed significance in mountain hemlocks at the site with longer average snowpack (r = -0.22, r = -0.44). Moisture supplied by spring snow melt is a seasonably limited resource, nonetheless both sites clearly showed that snowpack acts as a valuable moisture subsidy to coniferous mountain forests in the Oregon Cascades. This study acts as a useful case study for future investigations into the relationship between snowpack and forest health in the Pacific North West. Close

• 6. [Article] Precipitation and winter temperature predict long-term range-scale abundance changes in Western North American birds

  This is an author's peer-reviewed final manuscript, as accepted by the publisher. The published article is copyrighted by John Wiley & Sons Ltd., and can be found at: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/jou...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Precipitation and winter temperature predict long-term range-scale abundance changes in Western North American birds Author: Jones, Julia A., Illán, Javier Gutiérrez, Thomas, Chris D., Shirley, Susan M., Betts, Matthew G., Wong, Weng-Keen This is an author's peer-reviewed final manuscript, as accepted by the publisher. The published article is copyrighted by John Wiley & Sons Ltd., and can be found at: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10.1111/%28ISSN%291365-2486 Title: Precipitation and winter temperature predict long-term range-scale abundance changes in Western North American birds Author: Jones, Julia A., Illán, Javier Gutiérrez, Thomas, Chris D., Shirley, Susan M., Betts, Matthew G., Wong, Weng-Keen This is an author's peer-reviewed final manuscript, as accepted by the publisher. The published article is copyrighted by John Wiley & Sons Ltd., and can be found at: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10.1111/%28ISSN%291365-2486 Close

• 7. [Article] A method for remotely monitoring glaciers with regional application to the Pacific Northwest

  An integrative method for monitoring glacier geometry change and mass balance is presented and applied to the Pacific Northwest, USA. Acting as a baseline for interpretation of future changes in glacier ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: A method for remotely monitoring glaciers with regional application to the Pacific Northwest Author: Medley, Brooke An integrative method for monitoring glacier geometry change and mass balance is presented and applied to the Pacific Northwest, USA. Acting as a baseline for interpretation of future changes in glacier size and shape, we first derive a new inventory of regional glacier cover using remotely sensed data. To investigate current climate controls on glacier health, we next model glacier mass balance for select glaciers, incorporating glacier hypsometry results from our new remotely derived inventory. Model results are then used to interpret climate-glacier interactions through sensitivity analysis and the future impacts on glacier geometry. These steps when taken together create a method for remote monitoring of glacier health and dynamics that can be replicated globally. Inventory results derived from the Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer imagery for the Pacific Northwest indicate that both the North Cascades National Park (99.0 ± 5.0 km2) and the Cascade volcanoes of Washington and Oregon (96.0 ± 4.8 km2) contain similar ice coverage while glaciers of the Olympic Mountains account for only 37.3 ± 1.9 km2. Additionally, significant semi-annual variations in glacier coverage on the Cascade volcanoes highlight the need to consider recent mass balance variations when selecting satellite data for glacier inventorying. Modeling results provided insight into climate-glacier interactions. Model results from the study glaciers show a recent strengthening of the relationship between summer balance and the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) from the mid-1980s to the present. The correlation strengthening between ENSO and summer temperatures around 1985 is manifested in our results through enhanced summer melt. However, the influence of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) on balance fluctuations is more ambiguous, as the recent 1976/77 shift into a warm phase is weakly distinguishable at only one study glacier. Glacier sensitivity estimates for a 1° C rise in temperature range from -0.73 to -1.09 mw.e., decreasing with latitude; however, no discernible pattern of precipitation sensitivity exists. At South Cascade glacier, a 30% increase in winter precipitation could offset a 1° C rise in temperature. Glaciers further south require a >40% increase in winter precipitation to remain in balance. However, South Cascade is the only glacier of the four study glaciers that could not exist under a 2° C warming scenario as its accumulation area occupies very low elevations. We postulate that the sensitivity of South Cascade glacier does not change as rapidly as those of the remaining three glaciers as the glacier retreats, making it the most vulnerable to climate change. Title: A method for remotely monitoring glaciers with regional application to the Pacific Northwest Author: Medley, Brooke An integrative method for monitoring glacier geometry change and mass balance is presented and applied to the Pacific Northwest, USA. Acting as a baseline for interpretation of future changes in glacier size and shape, we first derive a new inventory of regional glacier cover using remotely sensed data. To investigate current climate controls on glacier health, we next model glacier mass balance for select glaciers, incorporating glacier hypsometry results from our new remotely derived inventory. Model results are then used to interpret climate-glacier interactions through sensitivity analysis and the future impacts on glacier geometry. These steps when taken together create a method for remote monitoring of glacier health and dynamics that can be replicated globally. Inventory results derived from the Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer imagery for the Pacific Northwest indicate that both the North Cascades National Park (99.0 ± 5.0 km2) and the Cascade volcanoes of Washington and Oregon (96.0 ± 4.8 km2) contain similar ice coverage while glaciers of the Olympic Mountains account for only 37.3 ± 1.9 km2. Additionally, significant semi-annual variations in glacier coverage on the Cascade volcanoes highlight the need to consider recent mass balance variations when selecting satellite data for glacier inventorying. Modeling results provided insight into climate-glacier interactions. Model results from the study glaciers show a recent strengthening of the relationship between summer balance and the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) from the mid-1980s to the present. The correlation strengthening between ENSO and summer temperatures around 1985 is manifested in our results through enhanced summer melt. However, the influence of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) on balance fluctuations is more ambiguous, as the recent 1976/77 shift into a warm phase is weakly distinguishable at only one study glacier. Glacier sensitivity estimates for a 1° C rise in temperature range from -0.73 to -1.09 mw.e., decreasing with latitude; however, no discernible pattern of precipitation sensitivity exists. At South Cascade glacier, a 30% increase in winter precipitation could offset a 1° C rise in temperature. Glaciers further south require a >40% increase in winter precipitation to remain in balance. However, South Cascade is the only glacier of the four study glaciers that could not exist under a 2° C warming scenario as its accumulation area occupies very low elevations. We postulate that the sensitivity of South Cascade glacier does not change as rapidly as those of the remaining three glaciers as the glacier retreats, making it the most vulnerable to climate change. Close

• 8. [Article] Selecting climate change scenarios using impact-relevant sensitivities

  To the best of our knowledge, one or more authors of this paper were federal employees when contributing to this work. This is the publisher’s final pdf. The article is copyrighted by American Geophysical ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Selecting climate change scenarios using impact-relevant sensitivities Author: Vano, Julie A., Kim, John B., Rupp, David E., Mote, Philip W. To the best of our knowledge, one or more authors of this paper were federal employees when contributing to this work. This is the publisher’s final pdf. The article is copyrighted by American Geophysical Union and published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. It can be found at: http://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/agu/journal/10.1002/%28ISSN%291944-8007/ Title: Selecting climate change scenarios using impact-relevant sensitivities Author: Vano, Julie A., Kim, John B., Rupp, David E., Mote, Philip W. To the best of our knowledge, one or more authors of this paper were federal employees when contributing to this work. This is the publisher’s final pdf. The article is copyrighted by American Geophysical Union and published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. It can be found at: http://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/agu/journal/10.1002/%28ISSN%291944-8007/ Close

• 9. [Article] Douglas-fir displays a range of growth responses to temperature, water, and Swiss needle cast in western Oregon, USA

  To the best of our knowledge, one or more authors of this paper were federal employees when contributing to this work. This is the publisher’s final pdf. The article was published by the Elsevier and is ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Douglas-fir displays a range of growth responses to temperature, water, and Swiss needle cast in western Oregon, USA Author: Bollman, Michael, Lee, E. Henry, Carlile, Cailie, Waschmann, Ronald S., Cline, Steve, Tingey, David T., Beedlow, Peter A., Wickham, Charlotte To the best of our knowledge, one or more authors of this paper were federal employees when contributing to this work. This is the publisher’s final pdf. The article was published by the Elsevier and is in the public domain. The published article can be found at: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/agricultural-and-forest-meteorology/ Title: Douglas-fir displays a range of growth responses to temperature, water, and Swiss needle cast in western Oregon, USA Author: Bollman, Michael, Lee, E. Henry, Carlile, Cailie, Waschmann, Ronald S., Cline, Steve, Tingey, David T., Beedlow, Peter A., Wickham, Charlotte To the best of our knowledge, one or more authors of this paper were federal employees when contributing to this work. This is the publisher’s final pdf. The article was published by the Elsevier and is in the public domain. The published article can be found at: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/agricultural-and-forest-meteorology/ Close