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• 1. [Article] Assessing Coastal Community Adaptation Scenarios in the Face of Climate Change : A Tillamook County, Oregon Example

  Recent coastal disasters (e.g., Hurricane Sandy, Typhoon Haiyan) and chronic issues (e.g., Florida's "nuisance flooding") provide numerous examples of coastal communities struggling to adapt in the face ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Assessing Coastal Community Adaptation Scenarios in the Face of Climate Change : A Tillamook County, Oregon Example Author: Lipiec, Eva Recent coastal disasters (e.g., Hurricane Sandy, Typhoon Haiyan) and chronic issues (e.g., Florida's "nuisance flooding") provide numerous examples of coastal communities struggling to adapt in the face of climate change impacts. Decision-makers and the public alike must reconcile the lack of "fit" between a rapidly changing environment and the effects of sea level rise, changes to storminess patterns, and possible variations in the frequency and magnitude of major El Niño events with relatively rigid and static governance structures. Work to reduce the impacts of coastal hazards and climate change has occurred periodically in disjointed and disconnected ways in many coastal communities, including those along the Oregon coast. In this thesis, I describe the efforts of a volunteer knowledge to action network within Tillamook County, Oregon, to comprehensively examine alternative future coastal climate and policy scenarios through the use of extensive stakeholder engagement and the spatially explicit modeling framework Envision. Six co-developed coastal adaptation policy scenarios and three climate change scenarios (with 15 random sub-climate simulations each) are evaluated here through a mixed-methods approach. First, the impacts of policy scenario implementation on stakeholder-identified metrics are statistically assessed in comparison to current land use policies (Status Quo). Next, I characterize the feasibility of implementing policy scenarios by reviewing current federal, Oregon state, Tillamook County, and local regulations and by interviewing relevant coastal organizations. The combination of stakeholder engagement, a powerful modeling framework, and the robust evaluation of policy scenario statistical significance and implementation feasibility provides a compelling opportunity to inform decision-making within the coastal communities of Tillamook County and elsewhere. Title: Assessing Coastal Community Adaptation Scenarios in the Face of Climate Change : A Tillamook County, Oregon Example Author: Lipiec, Eva Recent coastal disasters (e.g., Hurricane Sandy, Typhoon Haiyan) and chronic issues (e.g., Florida's "nuisance flooding") provide numerous examples of coastal communities struggling to adapt in the face of climate change impacts. Decision-makers and the public alike must reconcile the lack of "fit" between a rapidly changing environment and the effects of sea level rise, changes to storminess patterns, and possible variations in the frequency and magnitude of major El Niño events with relatively rigid and static governance structures. Work to reduce the impacts of coastal hazards and climate change has occurred periodically in disjointed and disconnected ways in many coastal communities, including those along the Oregon coast. In this thesis, I describe the efforts of a volunteer knowledge to action network within Tillamook County, Oregon, to comprehensively examine alternative future coastal climate and policy scenarios through the use of extensive stakeholder engagement and the spatially explicit modeling framework Envision. Six co-developed coastal adaptation policy scenarios and three climate change scenarios (with 15 random sub-climate simulations each) are evaluated here through a mixed-methods approach. First, the impacts of policy scenario implementation on stakeholder-identified metrics are statistically assessed in comparison to current land use policies (Status Quo). Next, I characterize the feasibility of implementing policy scenarios by reviewing current federal, Oregon state, Tillamook County, and local regulations and by interviewing relevant coastal organizations. The combination of stakeholder engagement, a powerful modeling framework, and the robust evaluation of policy scenario statistical significance and implementation feasibility provides a compelling opportunity to inform decision-making within the coastal communities of Tillamook County and elsewhere. Close

• 2. [Article] Garibaldi, OR

  This is a story by Ruth Porter, about her experiences living in Garibaldi, Oregon.

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Garibaldi, OR Author: Porter, Ruth This is a story by Ruth Porter, about her experiences living in Garibaldi, Oregon. Title: Garibaldi, OR Author: Porter, Ruth This is a story by Ruth Porter, about her experiences living in Garibaldi, Oregon. Close

• 3. [Article] A Tale of Two Counties: Exploring Co-Produced Coastal Adaptation Strategies in Tillamook County, OR and Grays Harbor County, WA

  Coastal communities throughout the US West Coast and elsewhere are facing the daunting task of preparing for climate change impacts, particularly the hazards from increased flooding and erosion. With sea-level ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: A Tale of Two Counties: Exploring Co-Produced Coastal Adaptation Strategies in Tillamook County, OR and Grays Harbor County, WA Author: Evans-Wilent, Janan K. Coastal communities throughout the US West Coast and elsewhere are facing the daunting task of preparing for climate change impacts, particularly the hazards from increased flooding and erosion. With sea-level rise, changing storminess patterns, and possible changes to the frequency and severity of major El Niño events, communities are already implementing emergency responses in order to protect infrastructure, beach access, and property. Recent studies show that despite the vast information available on coastal hazards and expected risks, few coastal adaptation plans with long-term climate change planning have been successfully implemented. Most likely, this lack of implementation is due to a disconnect between scientists and decision-makers; despite the availability of relevant science and tools, local decision-makers are burdened by not only deciphering the scientific information but also executing complex and costly coastal adaptation strategies without clear quantitative analysis at a regional level. Our approach to increasing the usability of coastal adaptation planning is to co-develop decision-support tools with ‘Knowledge to Action Networks’ (KTANs) and use Envision, a multi agent-based framework for modeling alternative futures. In this thesis, we review the co-produced coastal adaptation policies being explored by KTANs in both Tillamook County, OR and Grays Harbor County, WA, two regions of the US West Coast that have experienced vastly different coastal evolution in the last few decades and therefore have significant differences in their exposure to coastal flood and erosion hazards. We examine how variations in local priorities drive the co-development of different policies and policy scenario narratives across the two locations, and how metrics of importance to local stakeholders (e.g., the number of buildings impacted by flooding) change over time under different climate and policy scenarios. We also explore the scalability of this approach, and provide recommendations for continuing to utilize the co-developed alternative futures process. By collaborating with regional decision-makers on the project from the beginning, this work aims to co-develop usable, quantitative information and alternative adaptation policy scenarios for local communities that will promote coastal hazard resilience. Title: A Tale of Two Counties: Exploring Co-Produced Coastal Adaptation Strategies in Tillamook County, OR and Grays Harbor County, WA Author: Evans-Wilent, Janan K. Coastal communities throughout the US West Coast and elsewhere are facing the daunting task of preparing for climate change impacts, particularly the hazards from increased flooding and erosion. With sea-level rise, changing storminess patterns, and possible changes to the frequency and severity of major El Niño events, communities are already implementing emergency responses in order to protect infrastructure, beach access, and property. Recent studies show that despite the vast information available on coastal hazards and expected risks, few coastal adaptation plans with long-term climate change planning have been successfully implemented. Most likely, this lack of implementation is due to a disconnect between scientists and decision-makers; despite the availability of relevant science and tools, local decision-makers are burdened by not only deciphering the scientific information but also executing complex and costly coastal adaptation strategies without clear quantitative analysis at a regional level. Our approach to increasing the usability of coastal adaptation planning is to co-develop decision-support tools with ‘Knowledge to Action Networks’ (KTANs) and use Envision, a multi agent-based framework for modeling alternative futures. In this thesis, we review the co-produced coastal adaptation policies being explored by KTANs in both Tillamook County, OR and Grays Harbor County, WA, two regions of the US West Coast that have experienced vastly different coastal evolution in the last few decades and therefore have significant differences in their exposure to coastal flood and erosion hazards. We examine how variations in local priorities drive the co-development of different policies and policy scenario narratives across the two locations, and how metrics of importance to local stakeholders (e.g., the number of buildings impacted by flooding) change over time under different climate and policy scenarios. We also explore the scalability of this approach, and provide recommendations for continuing to utilize the co-developed alternative futures process. By collaborating with regional decision-makers on the project from the beginning, this work aims to co-develop usable, quantitative information and alternative adaptation policy scenarios for local communities that will promote coastal hazard resilience. Close

• 4. [Article] North coast explorer: a north coast basin prototype website for natural resource information management

  West Bounding Coordinate: -124.353159; East Bounding Coordinate: -122.942592; North Bounding Coordinate: 46.261906; South Bounding Coordinate: 43.719034

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: North coast explorer: a north coast basin prototype website for natural resource information management Author: Institute for Natural Resources West Bounding Coordinate: -124.353159; East Bounding Coordinate: -122.942592; North Bounding Coordinate: 46.261906; South Bounding Coordinate: 43.719034 Title: North coast explorer: a north coast basin prototype website for natural resource information management Author: Institute for Natural Resources West Bounding Coordinate: -124.353159; East Bounding Coordinate: -122.942592; North Bounding Coordinate: 46.261906; South Bounding Coordinate: 43.719034 Close