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• 61. [Article] McMinnville School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2008-09 to 2012-13

  The McMinnville School District (MSD) has experienced nearly uninterrupted enrollment growth for more than 20 years due to a growing economy and rapid housing and population growth within its boundaries. ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: McMinnville School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2008-09 to 2012-13 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2008 The McMinnville School District (MSD) has experienced nearly uninterrupted enrollment growth for more than 20 years due to a growing economy and rapid housing and population growth within its boundaries. By Fall 2007, total K-12 enrollment reached 6,327 students. The Fall 2007 enrollment was an increase of 97 students over Fall 2006, and amounted to 735 more K-12 students than five years earlier, in 2002-03. During the five year period, elementary schools added 371 students (14 percent), middle schools added 171 students (13 percent), and high schools added 193 students (11 percent). This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the District should expect enrollment growth to continue over the next five years at all school levels. The forecast of 647 additional students (10 percent) between 2007-08 and 2012-13 is only slightly less growth than the previous five year period. Title: McMinnville School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2008-09 to 2012-13 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2008 The McMinnville School District (MSD) has experienced nearly uninterrupted enrollment growth for more than 20 years due to a growing economy and rapid housing and population growth within its boundaries. By Fall 2007, total K-12 enrollment reached 6,327 students. The Fall 2007 enrollment was an increase of 97 students over Fall 2006, and amounted to 735 more K-12 students than five years earlier, in 2002-03. During the five year period, elementary schools added 371 students (14 percent), middle schools added 171 students (13 percent), and high schools added 193 students (11 percent). This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the District should expect enrollment growth to continue over the next five years at all school levels. The forecast of 647 additional students (10 percent) between 2007-08 and 2012-13 is only slightly less growth than the previous five year period. Close

• 62. [Article] Phoenix-Talent School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2008-09 to 2017-18

  The area served by the Phoenix-Talent School District (PTSD) has experienced population and housing growth in recent years, but the District’s K-12 school enrollment of 2,708 students in 2007-08 was five ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Phoenix-Talent School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2008-09 to 2017-18 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Smith-Buani, Joseph Year: 2008 The area served by the Phoenix-Talent School District (PTSD) has experienced population and housing growth in recent years, but the District’s K-12 school enrollment of 2,708 students in 2007-08 was five percent lower than its 1999-00 peak of 2,839. The enrollment decline is largely attributed to the smaller elementary classes of the early 2000s, compared with the peak enrollments of the middle to late 1990s. Middle school enrollment peaked in 2003-04, and high school enrollment peaked in 2005-06. Although secondary school enrollment has been declining in the past few years, elementary enrollment has been relatively stable since 2002-03. The number of incoming kindergarten and 1st grade students has remained steady, and in three of the past four years elementary grade cohorts have grown due to net migration of school-age residents into the District. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) containing Enrollment Forecasts for the PTSD from 2008-09 to 2017-18. We conclude that the most likely scenario is for modest enrollment growth in the PTSD during the next 10 years. Title: Phoenix-Talent School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2008-09 to 2017-18 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Smith-Buani, Joseph Year: 2008 The area served by the Phoenix-Talent School District (PTSD) has experienced population and housing growth in recent years, but the District’s K-12 school enrollment of 2,708 students in 2007-08 was five percent lower than its 1999-00 peak of 2,839. The enrollment decline is largely attributed to the smaller elementary classes of the early 2000s, compared with the peak enrollments of the middle to late 1990s. Middle school enrollment peaked in 2003-04, and high school enrollment peaked in 2005-06. Although secondary school enrollment has been declining in the past few years, elementary enrollment has been relatively stable since 2002-03. The number of incoming kindergarten and 1st grade students has remained steady, and in three of the past four years elementary grade cohorts have grown due to net migration of school-age residents into the District. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) containing Enrollment Forecasts for the PTSD from 2008-09 to 2017-18. We conclude that the most likely scenario is for modest enrollment growth in the PTSD during the next 10 years. Close

• 63. [Article] Reynolds School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2017-18

  Since 1997-98, Reynolds School District (RSD) overall K-12 enrollment has increased by 28 percent, from 8,452 students in 1997-98 to 10,815 in 2007-08, with most of the growth occurring between 1998-99 ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Reynolds School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2017-18 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Smith-Buani, Joseph, Hough, George C., Jr., Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2008 Since 1997-98, Reynolds School District (RSD) overall K-12 enrollment has increased by 28 percent, from 8,452 students in 1997-98 to 10,815 in 2007-08, with most of the growth occurring between 1998-99 and 2003-04. After one year with little enrollment change (2004-05), the district has added 452 students in the most recent three years. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the most likely scenario for future RSD enrollment is for slow growth in K-12 enrollment during the next five years until 2012-13, and slightly faster growth in the following five year period between 2012-13 and 2017-18. Title: Reynolds School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2017-18 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Smith-Buani, Joseph, Hough, George C., Jr., Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2008 Since 1997-98, Reynolds School District (RSD) overall K-12 enrollment has increased by 28 percent, from 8,452 students in 1997-98 to 10,815 in 2007-08, with most of the growth occurring between 1998-99 and 2003-04. After one year with little enrollment change (2004-05), the district has added 452 students in the most recent three years. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the most likely scenario for future RSD enrollment is for slow growth in K-12 enrollment during the next five years until 2012-13, and slightly faster growth in the following five year period between 2012-13 and 2017-18. Close

• 64. [Article] Amity School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2008-09 to 2017-18

  The Amity School District (ASD) experienced enrollment growth during the late 1980s and early 1990s, but reached a peak of 945 K-12 students in Fall 1994. In the 12 years that followed, enrollment fell ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Amity School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2008-09 to 2017-18 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2007 The Amity School District (ASD) experienced enrollment growth during the late 1980s and early 1990s, but reached a peak of 945 K-12 students in Fall 1994. In the 12 years that followed, enrollment fell by 143 students, or 15 percent. This year’s enrollment of 822 represents an increase of 20 students (2.5 percent) from Fall 2006, the largest increase since 1994. The long period of decline initially had its greatest impact on elementary grades, followed by middle school and more recently high school. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the Amity District should not expect enrollment declines to continue in the long run, although about three more years of small losses are forecast at the high school level. Two forecast scenarios are presented, a "baseline" forecast under which housing development and migration trends remain similar to their recent levels, and a "high range" forecast that anticipates higher migration levels, primarily due to an increase in housing development. Title: Amity School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2008-09 to 2017-18 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2007 The Amity School District (ASD) experienced enrollment growth during the late 1980s and early 1990s, but reached a peak of 945 K-12 students in Fall 1994. In the 12 years that followed, enrollment fell by 143 students, or 15 percent. This year’s enrollment of 822 represents an increase of 20 students (2.5 percent) from Fall 2006, the largest increase since 1994. The long period of decline initially had its greatest impact on elementary grades, followed by middle school and more recently high school. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the Amity District should not expect enrollment declines to continue in the long run, although about three more years of small losses are forecast at the high school level. Two forecast scenarios are presented, a "baseline" forecast under which housing development and migration trends remain similar to their recent levels, and a "high range" forecast that anticipates higher migration levels, primarily due to an increase in housing development. Close

• 65. [Article] Grants Pass School District 7: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2008-09 to 2017-18

  Total K-12 enrollment in the Grants Pass School District 7 (GPSD) has fallen in the most recent two years, between 2005-06 and 2006-07 and again between 2006-07 and 2007- 08. This is the first time in ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Grants Pass School District 7: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2008-09 to 2017-18 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2007 Total K-12 enrollment in the Grants Pass School District 7 (GPSD) has fallen in the most recent two years, between 2005-06 and 2006-07 and again between 2006-07 and 2007- 08. This is the first time in at least 20 years that the District has had two consecutive years of enrollment decline. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the downturn in enrollment will not continue in the long run and that the most likely scenario is for moderate enrollment growth of about 520 additional K-12 students between 2007-08 and 2017-18. The growth represents a nine percent increase over current enrollment, or an average annual rate of 0.9 percent. The study includes a population forecast for the area served by the GPSD for the years 2010 and 2020. In the 20 years between 2000 and 2020, the District is expected to add about 12,800 persons overall, growing from about 31,700 in 2000 to 44,500 in 2020. The average annual population growth forecast is 1.7 percent. Title: Grants Pass School District 7: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2008-09 to 2017-18 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2007 Total K-12 enrollment in the Grants Pass School District 7 (GPSD) has fallen in the most recent two years, between 2005-06 and 2006-07 and again between 2006-07 and 2007- 08. This is the first time in at least 20 years that the District has had two consecutive years of enrollment decline. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the downturn in enrollment will not continue in the long run and that the most likely scenario is for moderate enrollment growth of about 520 additional K-12 students between 2007-08 and 2017-18. The growth represents a nine percent increase over current enrollment, or an average annual rate of 0.9 percent. The study includes a population forecast for the area served by the GPSD for the years 2010 and 2020. In the 20 years between 2000 and 2020, the District is expected to add about 12,800 persons overall, growing from about 31,700 in 2000 to 44,500 in 2020. The average annual population growth forecast is 1.7 percent. Close

• 66. [Article] Oregon Trail School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2016-17

  Since the Oregon Trail School District (OTSD) was formed in 1997, overall K-12 enrollment has changed very little, with very small increases or decreases in most years. The K-12 total of 4,164 in 2006-07 ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Oregon Trail School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2016-17 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2007 Since the Oregon Trail School District (OTSD) was formed in 1997, overall K-12 enrollment has changed very little, with very small increases or decreases in most years. The K-12 total of 4,164 in 2006-07 is 164 students (3 percent) below the 1998-99 peak, but nearly identical to the total seven years ago in 1999-2000. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the most likely scenario for future OTSD enrollment is for continued stability in K-12 enrollment during the next five years until 2011-12, and modest growth in the following five year period between 2011-12 and 2016-17. Title: Oregon Trail School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2016-17 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2007 Since the Oregon Trail School District (OTSD) was formed in 1997, overall K-12 enrollment has changed very little, with very small increases or decreases in most years. The K-12 total of 4,164 in 2006-07 is 164 students (3 percent) below the 1998-99 peak, but nearly identical to the total seven years ago in 1999-2000. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the most likely scenario for future OTSD enrollment is for continued stability in K-12 enrollment during the next five years until 2011-12, and modest growth in the following five year period between 2011-12 and 2016-17. Close