Search

Search Results

• 31. [Article] Three Rivers School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2016-17

  The area served by the Three Rivers School District (TRSD) has experienced population and housing growth in recent years, but the District’s K-12 school enrollment in 2006-07 is 17 percent lower than its ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Three Rivers School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2016-17 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2006 The area served by the Three Rivers School District (TRSD) has experienced population and housing growth in recent years, but the District’s K-12 school enrollment in 2006-07 is 17 percent lower than its 1995-96 peak. Total K-12 enrollment has fallen in each of the past 11 years and is now lower than in any of the past 30 years. Losses have been greatest in the elementary grades (K-5), which enroll 27 percent fewer students than in 1996-97. The middle grades (6-8) have lost 20 percent in enrollment during the same period, while the high school grades (9-12) have lost only three percent. This report presents the results of a forecast conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) indicating that overall TRSD enrollment will continue to decrease during the next five years, until 2011-12, mostly due to the current smaller elementary and middle school classes moving up to the high school level. Although elementary enrollment is expected to “bottom out” within the next two to four years and begin to grow slightly, the offsetting effect of smaller high school enrollment means that overall K-12 enrollment will be stable at best during the 2011-12 to 2016-17 period. PRC’s methodology links enrollment trends with the area’s population dynamics. As employment, population, and housing growth in the region continues, the enrollment declines should slow, and overall enrollment will stabilize within the 5,000 to 5,100 student range over a period of several years, according to this forecast. Title: Three Rivers School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2016-17 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2006 The area served by the Three Rivers School District (TRSD) has experienced population and housing growth in recent years, but the District’s K-12 school enrollment in 2006-07 is 17 percent lower than its 1995-96 peak. Total K-12 enrollment has fallen in each of the past 11 years and is now lower than in any of the past 30 years. Losses have been greatest in the elementary grades (K-5), which enroll 27 percent fewer students than in 1996-97. The middle grades (6-8) have lost 20 percent in enrollment during the same period, while the high school grades (9-12) have lost only three percent. This report presents the results of a forecast conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) indicating that overall TRSD enrollment will continue to decrease during the next five years, until 2011-12, mostly due to the current smaller elementary and middle school classes moving up to the high school level. Although elementary enrollment is expected to “bottom out” within the next two to four years and begin to grow slightly, the offsetting effect of smaller high school enrollment means that overall K-12 enrollment will be stable at best during the 2011-12 to 2016-17 period. PRC’s methodology links enrollment trends with the area’s population dynamics. As employment, population, and housing growth in the region continues, the enrollment declines should slow, and overall enrollment will stabilize within the 5,000 to 5,100 student range over a period of several years, according to this forecast. Close

• 32. [Article] North Clackamas School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2013-14 to 2022-23

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: North Clackamas School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2013-14 to 2022-23 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Rancik, Kevin, Siu, Vivian Year: 2013 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the North Clackamas School District (NCSD) in recent years and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2013‐14 to 2022‐23 school years. After 22 consecutive years of enrollment growth between 1986‐87 and 2008‐09, total K‐12 enrollment in the North Clackamas School District has fallen for four consecutive years. The largest decline occurred between Fall 2011 and Fall 2012 as District enrollment, now 17,044, fell by 236 students. Over the four year period between 2008‐09 and 2012‐13, elementary (K‐5th) grades had a net loss of about six percent while middle (6th‐8th) grades lost about two percent and high school (9th‐12th) grades lost about three percent. Title: North Clackamas School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2013-14 to 2022-23 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Rancik, Kevin, Siu, Vivian Year: 2013 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the North Clackamas School District (NCSD) in recent years and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2013‐14 to 2022‐23 school years. After 22 consecutive years of enrollment growth between 1986‐87 and 2008‐09, total K‐12 enrollment in the North Clackamas School District has fallen for four consecutive years. The largest decline occurred between Fall 2011 and Fall 2012 as District enrollment, now 17,044, fell by 236 students. Over the four year period between 2008‐09 and 2012‐13, elementary (K‐5th) grades had a net loss of about six percent while middle (6th‐8th) grades lost about two percent and high school (9th‐12th) grades lost about three percent. Close

• 33. [Article] Oregon Trail School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 to 2021-22

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center. The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Oregon Trail School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 to 2021-22 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, RajBhandary, Bimal, Siu, Vivian Year: 2012 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center. The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, low, middle, and high range forecasts of district‐wide enrollment by grade level for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years and middle range forecasts of individual school enrollments for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years. Fall 2011 enrollment in all OTSD schools was 4,089. In the twelve years since 1999‐2000, total K‐ 12 enrollment in the Oregon Trail School District has been relatively stable, never exceeding 4,220 students or falling below 4,036 students. The enrollment increase from Fall 2010 was small (48 students, or 1.2 percent) but it ranks as the largest numeric and percentage enrollment increase in the District’s 14 year history. However, the growth did not make up for the small enrollment declines each of the five years between 2004‐05 and 2009‐10, and K‐12 enrollment remains 131 students (3.1 percent) below its 2004‐05 level of 4,220 students. Title: Oregon Trail School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 to 2021-22 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, RajBhandary, Bimal, Siu, Vivian Year: 2012 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center. The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, low, middle, and high range forecasts of district‐wide enrollment by grade level for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years and middle range forecasts of individual school enrollments for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years. Fall 2011 enrollment in all OTSD schools was 4,089. In the twelve years since 1999‐2000, total K‐ 12 enrollment in the Oregon Trail School District has been relatively stable, never exceeding 4,220 students or falling below 4,036 students. The enrollment increase from Fall 2010 was small (48 students, or 1.2 percent) but it ranks as the largest numeric and percentage enrollment increase in the District’s 14 year history. However, the growth did not make up for the small enrollment declines each of the five years between 2004‐05 and 2009‐10, and K‐12 enrollment remains 131 students (3.1 percent) below its 2004‐05 level of 4,220 students. Close

• 34. [Article] North Clackamas School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 to 2020-21

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: North Clackamas School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 to 2020-21 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, West, David Year: 2011 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the North Clackamas School District (NCSD) in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2011-12 to 2020-21 school years. The District enrolled 17,368 students in Fall 2010, a decrease of 210 students (1.2 percent) from Fall 2009. This was the second consecutive year of decline in enrollment following 22 consecutive years of K-12 enrollment growth between 1986-87 and 2008- 09. This year, for the first time in at least 20 years, total enrollment in schools east of I- 205 did not grow. The Clackamas Feeder System total enrollment was basically unchanged from Fall 2009, with a net loss of 15 students. The Milwaukie and Rex Putnam feeder systems had net enrollment losses of 86 and 72 students respectively. The losses at schools west of I-205 were consistent with long term trends but much smaller than in the previous year, between Fall 2008 and Fall 2009. Title: North Clackamas School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 to 2020-21 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, West, David Year: 2011 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the North Clackamas School District (NCSD) in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2011-12 to 2020-21 school years. The District enrolled 17,368 students in Fall 2010, a decrease of 210 students (1.2 percent) from Fall 2009. This was the second consecutive year of decline in enrollment following 22 consecutive years of K-12 enrollment growth between 1986-87 and 2008- 09. This year, for the first time in at least 20 years, total enrollment in schools east of I- 205 did not grow. The Clackamas Feeder System total enrollment was basically unchanged from Fall 2009, with a net loss of 15 students. The Milwaukie and Rex Putnam feeder systems had net enrollment losses of 86 and 72 students respectively. The losses at schools west of I-205 were consistent with long term trends but much smaller than in the previous year, between Fall 2008 and Fall 2009. Close

• 35. [Article] Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 to 2025-26, Based on October 2010 Enrollments

  In Fall 2011, Portland Public Schools (PPS) enrolled 46,206 students in grades K-12, an increase of 465 students from Fall 2010. This is the third consecutive year of enrollment growth, following 12 consecutive ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 to 2025-26, Based on October 2010 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, West, David Year: 2011 In Fall 2011, Portland Public Schools (PPS) enrolled 46,206 students in grades K-12, an increase of 465 students from Fall 2010. This is the third consecutive year of enrollment growth, following 12 consecutive years of enrollment losses that occurred between 1996- 97 and 2008-09. For the three year period since 2008-09, PPS K-12 enrollment has grown by 1,182 students, or 2.6 percent. In seven of the past eight years, actual K-12 enrollment in the first year of the forecast has been within 300 students of the medium scenario characterized as the “most likely” Enrollment Forecast in reports similar to this one. However, in all eight of those years actual enrollment was higher than the one year medium scenario forecast. Fall 2011 K- 12 enrollment was 227 students (0.5 percent) higher than the medium scenario forecast but 27 students (0.1 percent) lower than the high scenario forecast prepared in Spring 2011. The Enrollment Forecasts in this report were prepared in Spring and Summer 2011, based on historic enrollment data from 2010-11 and previous years. However, the entire report was not ready for publication until after 2011-12 enrollment data became available. This preface briefly addresses the district-wide trends observed in 2011-12 and evaluates the forecasts in the short term. The next report will include more analysis of enrollment trends with respect to area demographics and trends within sub-areas such as high school clusters. The 2011-12 enrollment figures in this preface were published by the District on November 18, 2011. Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 to 2025-26, Based on October 2010 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, West, David Year: 2011 In Fall 2011, Portland Public Schools (PPS) enrolled 46,206 students in grades K-12, an increase of 465 students from Fall 2010. This is the third consecutive year of enrollment growth, following 12 consecutive years of enrollment losses that occurred between 1996- 97 and 2008-09. For the three year period since 2008-09, PPS K-12 enrollment has grown by 1,182 students, or 2.6 percent. In seven of the past eight years, actual K-12 enrollment in the first year of the forecast has been within 300 students of the medium scenario characterized as the “most likely” Enrollment Forecast in reports similar to this one. However, in all eight of those years actual enrollment was higher than the one year medium scenario forecast. Fall 2011 K- 12 enrollment was 227 students (0.5 percent) higher than the medium scenario forecast but 27 students (0.1 percent) lower than the high scenario forecast prepared in Spring 2011. The Enrollment Forecasts in this report were prepared in Spring and Summer 2011, based on historic enrollment data from 2010-11 and previous years. However, the entire report was not ready for publication until after 2011-12 enrollment data became available. This preface briefly addresses the district-wide trends observed in 2011-12 and evaluates the forecasts in the short term. The next report will include more analysis of enrollment trends with respect to area demographics and trends within sub-areas such as high school clusters. The 2011-12 enrollment figures in this preface were published by the District on November 18, 2011. Close

• 36. [Article] Canby School District: Enrollment Forecast Update 2009-10 to 2013-14

  This report presents the results of an updated demographic study for the Canby School District (CSD) conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Canby School District: Enrollment Forecast Update 2009-10 to 2013-14 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Radin, Kenneth Year: 2009 This report presents the results of an updated demographic study for the Canby School District (CSD) conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2009-10 to 2013-14 school years. CSD enrolled 5,015 students in Fall 2008, 139 fewer students (2.7 percent) than in Fall 2007. A small decrease had been forecast due to a relatively small birth cohort corresponding to the 2008-09 kindergarten class and a slowing housing market, but actual enrollment was even lower. In contrast to last year, there were almost no enrollment gains from new housing, and for the first time in many years the District lost students due to net mobility at the elementary level, that is, more children left the District than entered it. Enrollment losses in previous years were influenced more by age structure and the relative sizes of individual grade cohorts than by mobility. Title: Canby School District: Enrollment Forecast Update 2009-10 to 2013-14 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Radin, Kenneth Year: 2009 This report presents the results of an updated demographic study for the Canby School District (CSD) conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2009-10 to 2013-14 school years. CSD enrolled 5,015 students in Fall 2008, 139 fewer students (2.7 percent) than in Fall 2007. A small decrease had been forecast due to a relatively small birth cohort corresponding to the 2008-09 kindergarten class and a slowing housing market, but actual enrollment was even lower. In contrast to last year, there were almost no enrollment gains from new housing, and for the first time in many years the District lost students due to net mobility at the elementary level, that is, more children left the District than entered it. Enrollment losses in previous years were influenced more by age structure and the relative sizes of individual grade cohorts than by mobility. Close

• 37. [Article] Molalla River School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2009-10 to 2020-21

  This report presents the results of a demographic study for the Molalla River School District (MRSD) conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Molalla River School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2009-10 to 2020-21 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2009 This report presents the results of a demographic study for the Molalla River School District (MRSD) conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district-wide grade level enrollments for the 2009-10 to 2020-21 school years. Three possible scenarios for MRSD enrollment correspond to three different population forecasts, which depend on unique assumptions about net migration. Other factors including fertility rates, shares of District residents enrolled in public schools, and enrollment impacts of charter schools do not vary between scenarios; they are held constant. In spite of rapid population and housing growth in the City of Molalla since the 1990s, total enrollment in the MRSD has only fluctuated by a few hundred students since the District’s 1993 consolidation. K-12 enrollment of 2,877 in Fall 2008 was about the same as in Fall 2000, though there are now fewer students in grades K-8 and more in grades 9- 12. Title: Molalla River School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2009-10 to 2020-21 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2009 This report presents the results of a demographic study for the Molalla River School District (MRSD) conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district-wide grade level enrollments for the 2009-10 to 2020-21 school years. Three possible scenarios for MRSD enrollment correspond to three different population forecasts, which depend on unique assumptions about net migration. Other factors including fertility rates, shares of District residents enrolled in public schools, and enrollment impacts of charter schools do not vary between scenarios; they are held constant. In spite of rapid population and housing growth in the City of Molalla since the 1990s, total enrollment in the MRSD has only fluctuated by a few hundred students since the District’s 1993 consolidation. K-12 enrollment of 2,877 in Fall 2008 was about the same as in Fall 2000, though there are now fewer students in grades K-8 and more in grades 9- 12. Close

• 38. [Article] Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2008-09, Based on October 2007 Enrollments

  The Enrollment Forecasts in this report were prepared in Spring 2008, based on historic enrollment data from Fall 2007 and previous years. However, the entire report was not ready for publication until ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2008-09, Based on October 2007 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Proehl, Risa, Lycan, Richard, Hough, George C., Jr. Year: 2009 The Enrollment Forecasts in this report were prepared in Spring 2008, based on historic enrollment data from Fall 2007 and previous years. However, the entire report was not ready for publication until after the Fall 2008 enrollment data became available. This preface briefly addresses the district-wide trends observed in Fall 2008 and evaluates the forecasts in the short term. The next report will include more analysis of enrollment trends with respect to area demographics and trends within sub-areas such as high school clusters. In Fall 2008, Portland Public Schools (PPS) enrolled 45,024 students in grades K-12, only 59 fewer students than in Fall 2007. This small loss (one tenth of one percent) extends the string of enrollment losses to 12 years, but is unlike the much larger losses of the previous 11 years. This year’s K-12 enrollment should be characterized as essentially stable compared with last year’s. Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2008-09, Based on October 2007 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Proehl, Risa, Lycan, Richard, Hough, George C., Jr. Year: 2009 The Enrollment Forecasts in this report were prepared in Spring 2008, based on historic enrollment data from Fall 2007 and previous years. However, the entire report was not ready for publication until after the Fall 2008 enrollment data became available. This preface briefly addresses the district-wide trends observed in Fall 2008 and evaluates the forecasts in the short term. The next report will include more analysis of enrollment trends with respect to area demographics and trends within sub-areas such as high school clusters. In Fall 2008, Portland Public Schools (PPS) enrolled 45,024 students in grades K-12, only 59 fewer students than in Fall 2007. This small loss (one tenth of one percent) extends the string of enrollment losses to 12 years, but is unlike the much larger losses of the previous 11 years. This year’s K-12 enrollment should be characterized as essentially stable compared with last year’s. Close

• 39. [Article] Canby School District: Enrollment Forecast Update 2008-09 to 2012-13

  The Canby School District (CSD) enrolled 5,154 students in Fall 2007, an increase of 79 students (1.6 percent) from Fall 2006. Most of the increase is directly attributable to families living in new housing ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Canby School District: Enrollment Forecast Update 2008-09 to 2012-13 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2008 The Canby School District (CSD) enrolled 5,154 students in Fall 2007, an increase of 79 students (1.6 percent) from Fall 2006. Most of the increase is directly attributable to families living in new housing developed within the District. A relatively large incoming kindergarten class also played a role in the growth. This report presents the results of an updated demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2008-09 to 2012-13 school years. We forecast relatively stable K-12 enrollment totals for the next five years. Based on historic trends in births, migration, and housing construction and our judgment of future trends, we conclude that the average enrollment changes of the next five years are most likely to fall between the large loss that occurred in 2006-07 and the growth that occurred in 2007-08. We are also forecasting relatively stable elementary enrollment, but middle school enrollments are likely to increase and high school enrollments decrease due to the sizes of current classes advancing through secondary schools. Title: Canby School District: Enrollment Forecast Update 2008-09 to 2012-13 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2008 The Canby School District (CSD) enrolled 5,154 students in Fall 2007, an increase of 79 students (1.6 percent) from Fall 2006. Most of the increase is directly attributable to families living in new housing developed within the District. A relatively large incoming kindergarten class also played a role in the growth. This report presents the results of an updated demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2008-09 to 2012-13 school years. We forecast relatively stable K-12 enrollment totals for the next five years. Based on historic trends in births, migration, and housing construction and our judgment of future trends, we conclude that the average enrollment changes of the next five years are most likely to fall between the large loss that occurred in 2006-07 and the growth that occurred in 2007-08. We are also forecasting relatively stable elementary enrollment, but middle school enrollments are likely to increase and high school enrollments decrease due to the sizes of current classes advancing through secondary schools. Close

• 40. [Article] Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2009-10 to 2020-21, Based on October 2008 Enrollments

  The Enrollment Forecasts in this report were prepared in Spring and Summer 2009, based on historic enrollment data from Fall 2008 and previous years. However, the entire report was not ready for publication ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2009-10 to 2020-21, Based on October 2008 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Gu, Danan, Lycan, Richard, Radin, Kenneth Year: 2009 The Enrollment Forecasts in this report were prepared in Spring and Summer 2009, based on historic enrollment data from Fall 2008 and previous years. However, the entire report was not ready for publication until after preliminary Fall 2009 enrollment data became available. This preface briefly addresses the district-wide trends observed in Fall 2009 and evaluates the forecasts in the short term. The next report will include more analysis of enrollment trends with respect to area demographics and trends within subareas such as high school clusters. All 2009-10 enrollment figures are preliminary figures as of October 1, tabulated by the District on November 5, 2009. In Fall 2009, Portland Public Schools (PPS) enrolled 45,747 students in grades K-12, an increase of 723 students from Fall 2008. This growth breaks the string of 12 consecutive years of enrollment losses and represents the District’s biggest growth since 1992. In each of the previous five years, the medium scenarios characterized as the “most likely” Enrollment Forecasts in reports similar to this one were within 300 students of actual K-12 enrollment in the first year of the forecast. This year, K-12 enrollment is about 700 students above the medium scenario prepared in Spring 2009. Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2009-10 to 2020-21, Based on October 2008 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Gu, Danan, Lycan, Richard, Radin, Kenneth Year: 2009 The Enrollment Forecasts in this report were prepared in Spring and Summer 2009, based on historic enrollment data from Fall 2008 and previous years. However, the entire report was not ready for publication until after preliminary Fall 2009 enrollment data became available. This preface briefly addresses the district-wide trends observed in Fall 2009 and evaluates the forecasts in the short term. The next report will include more analysis of enrollment trends with respect to area demographics and trends within subareas such as high school clusters. All 2009-10 enrollment figures are preliminary figures as of October 1, tabulated by the District on November 5, 2009. In Fall 2009, Portland Public Schools (PPS) enrolled 45,747 students in grades K-12, an increase of 723 students from Fall 2008. This growth breaks the string of 12 consecutive years of enrollment losses and represents the District’s biggest growth since 1992. In each of the previous five years, the medium scenarios characterized as the “most likely” Enrollment Forecasts in reports similar to this one were within 300 students of actual K-12 enrollment in the first year of the forecast. This year, K-12 enrollment is about 700 students above the medium scenario prepared in Spring 2009. Close