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• 1. [Article] Demographic Update

  A summary of recent U.S., Oregon, and Portland Demographic Trends.

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Demographic Update Author: Rynerson, Charles Year: 2013 A summary of recent U.S., Oregon, and Portland Demographic Trends. Title: Demographic Update Author: Rynerson, Charles Year: 2013 A summary of recent U.S., Oregon, and Portland Demographic Trends. Close

• 2. [Article] Population Forecasts for Marion County, its Cities and Unincorporated Area 2010-2030

  This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Population Research Center (PRC) to address long-range planning needs of Marion County and to produce population forecasts at the county and ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Population Forecasts for Marion County, its Cities and Unincorporated Area 2010-2030 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Proehl, Risa, Rynerson, Charles, Radin, Kenneth, Smith-Buani, Joseph Year: 2008 This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Population Research Center (PRC) to address long-range planning needs of Marion County and to produce population forecasts at the county and sub-county level. This report considers recent and historical demographic changes experienced within the County and provides forecasts from 2010 to 2030 in 5-year intervals. Expected future populations that result from the most-likely demographic trends throughout Marion County are presented in this report for all cities in the County. Title: Population Forecasts for Marion County, its Cities and Unincorporated Area 2010-2030 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Proehl, Risa, Rynerson, Charles, Radin, Kenneth, Smith-Buani, Joseph Year: 2008 This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Population Research Center (PRC) to address long-range planning needs of Marion County and to produce population forecasts at the county and sub-county level. This report considers recent and historical demographic changes experienced within the County and provides forecasts from 2010 to 2030 in 5-year intervals. Expected future populations that result from the most-likely demographic trends throughout Marion County are presented in this report for all cities in the County. Close

• 3. [Article] A Pitch for School Geo-Demography

  A presentation that seeks to provide a snapshot of the field of school demography, and briefly outlines the major approached used in school enrollment forecasting. Also shows examples of how contract research ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: A Pitch for School Geo-Demography Author: Lycan, Robert, Rynerson, Charles Year: 2012 A presentation that seeks to provide a snapshot of the field of school demography, and briefly outlines the major approached used in school enrollment forecasting. Also shows examples of how contract research leads to interesting research issues, and describes how these can fit into a university setting. Title: A Pitch for School Geo-Demography Author: Lycan, Robert, Rynerson, Charles Year: 2012 A presentation that seeks to provide a snapshot of the field of school demography, and briefly outlines the major approached used in school enrollment forecasting. Also shows examples of how contract research leads to interesting research issues, and describes how these can fit into a university setting. Close

• 4. [Article] Older Moms Deliver: How Increased Births to Older Mothers are Impacting School Enrollment

  A presentation that seeks to shed light on social processes in Portland, Oregon, and provide a look at how GIS and demographic tools can be used to dissect complicated issues.

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Older Moms Deliver: How Increased Births to Older Mothers are Impacting School Enrollment Author: Lycan, Robert, Rynerson, Charles Year: 2012 A presentation that seeks to shed light on social processes in Portland, Oregon, and provide a look at how GIS and demographic tools can be used to dissect complicated issues. Title: Older Moms Deliver: How Increased Births to Older Mothers are Impacting School Enrollment Author: Lycan, Robert, Rynerson, Charles Year: 2012 A presentation that seeks to shed light on social processes in Portland, Oregon, and provide a look at how GIS and demographic tools can be used to dissect complicated issues. Close

• 5. [Article] Visualizing Demographic Change: Gentrification and Older Moms in Portland

  A presentation that attempts to shed light on social processes in Portland, Oregon, and provide a look at how GIS and demographic tools can be used to dissect complicated issues.

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Visualizing Demographic Change: Gentrification and Older Moms in Portland Author: Lycan, Robert, Rynerson, Charles Year: 2012 A presentation that attempts to shed light on social processes in Portland, Oregon, and provide a look at how GIS and demographic tools can be used to dissect complicated issues. Title: Visualizing Demographic Change: Gentrification and Older Moms in Portland Author: Lycan, Robert, Rynerson, Charles Year: 2012 A presentation that attempts to shed light on social processes in Portland, Oregon, and provide a look at how GIS and demographic tools can be used to dissect complicated issues. Close

• 6. [Article] Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2011-12 to 2020-21

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2011-12 to 2020-21 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, West, David, Siu, Vivian Year: 2010 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of districtwide and individual school enrollments for the 2011-12 to 2020-21 school years. The Tigard-Tualatin School District (TTSD) enrolled 12,393 students in Fall 2010, a decrease of 74 students (0.6 percent) from Fall 2009. The loss occurred at both the elementary and middle school levels, with decreases of 41 students (0.7 percent) in grades K-5 and 123 students (4.2 percent) in grades 6-8. Conversely, district-wide enrollment in high school grades 9-12 increased by 90 students (2.3 percent). Title: Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2011-12 to 2020-21 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, West, David, Siu, Vivian Year: 2010 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of districtwide and individual school enrollments for the 2011-12 to 2020-21 school years. The Tigard-Tualatin School District (TTSD) enrolled 12,393 students in Fall 2010, a decrease of 74 students (0.6 percent) from Fall 2009. The loss occurred at both the elementary and middle school levels, with decreases of 41 students (0.7 percent) in grades K-5 and 123 students (4.2 percent) in grades 6-8. Conversely, district-wide enrollment in high school grades 9-12 increased by 90 students (2.3 percent). Close

• 7. [Article] Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2010-11 to 2019-20

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2010-11 to 2019-20 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2009 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of districtwide and individual school enrollments for the 2010-11 to 2019-20 school years. The Tigard-Tualatin School District (TTSD) enrolled 12,467 students in Fall 2009, a decrease of 128 students (1.0 percent) from Fall 2008. The loss occurred at both the elementary and high school levels, with decreases of 88 students (1.5 percent) in grades K-5 and 71 students (1.8 percent) in grades 9-12. District-wide enrollment in middle school grades 6-8 increased by 31 students (1.1 percent). Title: Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2010-11 to 2019-20 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2009 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of districtwide and individual school enrollments for the 2010-11 to 2019-20 school years. The Tigard-Tualatin School District (TTSD) enrolled 12,467 students in Fall 2009, a decrease of 128 students (1.0 percent) from Fall 2008. The loss occurred at both the elementary and high school levels, with decreases of 88 students (1.5 percent) in grades K-5 and 71 students (1.8 percent) in grades 9-12. District-wide enrollment in middle school grades 6-8 increased by 31 students (1.1 percent). Close

• 8. [Article] Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update 2015-16 to 2024-25

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the Tigard‐Tualatin School District (TTSD). The study includes analysis ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update 2015-16 to 2024-25 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Chun, Nicholas Year: 2014 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the Tigard‐Tualatin School District (TTSD). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2015‐16 to 2024‐25 school years. Title: Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update 2015-16 to 2024-25 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Chun, Nicholas Year: 2014 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the Tigard‐Tualatin School District (TTSD). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2015‐16 to 2024‐25 school years. Close

• 9. [Article] North Clackamas School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2015‐16 to 2024‐25

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: North Clackamas School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2015‐16 to 2024‐25 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Chun, Nicholas Year: 2015 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the North Clackamas School District (NCSD) in recent years and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2015‐16 to 2024‐25 school years. Title: North Clackamas School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2015‐16 to 2024‐25 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Chun, Nicholas Year: 2015 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the North Clackamas School District (NCSD) in recent years and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2015‐16 to 2024‐25 school years. Close

• 10. [Article] Bend–La Pine School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2015-16 to 2034-35

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the Bend – La Pine School District (BLPSD). The study includes analyses ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Bend–La Pine School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2015-16 to 2034-35 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Stewart, Scott Year: 2014 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the Bend – La Pine School District (BLPSD). The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, and forecasts of district‐wide school enrollments for the 2015‐16 to 2034‐35 school years. Title: Bend–La Pine School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2015-16 to 2034-35 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Stewart, Scott Year: 2014 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the Bend – La Pine School District (BLPSD). The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, and forecasts of district‐wide school enrollments for the 2015‐16 to 2034‐35 school years. Close

• 11. [Article] Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update 2016-17 to 2025-26

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the Tigard‐Tualatin School District (TTSD). The study includes analysis ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update 2016-17 to 2025-26 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Chun, Nicholas, Stewart, Scott Year: 2015 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the Tigard‐Tualatin School District (TTSD). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2016‐17 to 2025‐26 school years. Title: Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update 2016-17 to 2025-26 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Chun, Nicholas, Stewart, Scott Year: 2015 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the Tigard‐Tualatin School District (TTSD). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2016‐17 to 2025‐26 school years. Close

• 12. [Article] McMinnville School District Enrollment Forecasts 2015-16 to 2024-25

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the McMinnville School District (MSD). The study includes analysis ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: McMinnville School District Enrollment Forecasts 2015-16 to 2024-25 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Chun, Nicholas Year: 2015 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the McMinnville School District (MSD). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district‐wide enrollments for a ten year period from 2015‐16 to 2024‐25 and of individual schools for a five year period from 2015‐16 to 2019‐20. Title: McMinnville School District Enrollment Forecasts 2015-16 to 2024-25 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Chun, Nicholas Year: 2015 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the McMinnville School District (MSD). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district‐wide enrollments for a ten year period from 2015‐16 to 2024‐25 and of individual schools for a five year period from 2015‐16 to 2019‐20. Close

• 13. [Article] Gresham-Barlow School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2012-13 to 2021-22

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Gresham-Barlow School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2012-13 to 2021-22 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Siu, Vivian, Rynerson, Charles, Dann, Ryan Year: 2012 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on Gresham‐Barlow School District (GBSD) enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years. Title: Gresham-Barlow School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2012-13 to 2021-22 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Siu, Vivian, Rynerson, Charles, Dann, Ryan Year: 2012 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on Gresham‐Barlow School District (GBSD) enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years. Close

• 14. [Article] North Clackamas School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2017-18 to 2026-27

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: North Clackamas School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2017-18 to 2026-27 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Stewart, Scott, Yang, Xi Year: 2017 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the North Clackamas School District (NCSD) in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2017-18 to 2026-27 school years. Title: North Clackamas School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2017-18 to 2026-27 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Stewart, Scott, Yang, Xi Year: 2017 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the North Clackamas School District (NCSD) in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2017-18 to 2026-27 school years. Close

• 15. [Article] David Douglas School District Enrollment Forecasts 2014-15 to 2033-34

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the David Douglas School District (DDSD). The study includes analysis ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: David Douglas School District Enrollment Forecasts 2014-15 to 2033-34 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Rancik, Kevin Christopher, Dann, Ryan Year: 2014 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the David Douglas School District (DDSD). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on DDSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2014‐15 to 2033‐34 school years. Title: David Douglas School District Enrollment Forecasts 2014-15 to 2033-34 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Rancik, Kevin Christopher, Dann, Ryan Year: 2014 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the David Douglas School District (DDSD). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on DDSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2014‐15 to 2033‐34 school years. Close

• 16. [Article] Sherwood School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2014-15 to 2023-24

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the Sherwood School District (SSD). The study includes analysis of ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Sherwood School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2014-15 to 2023-24 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Stewart, Scott Year: 2014 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the Sherwood School District (SSD). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on SSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2014‐15 to 2023‐24 school years. Title: Sherwood School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2014-15 to 2023-24 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Stewart, Scott Year: 2014 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the Sherwood School District (SSD). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on SSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2014‐15 to 2023‐24 school years. Close

• 17. [Article] Forest Grove School District: Enrollment Forecast 2013-14 to 2022-23

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the Forest Grove School District (FGSD). The study includes analysis ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Forest Grove School District: Enrollment Forecast 2013-14 to 2022-23 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, RajBhandary, Bimal, Dann, Ryan Year: 2013 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the Forest Grove School District (FGSD). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on FGSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2013‐14 to 2022‐23 school years. Title: Forest Grove School District: Enrollment Forecast 2013-14 to 2022-23 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, RajBhandary, Bimal, Dann, Ryan Year: 2013 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the Forest Grove School District (FGSD). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on FGSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2013‐14 to 2022‐23 school years. Close

• 18. [Article] Lake Oswego School District Population and Enrollment Forecast 2013-14 to 2022-23

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Lake Oswego School District Population and Enrollment Forecast 2013-14 to 2022-23 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Siu, Vivian, Rynerson, Charles Year: 2013 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on LOSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2013‐14 to 2022‐23 school years. Title: Lake Oswego School District Population and Enrollment Forecast 2013-14 to 2022-23 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Siu, Vivian, Rynerson, Charles Year: 2013 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on LOSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2013‐14 to 2022‐23 school years. Close

• 19. [Article] Beaverton School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2012-13 to 2025-26

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Beaverton School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2012-13 to 2025-26 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, RajBhandary, Bimal, Rancik, Kevin, Siu, Vivian Year: 2012 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on BSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual elementary school enrollments for the 2012‐13 to 2025‐26 school years. Title: Beaverton School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2012-13 to 2025-26 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, RajBhandary, Bimal, Rancik, Kevin, Siu, Vivian Year: 2012 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on BSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual elementary school enrollments for the 2012‐13 to 2025‐26 school years. Close

• 20. [Article] Hillsboro School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 to 2025-26

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Hillsboro School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 to 2025-26 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Dann, Ryan Year: 2012 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on Hillsboro School District (HSD) enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide Enrollment Forecasts annually from 2012‐13 to 2025‐26 and individual school forecasts annually from 2012‐13 to 2016‐17. Title: Hillsboro School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 to 2025-26 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Dann, Ryan Year: 2012 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on Hillsboro School District (HSD) enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide Enrollment Forecasts annually from 2012‐13 to 2025‐26 and individual school forecasts annually from 2012‐13 to 2016‐17. Close

• 21. [Article] Corvallis School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 to 2020-21

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing, employment, and ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Corvallis School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 to 2020-21 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, West, David, Siu, Vivian Year: 2011 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing, employment, and school enrollment trends affecting the Corvallis School District (CSD) in recent years, estimates of the average number of CSD students living in single family homes, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2011‐12 to 2020‐21 school years. Title: Corvallis School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 to 2020-21 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, West, David, Siu, Vivian Year: 2011 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing, employment, and school enrollment trends affecting the Corvallis School District (CSD) in recent years, estimates of the average number of CSD students living in single family homes, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2011‐12 to 2020‐21 school years. Close

• 22. [Article] Eagle Point School District Enrollment Forecasts 2014-15 to 2023-24

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center. The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Eagle Point School District Enrollment Forecasts 2014-15 to 2023-24 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Rancik, Kevin Christopher Year: 2013 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center. The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the Eagle Point School District (EPSD) in recent years, forecasts of district‐wide enrollment by grade level and total enrollment of individual schools for the 2014‐ 15 to 2023‐24 school years. Title: Eagle Point School District Enrollment Forecasts 2014-15 to 2023-24 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Rancik, Kevin Christopher Year: 2013 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center. The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the Eagle Point School District (EPSD) in recent years, forecasts of district‐wide enrollment by grade level and total enrollment of individual schools for the 2014‐ 15 to 2023‐24 school years. Close

• 23. [Article] Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update 2014-15 to 2023-24

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the Tigard‐Tualatin School District (TTSD). The study includes analysis ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update 2014-15 to 2023-24 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Dann, Ryan Year: 2013 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the Tigard‐Tualatin School District (TTSD). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2014‐15 to 2023‐24 school years. Title: Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update 2014-15 to 2023-24 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Dann, Ryan Year: 2013 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the Tigard‐Tualatin School District (TTSD). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2014‐15 to 2023‐24 school years. Close

• 24. [Article] Hermiston School District Enrolment Forecasts 2014-15 to 2023-24

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center. The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Hermiston School District Enrolment Forecasts 2014-15 to 2023-24 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2014 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center. The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the Hermiston School District (HSD) in recent years, and forecasts of district‐wide enrollment by grade level for the 2014‐15 to 2023‐24 school years. Title: Hermiston School District Enrolment Forecasts 2014-15 to 2023-24 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2014 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center. The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the Hermiston School District (HSD) in recent years, and forecasts of district‐wide enrollment by grade level for the 2014‐15 to 2023‐24 school years. Close

• 25. [Article] North Clackamas School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2016‐17 to 2025‐26

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: North Clackamas School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2016‐17 to 2025‐26 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Stewart, Scott, Chun, Nicholas Year: 2016 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the North Clackamas School District (NCSD) in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2016-17 to 2025-26 school years. Title: North Clackamas School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2016‐17 to 2025‐26 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Stewart, Scott, Chun, Nicholas Year: 2016 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the North Clackamas School District (NCSD) in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2016-17 to 2025-26 school years. Close

• 26. [Article] McMinnville School District Enrollment Forecasts 2017-18 to 2026-27

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the McMinnville School District (MSD). The study includes analysis ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: McMinnville School District Enrollment Forecasts 2017-18 to 2026-27 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Yang, Xi Year: 2017 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the McMinnville School District (MSD). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district‐wide enrollments for a ten year period from 2017‐18 to 2026‐27 and of individual schools for a five year period from 2017‐18 to 2021‐22. Title: McMinnville School District Enrollment Forecasts 2017-18 to 2026-27 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Yang, Xi Year: 2017 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the McMinnville School District (MSD). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district‐wide enrollments for a ten year period from 2017‐18 to 2026‐27 and of individual schools for a five year period from 2017‐18 to 2021‐22. Close

• 27. [Article] Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update 2017-18 to 2026-27

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the Tigard‐Tualatin School District (TTSD). The study includes analysis ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update 2017-18 to 2026-27 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Yang, Xi Year: 2017 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the Tigard‐Tualatin School District (TTSD). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2017‐18 to 2026‐27 school years. Title: Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update 2017-18 to 2026-27 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Yang, Xi Year: 2017 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the Tigard‐Tualatin School District (TTSD). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2017‐18 to 2026‐27 school years. Close

• 28. [Article] Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2007-08 to 2011-12

  The Tigard-Tualatin School District (TTSD) enrolled 12,300 students in Fall 2006, an increase of 167 students (1.4 percent) from Fall 2005. Growth was concentrated in the elementary grades (K-5), which ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2007-08 to 2011-12 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2006 The Tigard-Tualatin School District (TTSD) enrolled 12,300 students in Fall 2006, an increase of 167 students (1.4 percent) from Fall 2005. Growth was concentrated in the elementary grades (K-5), which grew by 195 students (3.6 percent) between Fall 2005 and Fall 2006. This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of new housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2007-08 to 2011-12 school years. The forecasts indicate that overall TTSD enrollment will continue to increase during the next five years, due largely to net in-migration of families with children. Recent subdivision approvals will allow single family home construction to continue at its current pace for the next two to three years, but no new multiple family rental developments have been approved in the past two years. In some parts of the District, a dwindling supply of available residential land has already caused housing growth to slow, but growth in other areas has the potential to generate enrollment growth throughout the next five years. Also, the growing Hispanic population in the District compensates for the graduation of the "echo boom" enrollment bulge currently enrolled in high school grades. Title: Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2007-08 to 2011-12 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2006 The Tigard-Tualatin School District (TTSD) enrolled 12,300 students in Fall 2006, an increase of 167 students (1.4 percent) from Fall 2005. Growth was concentrated in the elementary grades (K-5), which grew by 195 students (3.6 percent) between Fall 2005 and Fall 2006. This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of new housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2007-08 to 2011-12 school years. The forecasts indicate that overall TTSD enrollment will continue to increase during the next five years, due largely to net in-migration of families with children. Recent subdivision approvals will allow single family home construction to continue at its current pace for the next two to three years, but no new multiple family rental developments have been approved in the past two years. In some parts of the District, a dwindling supply of available residential land has already caused housing growth to slow, but growth in other areas has the potential to generate enrollment growth throughout the next five years. Also, the growing Hispanic population in the District compensates for the graduation of the "echo boom" enrollment bulge currently enrolled in high school grades. Close

• 29. [Article] Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2013-14 to 2022-23

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2013-14 to 2022-23 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Dann, Ryan Year: 2012 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2013‐14 to 2022‐23 school years. The Tigard‐Tualatin School District (TTSD) enrolled 12,341 students in Fall 2012, a decrease of 25 students (0.2 percent) from Fall 2011. This is the fourth consecutive year of K‐12 enrollment loss, but the declines of the most recent two years have been small compared with the loss of 128 students in 2009‐10 and 74 students in 2010‐11. District elementary schools experienced a net loss of 36 students (0.6 percent) in 2012‐13, and 238 students (4.1 percent) for the four year period since their enrollment peak in 2008‐09. Middle grades (6th‐8th) in District schools gained enrollment in 2012‐13, and are just 59 students (2.0 percent) below their 2009‐10 peak. District‐wide enrollment in high school grades 9‐12 has been virtually unchanged since 2010‐11 and remains near its peak. In contrast to the K‐5th grade enrollment decline, Fall 2012 kindergarten enrollment of 939 in TTSD schools was the largest ever, 62 students larger than in Fall 2011. However, the kindergarten growth is not likely to be sustained, as births to District residents peaked in 2006‐07, the birth cohort that entered kindergarten in Fall 2012. Title: Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2013-14 to 2022-23 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Dann, Ryan Year: 2012 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2013‐14 to 2022‐23 school years. The Tigard‐Tualatin School District (TTSD) enrolled 12,341 students in Fall 2012, a decrease of 25 students (0.2 percent) from Fall 2011. This is the fourth consecutive year of K‐12 enrollment loss, but the declines of the most recent two years have been small compared with the loss of 128 students in 2009‐10 and 74 students in 2010‐11. District elementary schools experienced a net loss of 36 students (0.6 percent) in 2012‐13, and 238 students (4.1 percent) for the four year period since their enrollment peak in 2008‐09. Middle grades (6th‐8th) in District schools gained enrollment in 2012‐13, and are just 59 students (2.0 percent) below their 2009‐10 peak. District‐wide enrollment in high school grades 9‐12 has been virtually unchanged since 2010‐11 and remains near its peak. In contrast to the K‐5th grade enrollment decline, Fall 2012 kindergarten enrollment of 939 in TTSD schools was the largest ever, 62 students larger than in Fall 2011. However, the kindergarten growth is not likely to be sustained, as births to District residents peaked in 2006‐07, the birth cohort that entered kindergarten in Fall 2012. Close

• 30. [Article] North Santiam School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 to 2025-26

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the North Santiam School District (NSSD). The three district‐wide ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: North Santiam School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 to 2025-26 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2011 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the North Santiam School District (NSSD). The three district‐wide Enrollment Forecast scenarios for the period 2011‐12 to 2025‐26 describe a long‐range in which enrollment is either relatively stable (LOW series), growing moderately (MIDDLE series), or growing rapidly (HIGH series). They differ due in their assumptions about migration levels as well as the share of District school‐age residents attending NSSD schools. Assumptions for migration rates by age and sex incorporate observations from the 1990s and 2000s, and population growth levels in each scenario are consistent with recent population forecasts for Marion County and Stayton and Sublimity. Growth expectations in the 2010 to 2020 period are tempered by the reality that employment is recovering slowly from the recession and major new industrial or residential development is not expected in the short term. In the first two years of the forecast, 2011‐12 and 2012‐13, both the LOW and MIDDLE forecasts predict overall K‐12 enrollment losses, while the HIGH forecast predicts very small gains. During the remaining 13 years of the forecast, each of the three forecasts indicates enrollment growth, though at very different rates. Title: North Santiam School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 to 2025-26 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2011 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the North Santiam School District (NSSD). The three district‐wide Enrollment Forecast scenarios for the period 2011‐12 to 2025‐26 describe a long‐range in which enrollment is either relatively stable (LOW series), growing moderately (MIDDLE series), or growing rapidly (HIGH series). They differ due in their assumptions about migration levels as well as the share of District school‐age residents attending NSSD schools. Assumptions for migration rates by age and sex incorporate observations from the 1990s and 2000s, and population growth levels in each scenario are consistent with recent population forecasts for Marion County and Stayton and Sublimity. Growth expectations in the 2010 to 2020 period are tempered by the reality that employment is recovering slowly from the recession and major new industrial or residential development is not expected in the short term. In the first two years of the forecast, 2011‐12 and 2012‐13, both the LOW and MIDDLE forecasts predict overall K‐12 enrollment losses, while the HIGH forecast predicts very small gains. During the remaining 13 years of the forecast, each of the three forecasts indicates enrollment growth, though at very different rates. Close

• 31. [Article] Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2012-13 to 2021-22

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2012-13 to 2021-22 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Dann, Ryan Year: 2011 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years. The Tigard‐Tualatin School District (TTSD) enrolled 12,366 students in Fall 2011, a decrease of 27 students (0.2 percent) from Fall 2010. This is the third consecutive year of K‐12 enrollment loss, but the change was small compared with the loss of 128 students in 2009‐10 and 74 students in 2010‐11. District elementary schools experienced a net loss of 73 students (1.3 percent) in 2011‐12, and 202 students (3.5 percent) for the three year period since 2008‐09. Middle grades (6th‐8th) gained 51 students (1.8 percent) in 2011‐12, mostly due to a larger sixth grade replacing a smaller eighth grade. District‐wide enrollment in high school grades 9‐12 was essentially stable, decreasing by just five students (0.1 percent). Title: Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2012-13 to 2021-22 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Dann, Ryan Year: 2011 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years. The Tigard‐Tualatin School District (TTSD) enrolled 12,366 students in Fall 2011, a decrease of 27 students (0.2 percent) from Fall 2010. This is the third consecutive year of K‐12 enrollment loss, but the change was small compared with the loss of 128 students in 2009‐10 and 74 students in 2010‐11. District elementary schools experienced a net loss of 73 students (1.3 percent) in 2011‐12, and 202 students (3.5 percent) for the three year period since 2008‐09. Middle grades (6th‐8th) gained 51 students (1.8 percent) in 2011‐12, mostly due to a larger sixth grade replacing a smaller eighth grade. District‐wide enrollment in high school grades 9‐12 was essentially stable, decreasing by just five students (0.1 percent). Close

• 32. [Article] Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2009-10 to 2018-19

  The Tigard-Tualatin School District (TTSD) enrolled 12,595 students in Fall 2008, an increase of 135 students (1.1 percent) from Fall 2007. Growth was concentrated in elementary and middle grades, with ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2009-10 to 2018-19 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Gu, Danan Year: 2008 The Tigard-Tualatin School District (TTSD) enrolled 12,595 students in Fall 2008, an increase of 135 students (1.1 percent) from Fall 2007. Growth was concentrated in elementary and middle grades, with increases of 99 students (1.7 percent) in grades K-5 and 36 students (1.3 percent) in grades 6-8. District-wide enrollment in high school grades 9-12 was unchanged from Fall 2007. This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of new housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2009-10 to 2018-19 school years. Total K-12 enrollment in the TTSD has grown in 20 of the past 21 years. New housing development has contributed to enrollment growth throughout that period. Sustained growth in elementary enrollment from the late 1980s to the mid 1990s and the more recent growth in high school enrollment were influenced by the rapid increase in births caused by the "echo" of the baby boom. Since the late 1990s, a growing Latino population has also been a major contributor to the District’s enrollment growth. Title: Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2009-10 to 2018-19 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Gu, Danan Year: 2008 The Tigard-Tualatin School District (TTSD) enrolled 12,595 students in Fall 2008, an increase of 135 students (1.1 percent) from Fall 2007. Growth was concentrated in elementary and middle grades, with increases of 99 students (1.7 percent) in grades K-5 and 36 students (1.3 percent) in grades 6-8. District-wide enrollment in high school grades 9-12 was unchanged from Fall 2007. This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of new housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2009-10 to 2018-19 school years. Total K-12 enrollment in the TTSD has grown in 20 of the past 21 years. New housing development has contributed to enrollment growth throughout that period. Sustained growth in elementary enrollment from the late 1980s to the mid 1990s and the more recent growth in high school enrollment were influenced by the rapid increase in births caused by the "echo" of the baby boom. Since the late 1990s, a growing Latino population has also been a major contributor to the District’s enrollment growth. Close

• 33. [Article] Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2008-09 to 2011-12

  The Tigard-Tualatin School District (TTSD) enrolled 12,460 students in Fall 2007, an increase of 153 students (1.2 percent) from Fall 2006. Growth was concentrated in the secondary grades, with increases ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2008-09 to 2011-12 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2007 The Tigard-Tualatin School District (TTSD) enrolled 12,460 students in Fall 2007, an increase of 153 students (1.2 percent) from Fall 2006. Growth was concentrated in the secondary grades, with increases of 59 students (2.1 percent) in middle school grades 6-8, and 93 students (2.4 percent) in high school grades 9-12. Elementary grades K-5 enrolled only one more student in Fall 2007 compared with Fall 2006. This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of new housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2008-09 to 2012-13 school years. The forecasts indicate that overall TTSD enrollment will continue to increase during the next five years, due largely to net in-migration of families with children. Single family housing development in 2007 has been slower than in recent years, as homebuilders have adjusted to the slower housing market that has affected the Portland metropolitan region. But construction and sales are continuing in several subdivisions in the District, at least two large multi-family developments are planned, and redevelopment and infill is also adding to the District’s housing stock. Title: Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2008-09 to 2011-12 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2007 The Tigard-Tualatin School District (TTSD) enrolled 12,460 students in Fall 2007, an increase of 153 students (1.2 percent) from Fall 2006. Growth was concentrated in the secondary grades, with increases of 59 students (2.1 percent) in middle school grades 6-8, and 93 students (2.4 percent) in high school grades 9-12. Elementary grades K-5 enrolled only one more student in Fall 2007 compared with Fall 2006. This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of new housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2008-09 to 2012-13 school years. The forecasts indicate that overall TTSD enrollment will continue to increase during the next five years, due largely to net in-migration of families with children. Single family housing development in 2007 has been slower than in recent years, as homebuilders have adjusted to the slower housing market that has affected the Portland metropolitan region. But construction and sales are continuing in several subdivisions in the District, at least two large multi-family developments are planned, and redevelopment and infill is also adding to the District’s housing stock. Close

• 34. [Article] North Santiam School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2017-18 to 2031-32

  This report presents a series of three scenarios of district-wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the North Santiam School District (NSSD) for the 15-year period between 2017-18 and 2031-32. Each ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: North Santiam School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2017-18 to 2031-32 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Stewart, Scott, Chun, Nicholas Year: 2016 This report presents a series of three scenarios of district-wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the North Santiam School District (NSSD) for the 15-year period between 2017-18 and 2031-32. Each enrollment forecast scenario is related to population forecasts that incorporate different assumptions about growth within the District, with the primary differences being the contribution of net migration to the District’s population and age distribution. Individual school forecasts consistent with the middle series scenario are also presented for the 15-year period. Title: North Santiam School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2017-18 to 2031-32 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Stewart, Scott, Chun, Nicholas Year: 2016 This report presents a series of three scenarios of district-wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the North Santiam School District (NSSD) for the 15-year period between 2017-18 and 2031-32. Each enrollment forecast scenario is related to population forecasts that incorporate different assumptions about growth within the District, with the primary differences being the contribution of net migration to the District’s population and age distribution. Individual school forecasts consistent with the middle series scenario are also presented for the 15-year period. Close

• 35. [Article] North Santiam School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2006-07 to 2025-26

  The North Santiam School District (NSSD) covers about 100 square miles of Marion and Linn Counties in Western Oregon, and includes the communities of Lyons, Mehama, Stayton, and Sublimity. The area served ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: North Santiam School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2006-07 to 2025-26 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Proehl, Risa S. Year: 2006 The North Santiam School District (NSSD) covers about 100 square miles of Marion and Linn Counties in Western Oregon, and includes the communities of Lyons, Mehama, Stayton, and Sublimity. The area served by the District has experienced sustained growth in population, housing, and public school enrollment in recent years. This report presents the results of a forecast conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) indicating that NSSD enrollment will continue to grow during the next twenty years. PRC’s methodology links enrollment trends with the area’s population dynamics. Population and housing are closely related to access to jobs. By itself, the District’s past growth is no guarantee of future long-term growth, but in the context of expected employment, population, and housing growth, enrollment is likely to increase at all grade levels. Title: North Santiam School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2006-07 to 2025-26 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Proehl, Risa S. Year: 2006 The North Santiam School District (NSSD) covers about 100 square miles of Marion and Linn Counties in Western Oregon, and includes the communities of Lyons, Mehama, Stayton, and Sublimity. The area served by the District has experienced sustained growth in population, housing, and public school enrollment in recent years. This report presents the results of a forecast conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) indicating that NSSD enrollment will continue to grow during the next twenty years. PRC’s methodology links enrollment trends with the area’s population dynamics. Population and housing are closely related to access to jobs. By itself, the District’s past growth is no guarantee of future long-term growth, but in the context of expected employment, population, and housing growth, enrollment is likely to increase at all grade levels. Close

• 36. [Article] North Clackamas School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 to 2021-22

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: North Clackamas School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 to 2021-22 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Jurjevich, Jason R., Rancik, Kevin, Siu, Vivian Year: 2012 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the North Clackamas School District (NCSD) in recent years and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years. The District enrolled 17,280 students in Fall 2011, a decrease of 68 students (‐0.4 percent) from Fall 2010. Following the recent economic recession, which began in late 2008, enrollment has declined for NCSD in each of the last three consecutive years. This period of decline in the number of students stands in stark contrast to the preceding 22 consecutive years of K‐12 enrollment growth between 1986‐87 and 2008‐09. Title: North Clackamas School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 to 2021-22 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Jurjevich, Jason R., Rancik, Kevin, Siu, Vivian Year: 2012 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the North Clackamas School District (NCSD) in recent years and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years. The District enrolled 17,280 students in Fall 2011, a decrease of 68 students (‐0.4 percent) from Fall 2010. Following the recent economic recession, which began in late 2008, enrollment has declined for NCSD in each of the last three consecutive years. This period of decline in the number of students stands in stark contrast to the preceding 22 consecutive years of K‐12 enrollment growth between 1986‐87 and 2008‐09. Close

• 37. [Article] Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 to 2020-21

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center. The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 to 2020-21 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, West, David Year: 2011 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center. The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, low, middle, and high range forecasts of district‐wide enrollment by grade level for the 2011‐12 to 2020‐21 school years and middle range forecasts of individual school enrollments for the 2011‐12 to 2015‐16 school years. The District’s K‐12 enrollment of 7,751 in 2010‐11 was nearly unchanged from 2009‐10, having declined by just 13 students (0.2 percent). In each of the six years between 2004‐05 and 2010‐ 11, enrollment either declined or was stable, and the 2010‐11 OCSD total was 245 students (3.1 percent) below its 2004‐05 peak enrollment of 7,996 students. Title: Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 to 2020-21 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, West, David Year: 2011 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center. The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, low, middle, and high range forecasts of district‐wide enrollment by grade level for the 2011‐12 to 2020‐21 school years and middle range forecasts of individual school enrollments for the 2011‐12 to 2015‐16 school years. The District’s K‐12 enrollment of 7,751 in 2010‐11 was nearly unchanged from 2009‐10, having declined by just 13 students (0.2 percent). In each of the six years between 2004‐05 and 2010‐ 11, enrollment either declined or was stable, and the 2010‐11 OCSD total was 245 students (3.1 percent) below its 2004‐05 peak enrollment of 7,996 students. Close

• 38. [Article] Longview Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts 2013-14 to 2022-23, 2027-28, and 2023-33

  The Longview Public Schools (LPS) requested that the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) prepare enrollment forecasts for use in the District’s long‐range planning. The current study ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Longview Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts 2013-14 to 2022-23, 2027-28, and 2023-33 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Siu, Vivian, Rynerson, Charles Year: 2013 The Longview Public Schools (LPS) requested that the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) prepare enrollment forecasts for use in the District’s long‐range planning. The current study integrates information about LPS, providing a snapshot of demographic, housing, and school enrollment patterns and trends. This report also presents an extended district‐wide enrollment forecasts for each of the ten year period from 2013‐14 to 2022‐23 and for five year increments beyond the first decade for 2027‐28 and 2032‐33. Title: Longview Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts 2013-14 to 2022-23, 2027-28, and 2023-33 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Siu, Vivian, Rynerson, Charles Year: 2013 The Longview Public Schools (LPS) requested that the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) prepare enrollment forecasts for use in the District’s long‐range planning. The current study integrates information about LPS, providing a snapshot of demographic, housing, and school enrollment patterns and trends. This report also presents an extended district‐wide enrollment forecasts for each of the ten year period from 2013‐14 to 2022‐23 and for five year increments beyond the first decade for 2027‐28 and 2032‐33. Close

• 39. [Article] North Clackamas School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2010-11 to 2014-15

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: North Clackamas School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2010-11 to 2014-15 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2010 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the North Clackamas School District (NCSD) in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2010-11 to 2014-15 school years. The District enrolled 17,578 students in Fall 2009, a decrease of 150 students (0.8 percent) from Fall 2008. This was the first decline following 22 consecutive years of K- 12 enrollment growth. Enrollments continued to grow at schools east of I-205 in the Clackamas High School feeder system, where two new elementary schools opened to ease overcrowding, but it was not enough to offset continued losses in the Milwaukie and Rex Putnam feeder systems. Title: North Clackamas School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2010-11 to 2014-15 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2010 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the North Clackamas School District (NCSD) in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2010-11 to 2014-15 school years. The District enrolled 17,578 students in Fall 2009, a decrease of 150 students (0.8 percent) from Fall 2008. This was the first decline following 22 consecutive years of K- 12 enrollment growth. Enrollments continued to grow at schools east of I-205 in the Clackamas High School feeder system, where two new elementary schools opened to ease overcrowding, but it was not enough to offset continued losses in the Milwaukie and Rex Putnam feeder systems. Close

• 40. [Article] Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2010-11 to 2019-20

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center. The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2010-11 to 2019-20 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, West, David Year: 2010 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center. The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, low, middle, and high range forecasts of district-wide enrollment by grade level for the 2010-11 to 2019-20 school years and middle range forecasts of individual school enrollments for the 2010-11 to 2014-15 school years. The District’s K-12 enrollment of 7,764 in 2009-10 was 232 students (2.9 percent) below its 2004-05 peak enrollment of 7,796 students. The 2008-09 to 2009-10 loss of 114 students (1.4 percent) was the District’s biggest K-12 enrollment decline in more than 20 years. Despite the overall loss, kindergarten and 1st grade enrollments experienced a third consecutive year of small enrollment increases. Title: Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2010-11 to 2019-20 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, West, David Year: 2010 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center. The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, low, middle, and high range forecasts of district-wide enrollment by grade level for the 2010-11 to 2019-20 school years and middle range forecasts of individual school enrollments for the 2010-11 to 2014-15 school years. The District’s K-12 enrollment of 7,764 in 2009-10 was 232 students (2.9 percent) below its 2004-05 peak enrollment of 7,796 students. The 2008-09 to 2009-10 loss of 114 students (1.4 percent) was the District’s biggest K-12 enrollment decline in more than 20 years. Despite the overall loss, kindergarten and 1st grade enrollments experienced a third consecutive year of small enrollment increases. Close

• 41. [Article] Sherwood School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2010-11 to 2014-15

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Sherwood School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2010-11 to 2014-15 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Robertson, Megan Year: 2010 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the Sherwood School District (SSD) in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2010-11 to 2014-15 school years. Total K-12 enrollment in the District increased by 215 students (4.7 percent) between Fall 2008 and Fall 2009, reaching 4,748 students. For the fourth consecutive year, percentage gains were greater at both of the secondary levels than at the elementary level, as the students who contributed to rapid elementary growth in the late 1990s and early 2000s made their way into middle and high school grades. Title: Sherwood School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2010-11 to 2014-15 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Robertson, Megan Year: 2010 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the Sherwood School District (SSD) in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2010-11 to 2014-15 school years. Total K-12 enrollment in the District increased by 215 students (4.7 percent) between Fall 2008 and Fall 2009, reaching 4,748 students. For the fourth consecutive year, percentage gains were greater at both of the secondary levels than at the elementary level, as the students who contributed to rapid elementary growth in the late 1990s and early 2000s made their way into middle and high school grades. Close

• 42. [Article] Estacada School District: Enrollment Forecast 2009-10 to 2013-14

  This report presents the results of a demographic study for the Estacada School District (ESD) conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Estacada School District: Enrollment Forecast 2009-10 to 2013-14 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2009 This report presents the results of a demographic study for the Estacada School District (ESD) conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2009-10 to 2013-14 school years. The current forecasts included in this study indicate that the District will continue to lose enrollment over the next five years, but at a slower rate than in the past. Total K-12 enrollment is forecast to decline next year by 24 students (1.1 percent). Small declines ranging from 11 to 37 students are also forecasted for each of the following four years. Overall, for the five year forecast period, K-12 enrollment is 117 students (5.5 percent) lower in 2013-14 than in 2008-09. Title: Estacada School District: Enrollment Forecast 2009-10 to 2013-14 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2009 This report presents the results of a demographic study for the Estacada School District (ESD) conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2009-10 to 2013-14 school years. The current forecasts included in this study indicate that the District will continue to lose enrollment over the next five years, but at a slower rate than in the past. Total K-12 enrollment is forecast to decline next year by 24 students (1.1 percent). Small declines ranging from 11 to 37 students are also forecasted for each of the following four years. Overall, for the five year forecast period, K-12 enrollment is 117 students (5.5 percent) lower in 2013-14 than in 2008-09. Close

• 43. [Article] Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2009-10 to 2013-14

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2009-10 to 2013-14 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2009 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2009-10 to 2013-14 school years. The Oregon City School District (OCSD) enrolled 7,635 students in Fall 2008, a decrease of 77 students (1.0 percent) from Fall 2007. This was the fourth consecutive year of declining K-12 enrollment, following seven years of enrollment gains. In spite of the overall loss, more students were enrolled in District’s kindergarten and 1st grade classes in Fall 2008 than in Fall 2007. While total elementary (K-6) and middle school (7-8) enrollments declined, high school enrollment was essentially unchanged from Fall 2007 to Fall 2008. Title: Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecast Update, 2009-10 to 2013-14 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2009 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2009-10 to 2013-14 school years. The Oregon City School District (OCSD) enrolled 7,635 students in Fall 2008, a decrease of 77 students (1.0 percent) from Fall 2007. This was the fourth consecutive year of declining K-12 enrollment, following seven years of enrollment gains. In spite of the overall loss, more students were enrolled in District’s kindergarten and 1st grade classes in Fall 2008 than in Fall 2007. While total elementary (K-6) and middle school (7-8) enrollments declined, high school enrollment was essentially unchanged from Fall 2007 to Fall 2008. Close

• 44. [Article] McMinnville School District Enrollment Forecasts 2013-14 to 2022-23

  The McMinnville School District (MSD) requested that the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) prepare enrollment forecasts for use in the District’s long‐range planning. The current ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: McMinnville School District Enrollment Forecasts 2013-14 to 2022-23 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Dann, Ryan, Siu, Vivian Year: 2013 The McMinnville School District (MSD) requested that the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) prepare enrollment forecasts for use in the District’s long‐range planning. The current study integrates information about MSD and updates the work PRC conducted in 2008 and 2011, providing a snapshot of demographic, housing, and school enrollment patterns and trends. This report also presents an extended district‐wide enrollment forecasts for a ten year period from 2013‐14 to 2022‐23 and individual school forecasts for a five year period from 2013‐14 to 2017‐18. Title: McMinnville School District Enrollment Forecasts 2013-14 to 2022-23 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Dann, Ryan, Siu, Vivian Year: 2013 The McMinnville School District (MSD) requested that the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) prepare enrollment forecasts for use in the District’s long‐range planning. The current study integrates information about MSD and updates the work PRC conducted in 2008 and 2011, providing a snapshot of demographic, housing, and school enrollment patterns and trends. This report also presents an extended district‐wide enrollment forecasts for a ten year period from 2013‐14 to 2022‐23 and individual school forecasts for a five year period from 2013‐14 to 2017‐18. Close

• 45. [Article] Canby School District: Enrollment Forecasts 2007-08 to 2011-12

  The Canby School District (CSD) enrolled 5,075 students in Fall 2006, a decrease of 171 students (3.3 percent) from Fall 2005. Much of the K-12 decrease was due to a relatively small kindergarten class ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Canby School District: Enrollment Forecasts 2007-08 to 2011-12 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2007 The Canby School District (CSD) enrolled 5,075 students in Fall 2006, a decrease of 171 students (3.3 percent) from Fall 2005. Much of the K-12 decrease was due to a relatively small kindergarten class entering and a record large 12th grade class graduating. Also, unlike most previous years, the District did not have a net gain of students due to migration of families with children. This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2007-08 to 2011-12 school years. Title: Canby School District: Enrollment Forecasts 2007-08 to 2011-12 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2007 The Canby School District (CSD) enrolled 5,075 students in Fall 2006, a decrease of 171 students (3.3 percent) from Fall 2005. Much of the K-12 decrease was due to a relatively small kindergarten class entering and a record large 12th grade class graduating. Also, unlike most previous years, the District did not have a net gain of students due to migration of families with children. This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2007-08 to 2011-12 school years. Close

• 46. [Article] Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2011-12

  The Oregon City School District (OCSD) enrolled 7,764 students in Fall 2006, a decrease of 189 students (2.4 percent) from Fall 2005. Much of the K-12 decrease was due to a relatively small kindergarten ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2011-12 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2007 The Oregon City School District (OCSD) enrolled 7,764 students in Fall 2006, a decrease of 189 students (2.4 percent) from Fall 2005. Much of the K-12 decrease was due to a relatively small kindergarten class entering and a large 12th grade class graduating. Also, the figures do not include enrollment at the District’s two charter schools, both of which opened in Fall 2006 and enrolled some students who were previously enrolled in districtrun schools. This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2007-08 to 2011-12 school years. Title: Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2011-12 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2007 The Oregon City School District (OCSD) enrolled 7,764 students in Fall 2006, a decrease of 189 students (2.4 percent) from Fall 2005. Much of the K-12 decrease was due to a relatively small kindergarten class entering and a large 12th grade class graduating. Also, the figures do not include enrollment at the District’s two charter schools, both of which opened in Fall 2006 and enrolled some students who were previously enrolled in districtrun schools. This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2007-08 to 2011-12 school years. Close

• 47. [Article] Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2016-17 to 2030-31: Based on October 2015 Enrollments

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for Portland Public Schools (PPS). The study includes analysis of population, ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2016-17 to 2030-31: Based on October 2015 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Chun, Nicholas Year: 2016 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for Portland Public Schools (PPS). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the number of PPS students by housing type, and annual forecasts of enrollment for a 15 year horizon, from 2016‐17 to 2030‐31. Enrollment forecasts were prepared under high, medium, and low scenarios for the District. Forecasts for attendance areas by place of residence and for individual schools are consistent with the medium district‐wide forecast. Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2016-17 to 2030-31: Based on October 2015 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Chun, Nicholas Year: 2016 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for Portland Public Schools (PPS). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the number of PPS students by housing type, and annual forecasts of enrollment for a 15 year horizon, from 2016‐17 to 2030‐31. Enrollment forecasts were prepared under high, medium, and low scenarios for the District. Forecasts for attendance areas by place of residence and for individual schools are consistent with the medium district‐wide forecast. Close

• 48. [Article] Salem‐Keizer School District Population and Enrollment Forecast Update 2016‐17 to 2035‐36

  The district‐wide and individual school forecasts have been updated to incorporate 2015‐16 enrollments by school and the latest birth and residential development data, and have been extended to include ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Salem‐Keizer School District Population and Enrollment Forecast Update 2016‐17 to 2035‐36 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Chun, Nicholas Year: 2016 The district‐wide and individual school forecasts have been updated to incorporate 2015‐16 enrollments by school and the latest birth and residential development data, and have been extended to include forecasts for 2025‐26 and 2035‐36. For more demographic information about the Salem‐Keizer School District (SKSD), see “Salem‐Keizer School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2015‐16 to 2024‐25” prepared by Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) in June 2015. Title: Salem‐Keizer School District Population and Enrollment Forecast Update 2016‐17 to 2035‐36 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Chun, Nicholas Year: 2016 The district‐wide and individual school forecasts have been updated to incorporate 2015‐16 enrollments by school and the latest birth and residential development data, and have been extended to include forecasts for 2025‐26 and 2035‐36. For more demographic information about the Salem‐Keizer School District (SKSD), see “Salem‐Keizer School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2015‐16 to 2024‐25” prepared by Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) in June 2015. Close

• 49. [Article] Reynolds School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2015-16 to 2024-25

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Reynolds School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2015-16 to 2024-25 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Stewart, Scott Year: 2015 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the Reynolds School District (RSD) in recent years and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2015‐16 to 2024‐25 school years. Title: Reynolds School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2015-16 to 2024-25 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Stewart, Scott Year: 2015 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the Reynolds School District (RSD) in recent years and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2015‐16 to 2024‐25 school years. Close

• 50. [Article] Grid Based School Enrollment Forecasting

  In this paper we will show how a simple model that is normally based on data for school attendance areas –elementary, middle, and high school, or perhaps planning areas, can be implemented for small grid ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Grid Based School Enrollment Forecasting Author: Lycan, Richard, Rynerson, Charles Year: 2014 In this paper we will show how a simple model that is normally based on data for school attendance areas –elementary, middle, and high school, or perhaps planning areas, can be implemented for small grid areas roughly the size of a city block. Title: Grid Based School Enrollment Forecasting Author: Lycan, Richard, Rynerson, Charles Year: 2014 In this paper we will show how a simple model that is normally based on data for school attendance areas –elementary, middle, and high school, or perhaps planning areas, can be implemented for small grid areas roughly the size of a city block. Close

• 51. [Article] Evaluating Community Analyst for Use in School Demography Studies

  This presentation is a case study based on the North Clackamas School District in the Portland metro area showing how CA might be used and which identifies benefits and issues.

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Evaluating Community Analyst for Use in School Demography Studies Author: Lycan, Richard, Rynerson, Charles Year: 2013 This presentation is a case study based on the North Clackamas School District in the Portland metro area showing how CA might be used and which identifies benefits and issues. Title: Evaluating Community Analyst for Use in School Demography Studies Author: Lycan, Richard, Rynerson, Charles Year: 2013 This presentation is a case study based on the North Clackamas School District in the Portland metro area showing how CA might be used and which identifies benefits and issues. Close

• 52. [Article] Three Rivers School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2016-17

  The area served by the Three Rivers School District (TRSD) has experienced population and housing growth in recent years, but the District’s K-12 school enrollment in 2006-07 is 17 percent lower than its ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Three Rivers School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2016-17 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2006 The area served by the Three Rivers School District (TRSD) has experienced population and housing growth in recent years, but the District’s K-12 school enrollment in 2006-07 is 17 percent lower than its 1995-96 peak. Total K-12 enrollment has fallen in each of the past 11 years and is now lower than in any of the past 30 years. Losses have been greatest in the elementary grades (K-5), which enroll 27 percent fewer students than in 1996-97. The middle grades (6-8) have lost 20 percent in enrollment during the same period, while the high school grades (9-12) have lost only three percent. This report presents the results of a forecast conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) indicating that overall TRSD enrollment will continue to decrease during the next five years, until 2011-12, mostly due to the current smaller elementary and middle school classes moving up to the high school level. Although elementary enrollment is expected to “bottom out” within the next two to four years and begin to grow slightly, the offsetting effect of smaller high school enrollment means that overall K-12 enrollment will be stable at best during the 2011-12 to 2016-17 period. PRC’s methodology links enrollment trends with the area’s population dynamics. As employment, population, and housing growth in the region continues, the enrollment declines should slow, and overall enrollment will stabilize within the 5,000 to 5,100 student range over a period of several years, according to this forecast. Title: Three Rivers School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2016-17 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2006 The area served by the Three Rivers School District (TRSD) has experienced population and housing growth in recent years, but the District’s K-12 school enrollment in 2006-07 is 17 percent lower than its 1995-96 peak. Total K-12 enrollment has fallen in each of the past 11 years and is now lower than in any of the past 30 years. Losses have been greatest in the elementary grades (K-5), which enroll 27 percent fewer students than in 1996-97. The middle grades (6-8) have lost 20 percent in enrollment during the same period, while the high school grades (9-12) have lost only three percent. This report presents the results of a forecast conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) indicating that overall TRSD enrollment will continue to decrease during the next five years, until 2011-12, mostly due to the current smaller elementary and middle school classes moving up to the high school level. Although elementary enrollment is expected to “bottom out” within the next two to four years and begin to grow slightly, the offsetting effect of smaller high school enrollment means that overall K-12 enrollment will be stable at best during the 2011-12 to 2016-17 period. PRC’s methodology links enrollment trends with the area’s population dynamics. As employment, population, and housing growth in the region continues, the enrollment declines should slow, and overall enrollment will stabilize within the 5,000 to 5,100 student range over a period of several years, according to this forecast. Close

• 53. [Article] North Clackamas School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2013-14 to 2022-23

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: North Clackamas School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2013-14 to 2022-23 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Rancik, Kevin, Siu, Vivian Year: 2013 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the North Clackamas School District (NCSD) in recent years and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2013‐14 to 2022‐23 school years. After 22 consecutive years of enrollment growth between 1986‐87 and 2008‐09, total K‐12 enrollment in the North Clackamas School District has fallen for four consecutive years. The largest decline occurred between Fall 2011 and Fall 2012 as District enrollment, now 17,044, fell by 236 students. Over the four year period between 2008‐09 and 2012‐13, elementary (K‐5th) grades had a net loss of about six percent while middle (6th‐8th) grades lost about two percent and high school (9th‐12th) grades lost about three percent. Title: North Clackamas School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2013-14 to 2022-23 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Rancik, Kevin, Siu, Vivian Year: 2013 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the North Clackamas School District (NCSD) in recent years and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2013‐14 to 2022‐23 school years. After 22 consecutive years of enrollment growth between 1986‐87 and 2008‐09, total K‐12 enrollment in the North Clackamas School District has fallen for four consecutive years. The largest decline occurred between Fall 2011 and Fall 2012 as District enrollment, now 17,044, fell by 236 students. Over the four year period between 2008‐09 and 2012‐13, elementary (K‐5th) grades had a net loss of about six percent while middle (6th‐8th) grades lost about two percent and high school (9th‐12th) grades lost about three percent. Close

• 54. [Article] Ashland School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2012-13 to 2021-22

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center. The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Ashland School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2012-13 to 2021-22 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, RajBhandary, Bimal, Rancik, Kevin Year: 2012 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center. The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the Ashland School District (ASD) in recent years, "baseline" forecasts of district‐wide enrollment by grade level for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years and "baseline" forecasts of individual school enrollments for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years. The forecasts are characterized as baseline because they do not include additional residents of other districts who may enroll in ASD schools as a result of the new open enrollment policy. Fall 2011 K‐12 enrollment in all ASD schools was 2,720, 17 students (0.6 percent) less than in Fall 2010. District‐wide enrollment is now 844 students (23.7 percent) less than the peak 18 years ago, in the 1993‐94 school year. Enrollment losses of more than 100 students each year occurred in 2004‐05 and 2005‐06. Since 2005‐06 the District has experienced relatively stable or slightly increasing K‐12 enrollment in three years, and decreasing enrollment the other three years, with a net K‐12 enrollment loss of 195 students (6.7 percent) over the six year period. Title: Ashland School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2012-13 to 2021-22 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, RajBhandary, Bimal, Rancik, Kevin Year: 2012 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center. The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the Ashland School District (ASD) in recent years, "baseline" forecasts of district‐wide enrollment by grade level for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years and "baseline" forecasts of individual school enrollments for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years. The forecasts are characterized as baseline because they do not include additional residents of other districts who may enroll in ASD schools as a result of the new open enrollment policy. Fall 2011 K‐12 enrollment in all ASD schools was 2,720, 17 students (0.6 percent) less than in Fall 2010. District‐wide enrollment is now 844 students (23.7 percent) less than the peak 18 years ago, in the 1993‐94 school year. Enrollment losses of more than 100 students each year occurred in 2004‐05 and 2005‐06. Since 2005‐06 the District has experienced relatively stable or slightly increasing K‐12 enrollment in three years, and decreasing enrollment the other three years, with a net K‐12 enrollment loss of 195 students (6.7 percent) over the six year period. Close

• 55. [Article] Oregon Trail School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 to 2021-22

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center. The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Oregon Trail School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 to 2021-22 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, RajBhandary, Bimal, Siu, Vivian Year: 2012 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center. The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, low, middle, and high range forecasts of district‐wide enrollment by grade level for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years and middle range forecasts of individual school enrollments for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years. Fall 2011 enrollment in all OTSD schools was 4,089. In the twelve years since 1999‐2000, total K‐ 12 enrollment in the Oregon Trail School District has been relatively stable, never exceeding 4,220 students or falling below 4,036 students. The enrollment increase from Fall 2010 was small (48 students, or 1.2 percent) but it ranks as the largest numeric and percentage enrollment increase in the District’s 14 year history. However, the growth did not make up for the small enrollment declines each of the five years between 2004‐05 and 2009‐10, and K‐12 enrollment remains 131 students (3.1 percent) below its 2004‐05 level of 4,220 students. Title: Oregon Trail School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 to 2021-22 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, RajBhandary, Bimal, Siu, Vivian Year: 2012 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center. The study includes analyses of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, low, middle, and high range forecasts of district‐wide enrollment by grade level for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years and middle range forecasts of individual school enrollments for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years. Fall 2011 enrollment in all OTSD schools was 4,089. In the twelve years since 1999‐2000, total K‐ 12 enrollment in the Oregon Trail School District has been relatively stable, never exceeding 4,220 students or falling below 4,036 students. The enrollment increase from Fall 2010 was small (48 students, or 1.2 percent) but it ranks as the largest numeric and percentage enrollment increase in the District’s 14 year history. However, the growth did not make up for the small enrollment declines each of the five years between 2004‐05 and 2009‐10, and K‐12 enrollment remains 131 students (3.1 percent) below its 2004‐05 level of 4,220 students. Close

• 56. [Article] North Clackamas School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 to 2020-21

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: North Clackamas School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 to 2020-21 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, West, David Year: 2011 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the North Clackamas School District (NCSD) in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2011-12 to 2020-21 school years. The District enrolled 17,368 students in Fall 2010, a decrease of 210 students (1.2 percent) from Fall 2009. This was the second consecutive year of decline in enrollment following 22 consecutive years of K-12 enrollment growth between 1986-87 and 2008- 09. This year, for the first time in at least 20 years, total enrollment in schools east of I- 205 did not grow. The Clackamas Feeder System total enrollment was basically unchanged from Fall 2009, with a net loss of 15 students. The Milwaukie and Rex Putnam feeder systems had net enrollment losses of 86 and 72 students respectively. The losses at schools west of I-205 were consistent with long term trends but much smaller than in the previous year, between Fall 2008 and Fall 2009. Title: North Clackamas School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 to 2020-21 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, West, David Year: 2011 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the North Clackamas School District (NCSD) in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2011-12 to 2020-21 school years. The District enrolled 17,368 students in Fall 2010, a decrease of 210 students (1.2 percent) from Fall 2009. This was the second consecutive year of decline in enrollment following 22 consecutive years of K-12 enrollment growth between 1986-87 and 2008- 09. This year, for the first time in at least 20 years, total enrollment in schools east of I- 205 did not grow. The Clackamas Feeder System total enrollment was basically unchanged from Fall 2009, with a net loss of 15 students. The Milwaukie and Rex Putnam feeder systems had net enrollment losses of 86 and 72 students respectively. The losses at schools west of I-205 were consistent with long term trends but much smaller than in the previous year, between Fall 2008 and Fall 2009. Close

• 57. [Article] Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 to 2025-26, Based on October 2010 Enrollments

  In Fall 2011, Portland Public Schools (PPS) enrolled 46,206 students in grades K-12, an increase of 465 students from Fall 2010. This is the third consecutive year of enrollment growth, following 12 consecutive ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 to 2025-26, Based on October 2010 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, West, David Year: 2011 In Fall 2011, Portland Public Schools (PPS) enrolled 46,206 students in grades K-12, an increase of 465 students from Fall 2010. This is the third consecutive year of enrollment growth, following 12 consecutive years of enrollment losses that occurred between 1996- 97 and 2008-09. For the three year period since 2008-09, PPS K-12 enrollment has grown by 1,182 students, or 2.6 percent. In seven of the past eight years, actual K-12 enrollment in the first year of the forecast has been within 300 students of the medium scenario characterized as the “most likely” Enrollment Forecast in reports similar to this one. However, in all eight of those years actual enrollment was higher than the one year medium scenario forecast. Fall 2011 K- 12 enrollment was 227 students (0.5 percent) higher than the medium scenario forecast but 27 students (0.1 percent) lower than the high scenario forecast prepared in Spring 2011. The Enrollment Forecasts in this report were prepared in Spring and Summer 2011, based on historic enrollment data from 2010-11 and previous years. However, the entire report was not ready for publication until after 2011-12 enrollment data became available. This preface briefly addresses the district-wide trends observed in 2011-12 and evaluates the forecasts in the short term. The next report will include more analysis of enrollment trends with respect to area demographics and trends within sub-areas such as high school clusters. The 2011-12 enrollment figures in this preface were published by the District on November 18, 2011. Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 to 2025-26, Based on October 2010 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, West, David Year: 2011 In Fall 2011, Portland Public Schools (PPS) enrolled 46,206 students in grades K-12, an increase of 465 students from Fall 2010. This is the third consecutive year of enrollment growth, following 12 consecutive years of enrollment losses that occurred between 1996- 97 and 2008-09. For the three year period since 2008-09, PPS K-12 enrollment has grown by 1,182 students, or 2.6 percent. In seven of the past eight years, actual K-12 enrollment in the first year of the forecast has been within 300 students of the medium scenario characterized as the “most likely” Enrollment Forecast in reports similar to this one. However, in all eight of those years actual enrollment was higher than the one year medium scenario forecast. Fall 2011 K- 12 enrollment was 227 students (0.5 percent) higher than the medium scenario forecast but 27 students (0.1 percent) lower than the high scenario forecast prepared in Spring 2011. The Enrollment Forecasts in this report were prepared in Spring and Summer 2011, based on historic enrollment data from 2010-11 and previous years. However, the entire report was not ready for publication until after 2011-12 enrollment data became available. This preface briefly addresses the district-wide trends observed in 2011-12 and evaluates the forecasts in the short term. The next report will include more analysis of enrollment trends with respect to area demographics and trends within sub-areas such as high school clusters. The 2011-12 enrollment figures in this preface were published by the District on November 18, 2011. Close

• 58. [Article] Canby School District: Enrollment Forecast Update 2009-10 to 2013-14

  This report presents the results of an updated demographic study for the Canby School District (CSD) conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Canby School District: Enrollment Forecast Update 2009-10 to 2013-14 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Radin, Kenneth Year: 2009 This report presents the results of an updated demographic study for the Canby School District (CSD) conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2009-10 to 2013-14 school years. CSD enrolled 5,015 students in Fall 2008, 139 fewer students (2.7 percent) than in Fall 2007. A small decrease had been forecast due to a relatively small birth cohort corresponding to the 2008-09 kindergarten class and a slowing housing market, but actual enrollment was even lower. In contrast to last year, there were almost no enrollment gains from new housing, and for the first time in many years the District lost students due to net mobility at the elementary level, that is, more children left the District than entered it. Enrollment losses in previous years were influenced more by age structure and the relative sizes of individual grade cohorts than by mobility. Title: Canby School District: Enrollment Forecast Update 2009-10 to 2013-14 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Radin, Kenneth Year: 2009 This report presents the results of an updated demographic study for the Canby School District (CSD) conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2009-10 to 2013-14 school years. CSD enrolled 5,015 students in Fall 2008, 139 fewer students (2.7 percent) than in Fall 2007. A small decrease had been forecast due to a relatively small birth cohort corresponding to the 2008-09 kindergarten class and a slowing housing market, but actual enrollment was even lower. In contrast to last year, there were almost no enrollment gains from new housing, and for the first time in many years the District lost students due to net mobility at the elementary level, that is, more children left the District than entered it. Enrollment losses in previous years were influenced more by age structure and the relative sizes of individual grade cohorts than by mobility. Close

• 59. [Article] Molalla River School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2009-10 to 2020-21

  This report presents the results of a demographic study for the Molalla River School District (MRSD) conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Molalla River School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2009-10 to 2020-21 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2009 This report presents the results of a demographic study for the Molalla River School District (MRSD) conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district-wide grade level enrollments for the 2009-10 to 2020-21 school years. Three possible scenarios for MRSD enrollment correspond to three different population forecasts, which depend on unique assumptions about net migration. Other factors including fertility rates, shares of District residents enrolled in public schools, and enrollment impacts of charter schools do not vary between scenarios; they are held constant. In spite of rapid population and housing growth in the City of Molalla since the 1990s, total enrollment in the MRSD has only fluctuated by a few hundred students since the District’s 1993 consolidation. K-12 enrollment of 2,877 in Fall 2008 was about the same as in Fall 2000, though there are now fewer students in grades K-8 and more in grades 9- 12. Title: Molalla River School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2009-10 to 2020-21 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2009 This report presents the results of a demographic study for the Molalla River School District (MRSD) conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district-wide grade level enrollments for the 2009-10 to 2020-21 school years. Three possible scenarios for MRSD enrollment correspond to three different population forecasts, which depend on unique assumptions about net migration. Other factors including fertility rates, shares of District residents enrolled in public schools, and enrollment impacts of charter schools do not vary between scenarios; they are held constant. In spite of rapid population and housing growth in the City of Molalla since the 1990s, total enrollment in the MRSD has only fluctuated by a few hundred students since the District’s 1993 consolidation. K-12 enrollment of 2,877 in Fall 2008 was about the same as in Fall 2000, though there are now fewer students in grades K-8 and more in grades 9- 12. Close

• 60. [Article] Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2008-09, Based on October 2007 Enrollments

  The Enrollment Forecasts in this report were prepared in Spring 2008, based on historic enrollment data from Fall 2007 and previous years. However, the entire report was not ready for publication until ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2008-09, Based on October 2007 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Proehl, Risa, Lycan, Richard, Hough, George C., Jr. Year: 2009 The Enrollment Forecasts in this report were prepared in Spring 2008, based on historic enrollment data from Fall 2007 and previous years. However, the entire report was not ready for publication until after the Fall 2008 enrollment data became available. This preface briefly addresses the district-wide trends observed in Fall 2008 and evaluates the forecasts in the short term. The next report will include more analysis of enrollment trends with respect to area demographics and trends within sub-areas such as high school clusters. In Fall 2008, Portland Public Schools (PPS) enrolled 45,024 students in grades K-12, only 59 fewer students than in Fall 2007. This small loss (one tenth of one percent) extends the string of enrollment losses to 12 years, but is unlike the much larger losses of the previous 11 years. This year’s K-12 enrollment should be characterized as essentially stable compared with last year’s. Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2008-09, Based on October 2007 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Proehl, Risa, Lycan, Richard, Hough, George C., Jr. Year: 2009 The Enrollment Forecasts in this report were prepared in Spring 2008, based on historic enrollment data from Fall 2007 and previous years. However, the entire report was not ready for publication until after the Fall 2008 enrollment data became available. This preface briefly addresses the district-wide trends observed in Fall 2008 and evaluates the forecasts in the short term. The next report will include more analysis of enrollment trends with respect to area demographics and trends within sub-areas such as high school clusters. In Fall 2008, Portland Public Schools (PPS) enrolled 45,024 students in grades K-12, only 59 fewer students than in Fall 2007. This small loss (one tenth of one percent) extends the string of enrollment losses to 12 years, but is unlike the much larger losses of the previous 11 years. This year’s K-12 enrollment should be characterized as essentially stable compared with last year’s. Close

• 61. [Article] Canby School District: Enrollment Forecast Update 2008-09 to 2012-13

  The Canby School District (CSD) enrolled 5,154 students in Fall 2007, an increase of 79 students (1.6 percent) from Fall 2006. Most of the increase is directly attributable to families living in new housing ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Canby School District: Enrollment Forecast Update 2008-09 to 2012-13 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2008 The Canby School District (CSD) enrolled 5,154 students in Fall 2007, an increase of 79 students (1.6 percent) from Fall 2006. Most of the increase is directly attributable to families living in new housing developed within the District. A relatively large incoming kindergarten class also played a role in the growth. This report presents the results of an updated demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2008-09 to 2012-13 school years. We forecast relatively stable K-12 enrollment totals for the next five years. Based on historic trends in births, migration, and housing construction and our judgment of future trends, we conclude that the average enrollment changes of the next five years are most likely to fall between the large loss that occurred in 2006-07 and the growth that occurred in 2007-08. We are also forecasting relatively stable elementary enrollment, but middle school enrollments are likely to increase and high school enrollments decrease due to the sizes of current classes advancing through secondary schools. Title: Canby School District: Enrollment Forecast Update 2008-09 to 2012-13 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2008 The Canby School District (CSD) enrolled 5,154 students in Fall 2007, an increase of 79 students (1.6 percent) from Fall 2006. Most of the increase is directly attributable to families living in new housing developed within the District. A relatively large incoming kindergarten class also played a role in the growth. This report presents the results of an updated demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2008-09 to 2012-13 school years. We forecast relatively stable K-12 enrollment totals for the next five years. Based on historic trends in births, migration, and housing construction and our judgment of future trends, we conclude that the average enrollment changes of the next five years are most likely to fall between the large loss that occurred in 2006-07 and the growth that occurred in 2007-08. We are also forecasting relatively stable elementary enrollment, but middle school enrollments are likely to increase and high school enrollments decrease due to the sizes of current classes advancing through secondary schools. Close

• 62. [Article] Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2009-10 to 2020-21, Based on October 2008 Enrollments

  The Enrollment Forecasts in this report were prepared in Spring and Summer 2009, based on historic enrollment data from Fall 2008 and previous years. However, the entire report was not ready for publication ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2009-10 to 2020-21, Based on October 2008 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Gu, Danan, Lycan, Richard, Radin, Kenneth Year: 2009 The Enrollment Forecasts in this report were prepared in Spring and Summer 2009, based on historic enrollment data from Fall 2008 and previous years. However, the entire report was not ready for publication until after preliminary Fall 2009 enrollment data became available. This preface briefly addresses the district-wide trends observed in Fall 2009 and evaluates the forecasts in the short term. The next report will include more analysis of enrollment trends with respect to area demographics and trends within subareas such as high school clusters. All 2009-10 enrollment figures are preliminary figures as of October 1, tabulated by the District on November 5, 2009. In Fall 2009, Portland Public Schools (PPS) enrolled 45,747 students in grades K-12, an increase of 723 students from Fall 2008. This growth breaks the string of 12 consecutive years of enrollment losses and represents the District’s biggest growth since 1992. In each of the previous five years, the medium scenarios characterized as the “most likely” Enrollment Forecasts in reports similar to this one were within 300 students of actual K-12 enrollment in the first year of the forecast. This year, K-12 enrollment is about 700 students above the medium scenario prepared in Spring 2009. Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2009-10 to 2020-21, Based on October 2008 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Gu, Danan, Lycan, Richard, Radin, Kenneth Year: 2009 The Enrollment Forecasts in this report were prepared in Spring and Summer 2009, based on historic enrollment data from Fall 2008 and previous years. However, the entire report was not ready for publication until after preliminary Fall 2009 enrollment data became available. This preface briefly addresses the district-wide trends observed in Fall 2009 and evaluates the forecasts in the short term. The next report will include more analysis of enrollment trends with respect to area demographics and trends within subareas such as high school clusters. All 2009-10 enrollment figures are preliminary figures as of October 1, tabulated by the District on November 5, 2009. In Fall 2009, Portland Public Schools (PPS) enrolled 45,747 students in grades K-12, an increase of 723 students from Fall 2008. This growth breaks the string of 12 consecutive years of enrollment losses and represents the District’s biggest growth since 1992. In each of the previous five years, the medium scenarios characterized as the “most likely” Enrollment Forecasts in reports similar to this one were within 300 students of actual K-12 enrollment in the first year of the forecast. This year, K-12 enrollment is about 700 students above the medium scenario prepared in Spring 2009. Close

• 63. [Article] Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08, Based on October 2006 Enrollments

  The Portland Public School District (PPS) enrolled 45,446 K-12 students in Fall 2006, a decrease of 676 students (1.5 percent) from Fall 2005. This was the second consecutive year that PPS lost about 700 ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08, Based on October 2006 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Proehl, Risa, Siu, Vivian, Lycan, Richard, Hough, George C., Jr. Year: 2007 The Portland Public School District (PPS) enrolled 45,446 K-12 students in Fall 2006, a decrease of 676 students (1.5 percent) from Fall 2005. This was the second consecutive year that PPS lost about 700 students, following three years of much steeper losses averaging over 1,500 annually between 2001-02 and 2004-05. Enrollment has fallen in each of the past 10 years, and the 2006-07 K-12 enrollment was 17 percent below its 1996-97 peak of 54,697. About half of the 10 year decline occurred during the 2001-02 to 2004-05 period, when the recession slowed regional employment growth but housing prices continued to rise. This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of new housing development on PPS enrollment, forecasts of district-wide enrollment for the 2007-08 to 2020-21 school years and forecasts by area of residence (high school clusters, school attendance areas) and by individual school for the years 2007-08 to 2015-16. Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08, Based on October 2006 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Proehl, Risa, Siu, Vivian, Lycan, Richard, Hough, George C., Jr. Year: 2007 The Portland Public School District (PPS) enrolled 45,446 K-12 students in Fall 2006, a decrease of 676 students (1.5 percent) from Fall 2005. This was the second consecutive year that PPS lost about 700 students, following three years of much steeper losses averaging over 1,500 annually between 2001-02 and 2004-05. Enrollment has fallen in each of the past 10 years, and the 2006-07 K-12 enrollment was 17 percent below its 1996-97 peak of 54,697. About half of the 10 year decline occurred during the 2001-02 to 2004-05 period, when the recession slowed regional employment growth but housing prices continued to rise. This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of new housing development on PPS enrollment, forecasts of district-wide enrollment for the 2007-08 to 2020-21 school years and forecasts by area of residence (high school clusters, school attendance areas) and by individual school for the years 2007-08 to 2015-16. Close

• 64. [Article] Centennial School District Enrollment Forecast Report 2015-16 to 2029-30

  This report presents Centennial School District (CSD) district‐wide school enrollments for the 2014‐15 to 2029‐30 school years, and a brief discussion of the methodology and assumptions.

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Centennial School District Enrollment Forecast Report 2015-16 to 2029-30 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Rancik, Kevin Christopher, Dann, Ryan Year: 2014 This report presents Centennial School District (CSD) district‐wide school enrollments for the 2014‐15 to 2029‐30 school years, and a brief discussion of the methodology and assumptions. Title: Centennial School District Enrollment Forecast Report 2015-16 to 2029-30 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Rancik, Kevin Christopher, Dann, Ryan Year: 2014 This report presents Centennial School District (CSD) district‐wide school enrollments for the 2014‐15 to 2029‐30 school years, and a brief discussion of the methodology and assumptions. Close

• 65. [Article] Population Forecast for Columbia County Oregon, its Cities and Unincorporated Area 2010-2030

  Columbia County asked Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) to prepare integrated long term population forecasts (years 2010, 2020, and 2030) for the county and its six largest cities: ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Population Forecast for Columbia County Oregon, its Cities and Unincorporated Area 2010-2030 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Radin, Kenneth Year: 2009 Columbia County asked Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) to prepare integrated long term population forecasts (years 2010, 2020, and 2030) for the county and its six largest cities: Scappoose, St Helens, Clatskanie, Columbia City, Rainier, and Vernonia. Title: Population Forecast for Columbia County Oregon, its Cities and Unincorporated Area 2010-2030 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Radin, Kenneth Year: 2009 Columbia County asked Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) to prepare integrated long term population forecasts (years 2010, 2020, and 2030) for the county and its six largest cities: Scappoose, St Helens, Clatskanie, Columbia City, Rainier, and Vernonia. Close

• 66. [Article] St. Helens School District Enrollment Forecasts 2016-17 to 2025-26

  This report presents district-wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the St. Helens School District (SHSD) for the 10 year period between 2016-17 and 2025-26

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: St. Helens School District Enrollment Forecasts 2016-17 to 2025-26 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Stewart, Scott, Chun, Nicholas Year: 2016 This report presents district-wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the St. Helens School District (SHSD) for the 10 year period between 2016-17 and 2025-26 Title: St. Helens School District Enrollment Forecasts 2016-17 to 2025-26 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Stewart, Scott, Chun, Nicholas Year: 2016 This report presents district-wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the St. Helens School District (SHSD) for the 10 year period between 2016-17 and 2025-26 Close

• 67. [Article] Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts 2014-15 to 2023-24

  This report presents a range of three scenarios of district‐wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Oregon City School District (OCSD) for the 10 year period between 2014‐15 and 2023‐24. Each ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts 2014-15 to 2023-24 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Rancik, Kevin Christopher, Martin, Sheila Year: 2014 This report presents a range of three scenarios of district‐wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Oregon City School District (OCSD) for the 10 year period between 2014‐15 and 2023‐24. Each enrollment forecast scenario is related to population forecasts that incorporate different assumptions about growth within the District, with the primary differences being the contribution of net migration to the District’s population and age distribution. Individual school forecasts consistent with the middle range scenario are also presented for the 10 year period. Title: Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts 2014-15 to 2023-24 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Rancik, Kevin Christopher, Martin, Sheila Year: 2014 This report presents a range of three scenarios of district‐wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Oregon City School District (OCSD) for the 10 year period between 2014‐15 and 2023‐24. Each enrollment forecast scenario is related to population forecasts that incorporate different assumptions about growth within the District, with the primary differences being the contribution of net migration to the District’s population and age distribution. Individual school forecasts consistent with the middle range scenario are also presented for the 10 year period. Close

• 68. [Article] Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts 2016-17 to 2025-26

  This report presents a range of three scenarios of district‐wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Oregon City School District (OCSD) for the 10 year period between 2016‐17 and 2025‐26. Each ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts 2016-17 to 2025-26 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Stewart, Scott Year: 2015 This report presents a range of three scenarios of district‐wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Oregon City School District (OCSD) for the 10 year period between 2016‐17 and 2025‐26. Each enrollment forecast scenario is related to population forecasts that incorporate different assumptions about growth within the District, with the primary differences being the contribution of net migration to the District’s population and age distribution. Individual school forecasts consistent with the middle range scenario are also presented for the 10 year period. Title: Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts 2016-17 to 2025-26 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Stewart, Scott Year: 2015 This report presents a range of three scenarios of district‐wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Oregon City School District (OCSD) for the 10 year period between 2016‐17 and 2025‐26. Each enrollment forecast scenario is related to population forecasts that incorporate different assumptions about growth within the District, with the primary differences being the contribution of net migration to the District’s population and age distribution. Individual school forecasts consistent with the middle range scenario are also presented for the 10 year period. Close

• 69. [Article] Gresham-Barlow School District Enrollment Forecast 2016-2017 to 2025-26

  This report presents a range of three scenarios of district‐wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Gresham‐Barlow School District (GBSD) for the 10 year period between 2016‐17 and 2025‐26. Each ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Gresham-Barlow School District Enrollment Forecast 2016-2017 to 2025-26 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Stewart, Scott Year: 2015 This report presents a range of three scenarios of district‐wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Gresham‐Barlow School District (GBSD) for the 10 year period between 2016‐17 and 2025‐26. Each enrollment forecast scenario is related to population forecasts that incorporate different assumptions about growth within the District, with the primary differences being the contribution of net migration to the District’s population and age distribution. Individual school forecasts consistent with the middle range scenario are also presented for the 10 year period. Title: Gresham-Barlow School District Enrollment Forecast 2016-2017 to 2025-26 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Stewart, Scott Year: 2015 This report presents a range of three scenarios of district‐wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Gresham‐Barlow School District (GBSD) for the 10 year period between 2016‐17 and 2025‐26. Each enrollment forecast scenario is related to population forecasts that incorporate different assumptions about growth within the District, with the primary differences being the contribution of net migration to the District’s population and age distribution. Individual school forecasts consistent with the middle range scenario are also presented for the 10 year period. Close

• 70. [Article] Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts 2015‐16 to 2024‐25

  This report presents a range of three scenarios of district‐wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Oregon City School District (OCSD) for the 10 year period between 2015‐16 and 2024‐25. Each ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts 2015‐16 to 2024‐25 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Stewart, Scott Year: 2016 This report presents a range of three scenarios of district‐wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Oregon City School District (OCSD) for the 10 year period between 2015‐16 and 2024‐25. Each enrollment forecast scenario is related to population forecasts that incorporate different assumptions about growth within the District, with the primary differences being the contribution of net migration to the District’s population and age distribution. Individual school forecasts consistent with the middle range scenario are also presented for the 10 year period. Title: Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts 2015‐16 to 2024‐25 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Stewart, Scott Year: 2016 This report presents a range of three scenarios of district‐wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Oregon City School District (OCSD) for the 10 year period between 2015‐16 and 2024‐25. Each enrollment forecast scenario is related to population forecasts that incorporate different assumptions about growth within the District, with the primary differences being the contribution of net migration to the District’s population and age distribution. Individual school forecasts consistent with the middle range scenario are also presented for the 10 year period. Close

• 71. [Article] Scappoose School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2006-07 to 2020-21

  The Scappoose School District (SSD) in northwestern Oregon serves the City of Scappoose and the southeastern portion of Columbia County, as well as the extreme northwestern portion of Multnomah County ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Scappoose School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2006-07 to 2020-21 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2006 The Scappoose School District (SSD) in northwestern Oregon serves the City of Scappoose and the southeastern portion of Columbia County, as well as the extreme northwestern portion of Multnomah County and a small piece of Washington County. The area served by the District has experienced population growth in recent years, but overall school enrollment losses in two of the past five years have negated the gains in the other three years. This report presents the results of a forecast conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) indicating that SSD enrollment will increase during the next fifteen years, with relatively slow growth in the first five years and faster growth during the 2010 to 2020 period. PRC’s methodology links enrollment trends with the area’s population dynamics. Population and housing are closely related to access to jobs. In the context of expected employment, population, and housing growth, enrollment is likely to increase at all grade levels. Title: Scappoose School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2006-07 to 2020-21 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2006 The Scappoose School District (SSD) in northwestern Oregon serves the City of Scappoose and the southeastern portion of Columbia County, as well as the extreme northwestern portion of Multnomah County and a small piece of Washington County. The area served by the District has experienced population growth in recent years, but overall school enrollment losses in two of the past five years have negated the gains in the other three years. This report presents the results of a forecast conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) indicating that SSD enrollment will increase during the next fifteen years, with relatively slow growth in the first five years and faster growth during the 2010 to 2020 period. PRC’s methodology links enrollment trends with the area’s population dynamics. Population and housing are closely related to access to jobs. In the context of expected employment, population, and housing growth, enrollment is likely to increase at all grade levels. Close

• 72. [Article] Junction City School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2013-14 to 2022-23

  This report details a range of three scenarios of district‐wide Enrollment Forecasts by grade level for the 10 year period between 2013‐14 and 2022‐23. Each Enrollment Forecast scenario is related to population ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Junction City School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2013-14 to 2022-23 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, RajBhandary, Bimal, Dann, Ryan Year: 2013 This report details a range of three scenarios of district‐wide Enrollment Forecasts by grade level for the 10 year period between 2013‐14 and 2022‐23. Each Enrollment Forecast scenario is related to population forecasts that incorporate different assumptions about growth within the District, with the primary differences being the contribution of net migration to the District’s population and age distribution. The forecasts rely on enrollment trends observed through Fall 2012, local area population, housing, and economic trends, and forecasts of population and housing from other studies for Lane County and the City of Junction City. Title: Junction City School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2013-14 to 2022-23 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, RajBhandary, Bimal, Dann, Ryan Year: 2013 This report details a range of three scenarios of district‐wide Enrollment Forecasts by grade level for the 10 year period between 2013‐14 and 2022‐23. Each Enrollment Forecast scenario is related to population forecasts that incorporate different assumptions about growth within the District, with the primary differences being the contribution of net migration to the District’s population and age distribution. The forecasts rely on enrollment trends observed through Fall 2012, local area population, housing, and economic trends, and forecasts of population and housing from other studies for Lane County and the City of Junction City. Close

• 73. [Article] McMinnville School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 to 2015-16

  The McMinnville School District (MSD) enrolled 6,411 students in Fall 2010, a decrease of 156 students (2.4 percent) from Fall 2009. The decrease occurred at all levels, including losses of 98 students ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: McMinnville School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 to 2015-16 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, West, David, Robertson, Megan Year: 2011 The McMinnville School District (MSD) enrolled 6,411 students in Fall 2010, a decrease of 156 students (2.4 percent) from Fall 2009. The decrease occurred at all levels, including losses of 98 students (3.2 percent) in elementary grades K-5, seven students (0.5 percent) in middle school grades 6-8, and 51 students (2.5 percent) in high school grades 9-12. In spite of this year’s enrollment decline, district-wide K-12 enrollment in Fall 2010 was 381 students (6.3 percent) larger than in Fall 2005. During the five year period, all levels shared the growth, with increases of 5.7 percent at the elementary and middle school levels and 7.8 percent at the high school level. Title: McMinnville School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 to 2015-16 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, West, David, Robertson, Megan Year: 2011 The McMinnville School District (MSD) enrolled 6,411 students in Fall 2010, a decrease of 156 students (2.4 percent) from Fall 2009. The decrease occurred at all levels, including losses of 98 students (3.2 percent) in elementary grades K-5, seven students (0.5 percent) in middle school grades 6-8, and 51 students (2.5 percent) in high school grades 9-12. In spite of this year’s enrollment decline, district-wide K-12 enrollment in Fall 2010 was 381 students (6.3 percent) larger than in Fall 2005. During the five year period, all levels shared the growth, with increases of 5.7 percent at the elementary and middle school levels and 7.8 percent at the high school level. Close

• 74. [Article] Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts 2013-14 to 2022-23

  This report presents a range of three scenarios of district‐wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Oregon City School District (OCSD) for the 10 year period between 2013‐14 and 2022‐23. Each ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts 2013-14 to 2022-23 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Dann, Ryan Year: 2013 This report presents a range of three scenarios of district‐wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Oregon City School District (OCSD) for the 10 year period between 2013‐14 and 2022‐23. Each enrollment forecast scenario is related to population forecasts that incorporate different assumptions about growth within the District, with the primary differences being the contribution of net migration to the District’s population and age distribution. Individual school forecasts consistent with the middle range forecast scenario are also presented for the 10 year period. Title: Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts 2013-14 to 2022-23 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Dann, Ryan Year: 2013 This report presents a range of three scenarios of district‐wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Oregon City School District (OCSD) for the 10 year period between 2013‐14 and 2022‐23. Each enrollment forecast scenario is related to population forecasts that incorporate different assumptions about growth within the District, with the primary differences being the contribution of net migration to the District’s population and age distribution. Individual school forecasts consistent with the middle range forecast scenario are also presented for the 10 year period. Close

• 75. [Article] Beaverton School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2009-10 to 2025-26

  This report presents Enrollment Forecasts prepared by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) exploring three possible scenarios for BSD enrollment during the next 17 years based ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Beaverton School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2009-10 to 2025-26 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Radin, Kenneth, Siu, Vivian Year: 2008 This report presents Enrollment Forecasts prepared by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) exploring three possible scenarios for BSD enrollment during the next 17 years based on different assumptions about future net migration and fertility rates. The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district-wide enrollments by grade level for the 2009-10 to 2025-26 school years. Title: Beaverton School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2009-10 to 2025-26 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Radin, Kenneth, Siu, Vivian Year: 2008 This report presents Enrollment Forecasts prepared by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) exploring three possible scenarios for BSD enrollment during the next 17 years based on different assumptions about future net migration and fertility rates. The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district-wide enrollments by grade level for the 2009-10 to 2025-26 school years. Close

• 76. [Article] Hermiston School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2016-17

  The Hermiston School District (HSD) has experienced increases in overall K-12 enrollment in each of the past 11 years. In the past five years, enrollments have increased by an average of 119 annually, ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Hermiston School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2016-17 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2007 The Hermiston School District (HSD) has experienced increases in overall K-12 enrollment in each of the past 11 years. In the past five years, enrollments have increased by an average of 119 annually, reaching a total of 4,776 students in Fall 2006. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the most likely scenario is for continued enrollment growth in the HSD during the next 10 years until 2016-17. Title: Hermiston School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2016-17 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2007 The Hermiston School District (HSD) has experienced increases in overall K-12 enrollment in each of the past 11 years. In the past five years, enrollments have increased by an average of 119 annually, reaching a total of 4,776 students in Fall 2006. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the most likely scenario is for continued enrollment growth in the HSD during the next 10 years until 2016-17. Close

• 77. [Article] Junction City School District: Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2011-12

  After a period of sustained enrollment growth from the late 1980s through the 1997-98 school year, total enrollment in the Junction City School District (JCSD) has fallen in eight of the past nine years. ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Junction City School District: Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2011-12 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2007 After a period of sustained enrollment growth from the late 1980s through the 1997-98 school year, total enrollment in the Junction City School District (JCSD) has fallen in eight of the past nine years. During the period, all schools have lost enrollment, and the K-12 total has decreased by 248 students, from 2,083 in 1997-98 to 1,835 in 2006-07. This report presents Enrollment Forecasts prepared by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) exploring three possible scenarios for JCSD enrollment during the next five years, each with a unique assumption about the pace of expected housing development. Title: Junction City School District: Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2011-12 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2007 After a period of sustained enrollment growth from the late 1980s through the 1997-98 school year, total enrollment in the Junction City School District (JCSD) has fallen in eight of the past nine years. During the period, all schools have lost enrollment, and the K-12 total has decreased by 248 students, from 2,083 in 1997-98 to 1,835 in 2006-07. This report presents Enrollment Forecasts prepared by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) exploring three possible scenarios for JCSD enrollment during the next five years, each with a unique assumption about the pace of expected housing development. Close

• 78. [Article] North Marion School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2016-17

  After a period of slow growth in the late 1990s, total enrollment in the North Marion School District (NMSD) has grown by an average of 2.5 percent annually over the most recent six years from 2000-01 ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: North Marion School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2016-17 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2007 After a period of slow growth in the late 1990s, total enrollment in the North Marion School District (NMSD) has grown by an average of 2.5 percent annually over the most recent six years from 2000-01 to 2006-07. During the period, all schools have added enrollment, and the K-12 total has increased by 270 students, from 1,670 to 1,940. This report presents the results of a forecast conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) indicating that overall NMSD enrollment will continue to increase during the next 10 years, with the greatest initial (five year) growth in primary and elementary grades, subsequent growth in middle school, and relatively slow growth in high school within the 10 year forecast horizon. Title: North Marion School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2016-17 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2007 After a period of slow growth in the late 1990s, total enrollment in the North Marion School District (NMSD) has grown by an average of 2.5 percent annually over the most recent six years from 2000-01 to 2006-07. During the period, all schools have added enrollment, and the K-12 total has increased by 270 students, from 1,670 to 1,940. This report presents the results of a forecast conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) indicating that overall NMSD enrollment will continue to increase during the next 10 years, with the greatest initial (five year) growth in primary and elementary grades, subsequent growth in middle school, and relatively slow growth in high school within the 10 year forecast horizon. Close

• 79. [Article] Rogue River School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2008-09 to 2016-17

  The area served by the Rogue River School District (RRSD) has experienced population and housing growth in recent years, but the District’s K-12 school enrollment of 1,101 students in 2006-07 was 19 percent ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Rogue River School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2008-09 to 2016-17 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2007 The area served by the Rogue River School District (RRSD) has experienced population and housing growth in recent years, but the District’s K-12 school enrollment of 1,101 students in 2006-07 was 19 percent lower than its 1995-96 peak of 1,364. The largest sustained elementary enrollment losses occurred between 1999-2000 and 2002-03, while most of the secondary enrollment losses have occurred since 2002-03. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) presenting three different Enrollment Forecast scenarios for the District between the 2007-08 and 2016-17 school years. Title: Rogue River School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2008-09 to 2016-17 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2007 The area served by the Rogue River School District (RRSD) has experienced population and housing growth in recent years, but the District’s K-12 school enrollment of 1,101 students in 2006-07 was 19 percent lower than its 1995-96 peak of 1,364. The largest sustained elementary enrollment losses occurred between 1999-2000 and 2002-03, while most of the secondary enrollment losses have occurred since 2002-03. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) presenting three different Enrollment Forecast scenarios for the District between the 2007-08 and 2016-17 school years. Close

• 80. [Article] Eugene 4J School District Population and Enrollment Forcasts 2016‐17 to 2025‐26

  The Eugene 4J School District (4J) requested that the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) prepare enrollment forecasts for the District and its schools in collaboration with Lane ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Eugene 4J School District Population and Enrollment Forcasts 2016‐17 to 2025‐26 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Stewart, Scott Year: 2016 The Eugene 4J School District (4J) requested that the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) prepare enrollment forecasts for the District and its schools in collaboration with Lane Council of Governments (LCOG). This report presents a range of three scenarios of district‐wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for 4J for the 10 year period between 2016‐17 and 2025‐26. Each enrollment forecast scenario is related to population forecasts that incorporate different assumptions about growth within the District, with the primary differences being the contribution of net migration to the District’s population and age distribution. Individual school forecasts consistent with the middle range scenario are also presented for the 10 year period. Title: Eugene 4J School District Population and Enrollment Forcasts 2016‐17 to 2025‐26 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Stewart, Scott Year: 2016 The Eugene 4J School District (4J) requested that the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) prepare enrollment forecasts for the District and its schools in collaboration with Lane Council of Governments (LCOG). This report presents a range of three scenarios of district‐wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for 4J for the 10 year period between 2016‐17 and 2025‐26. Each enrollment forecast scenario is related to population forecasts that incorporate different assumptions about growth within the District, with the primary differences being the contribution of net migration to the District’s population and age distribution. Individual school forecasts consistent with the middle range scenario are also presented for the 10 year period. Close

• 81. [Article] Forest Grove School District: Enrollment Forecast 2016-17 to 2025-26

  This report presents a series of three scenarios of district-wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Forest Grove School District (FGSD) for the 10 year period between 2016-17 and 2025-26. Each ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Forest Grove School District: Enrollment Forecast 2016-17 to 2025-26 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Stewart, Scott, Chun, Nicholas Year: 2016 This report presents a series of three scenarios of district-wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Forest Grove School District (FGSD) for the 10 year period between 2016-17 and 2025-26. Each enrollment forecast scenario is related to population forecasts that incorporate different assumptions about growth within the District, with the primary differences being the contribution of net migration to the District’s population and age distribution. Individual school forecasts consistent with the middle series scenario are also presented for the 10 year period. Title: Forest Grove School District: Enrollment Forecast 2016-17 to 2025-26 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Stewart, Scott, Chun, Nicholas Year: 2016 This report presents a series of three scenarios of district-wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Forest Grove School District (FGSD) for the 10 year period between 2016-17 and 2025-26. Each enrollment forecast scenario is related to population forecasts that incorporate different assumptions about growth within the District, with the primary differences being the contribution of net migration to the District’s population and age distribution. Individual school forecasts consistent with the middle series scenario are also presented for the 10 year period. Close

• 82. [Article] Ashland School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2017-18 to 2026-27

  This report presents two district-wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Ashland School District (ASD) for the 10-year period between 2017-18 and 2026-27. The forecasts are based upon two different ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Ashland School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2017-18 to 2026-27 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Stewart, Scott, Chun, Nicholas Year: 2017 This report presents two district-wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Ashland School District (ASD) for the 10-year period between 2017-18 and 2026-27. The forecasts are based upon two different sets of assumptions. The HIGH SERIES forecast assumes that ASD’s open enrollment policy continues similar to recent years. The LOW SERIES forecast assumes no new open enrollment for the District after 2016-17, and that non-resident enrollment reverts to levels observed before 2012-13. Individual school forecasts consistent with the HIGH SERIES are also presented for the 10-year period. Title: Ashland School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2017-18 to 2026-27 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Stewart, Scott, Chun, Nicholas Year: 2017 This report presents two district-wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Ashland School District (ASD) for the 10-year period between 2017-18 and 2026-27. The forecasts are based upon two different sets of assumptions. The HIGH SERIES forecast assumes that ASD’s open enrollment policy continues similar to recent years. The LOW SERIES forecast assumes no new open enrollment for the District after 2016-17, and that non-resident enrollment reverts to levels observed before 2012-13. Individual school forecasts consistent with the HIGH SERIES are also presented for the 10-year period. Close

• 83. [Article] Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts 2017-18 to 2026-27

  This report presents a range of three scenarios of district‐wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Oregon City School District (OCSD) for the 10 year period between 2017‐18 and 2026‐27. Each ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts 2017-18 to 2026-27 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Stewart, Scott, Yang, Xi Year: 2017 This report presents a range of three scenarios of district‐wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Oregon City School District (OCSD) for the 10 year period between 2017‐18 and 2026‐27. Each enrollment forecast scenario is related to population forecasts that incorporate different assumptions about growth within the District, with the primary differences being the contribution of net migration to the District’s population and age distribution. Individual school forecasts consistent with the middle range scenario are also presented for the 10 year period. Title: Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts 2017-18 to 2026-27 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Stewart, Scott, Yang, Xi Year: 2017 This report presents a range of three scenarios of district‐wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Oregon City School District (OCSD) for the 10 year period between 2017‐18 and 2026‐27. Each enrollment forecast scenario is related to population forecasts that incorporate different assumptions about growth within the District, with the primary differences being the contribution of net migration to the District’s population and age distribution. Individual school forecasts consistent with the middle range scenario are also presented for the 10 year period. Close

• 84. [Article] Tigard-Tualatin School District Long-Range Enrollment Forecast, 2008-09 to 2017-18

  To address their long-range planning needs, The Tigard-Tualatin School District (TTSD) requested that PRC prepare 10 year Enrollment Forecasts for the District and each of its existing schools. This forecast ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Tigard-Tualatin School District Long-Range Enrollment Forecast, 2008-09 to 2017-18 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Smith-Buani, Joseph Year: 2008 To address their long-range planning needs, The Tigard-Tualatin School District (TTSD) requested that PRC prepare 10 year Enrollment Forecasts for the District and each of its existing schools. This forecast for the 2008-09 through 2017-18 school years has been prepared as a supplement to the 2008-09 to 2012-13 forecast that was presented to the TTSD Board in December, 2007. Forecasts for 2008-09 and 2009-10 for the District and its schools are identical to those published in December, and secondary school forecasts are unchanged through 2012-13. Elementary schools undergo small revisions beginning in 2010-11 due to the availability of updated birth data. Total K-12 enrollment in the TTSD has grown in 19 of the past 20 years. New housing development has contributed to enrollment growth throughout that period. Sustained growth in elementary enrollment from the late 1980s to the mid 1990s and the more recent growth in high school enrollment were influenced by the rapid increase in births caused by the "echo" of the baby boom. Since the late 1990s, a growing Latino population has also been a major contributor to the District’s enrollment growth. Under current plans there is a shrinking amount of developable residential land in the District’s communities. If plans remain unchanged and new housing construction returns to recent levels after the current downturn, the District will be near its residential capacity by the end of the 10 year horizon of these forecasts. However, additional residential capacity may be added in the West Bull Mountain area, where concept planning for areas added to the Urban Growth Boundary in 2002 is underway. Also, recent comprehensive plans envision development in the town centers of the Cities of Tigard and Tualatin that includes a mix of higher-density and affordable housing. Title: Tigard-Tualatin School District Long-Range Enrollment Forecast, 2008-09 to 2017-18 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Smith-Buani, Joseph Year: 2008 To address their long-range planning needs, The Tigard-Tualatin School District (TTSD) requested that PRC prepare 10 year Enrollment Forecasts for the District and each of its existing schools. This forecast for the 2008-09 through 2017-18 school years has been prepared as a supplement to the 2008-09 to 2012-13 forecast that was presented to the TTSD Board in December, 2007. Forecasts for 2008-09 and 2009-10 for the District and its schools are identical to those published in December, and secondary school forecasts are unchanged through 2012-13. Elementary schools undergo small revisions beginning in 2010-11 due to the availability of updated birth data. Total K-12 enrollment in the TTSD has grown in 19 of the past 20 years. New housing development has contributed to enrollment growth throughout that period. Sustained growth in elementary enrollment from the late 1980s to the mid 1990s and the more recent growth in high school enrollment were influenced by the rapid increase in births caused by the "echo" of the baby boom. Since the late 1990s, a growing Latino population has also been a major contributor to the District’s enrollment growth. Under current plans there is a shrinking amount of developable residential land in the District’s communities. If plans remain unchanged and new housing construction returns to recent levels after the current downturn, the District will be near its residential capacity by the end of the 10 year horizon of these forecasts. However, additional residential capacity may be added in the West Bull Mountain area, where concept planning for areas added to the Urban Growth Boundary in 2002 is underway. Also, recent comprehensive plans envision development in the town centers of the Cities of Tigard and Tualatin that includes a mix of higher-density and affordable housing. Close

• 85. [Article] Hillsboro School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2006-07 to 2015-16

  The Hillsboro School District (HSD) has experienced enrollment growth throughout the 1990s and 2000s. This report presents the results of a forecast conducted by the Portland State University Population ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Hillsboro School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2006-07 to 2015-16 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2006 The Hillsboro School District (HSD) has experienced enrollment growth throughout the 1990s and 2000s. This report presents the results of a forecast conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) indicating that HSD enrollment will continue to grow during the next ten years. PRC’s methodology links enrollment trends with population dynamics and housing development. Population and housing are closely related to employment levels. By itself, the District’s past growth is no guarantee of future long-term growth, but in the context of expected employment, population, and housing growth, enrollment is likely to continue to increase at all grade levels. Washington County currently has the lowest unemployment rate in the state, and employment in the region is forecast to grow by over 16 percent in a ten year period. The county’s population is forecast to grow by 22 percent. Most significantly for the area within the HSD boundaries, there are about 3,500 housing units in new single family subdivisions and multi-family housing developments currently under construction, recently approved, or awaiting approval.4 This development has the potential to increase the District’s housing stock by eight percent within the next three years. Title: Hillsboro School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2006-07 to 2015-16 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2006 The Hillsboro School District (HSD) has experienced enrollment growth throughout the 1990s and 2000s. This report presents the results of a forecast conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) indicating that HSD enrollment will continue to grow during the next ten years. PRC’s methodology links enrollment trends with population dynamics and housing development. Population and housing are closely related to employment levels. By itself, the District’s past growth is no guarantee of future long-term growth, but in the context of expected employment, population, and housing growth, enrollment is likely to continue to increase at all grade levels. Washington County currently has the lowest unemployment rate in the state, and employment in the region is forecast to grow by over 16 percent in a ten year period. The county’s population is forecast to grow by 22 percent. Most significantly for the area within the HSD boundaries, there are about 3,500 housing units in new single family subdivisions and multi-family housing developments currently under construction, recently approved, or awaiting approval.4 This development has the potential to increase the District’s housing stock by eight percent within the next three years. Close

• 86. [Article] Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast, 2006-2015, Based on October 2005 Enrollments

  The Population Research Center has prepared district-wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Portland Public Schools (PPS) for the past 7 years. This year’s forecast relies on October 2005 ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast, 2006-2015, Based on October 2005 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Proehl, Risa S., Buelow, Vicky, Radin, Kenneth, Hough, George C., Jr., Rynerson, Charles Year: 2006 The Population Research Center has prepared district-wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Portland Public Schools (PPS) for the past 7 years. This year’s forecast relies on October 2005 PPS enrollment figures. It considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the October 2005 and 2015, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. The forecasts do not take into account local factors such as changing school programs or future school reorganizations that may have a significant effect on an individual school’s enrollment. It does consider PPS Board approved changes in attendance area boundaries and in schools’ grade configuration that were resolved prior to March 31, 2006. Forecasts were initially prepared for the District as a whole and for the students residing in the high school clusters and elementary school attendance areas. The students were then assigned to the schools they were predicted to attend yielding the Enrollment Forecasts for the individual schools in PPS. The school assignment was based on the current pattern of where the students live and the schools that they attend. Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast, 2006-2015, Based on October 2005 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Proehl, Risa S., Buelow, Vicky, Radin, Kenneth, Hough, George C., Jr., Rynerson, Charles Year: 2006 The Population Research Center has prepared district-wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Portland Public Schools (PPS) for the past 7 years. This year’s forecast relies on October 2005 PPS enrollment figures. It considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the October 2005 and 2015, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. The forecasts do not take into account local factors such as changing school programs or future school reorganizations that may have a significant effect on an individual school’s enrollment. It does consider PPS Board approved changes in attendance area boundaries and in schools’ grade configuration that were resolved prior to March 31, 2006. Forecasts were initially prepared for the District as a whole and for the students residing in the high school clusters and elementary school attendance areas. The students were then assigned to the schools they were predicted to attend yielding the Enrollment Forecasts for the individual schools in PPS. The school assignment was based on the current pattern of where the students live and the schools that they attend. Close

• 87. [Article] Canby School District: Enrollment Forecast Update 2012-13 to 2021-22

  The Population Research Center (PRC) has prepared district‐wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Canby School District (CSD) annually for the past six years. This study includes forecasts ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Canby School District: Enrollment Forecast Update 2012-13 to 2021-22 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Rancik, Kevin Year: 2012 The Population Research Center (PRC) has prepared district‐wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Canby School District (CSD) annually for the past six years. This study includes forecasts of district‐wide enrollment for the 10 years from 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 and forecasts for individual schools for the five years from 2012‐13 to 2016‐17. The 10 year horizon of the district‐wide forecast enhances opportunities for school districts to coordinate long range planning with city and county comprehensive plans, which may extend for 20 or more years. Overall K‐12 enrollment is forecast to increase by 364 students (8 percent) in the next 10 years. K‐12 enrollment loss of three students (0.1 percent) is forecast for 2012‐13 and only moderate growth, averaging 0.8 percent, is forecast for the remaining nine years of the forecast. K‐6 enrollments begin to grow gradually after 2012‐13, but grades 7‐8 enrollments remain flat or decline until 2017‐18, begin to grow in between 2017‐18 and 2019‐20, and decline slightly in the last two years of the forecast horizon. High school enrollment changes very little throughout the 10 year forecast period. Title: Canby School District: Enrollment Forecast Update 2012-13 to 2021-22 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Rancik, Kevin Year: 2012 The Population Research Center (PRC) has prepared district‐wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Canby School District (CSD) annually for the past six years. This study includes forecasts of district‐wide enrollment for the 10 years from 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 and forecasts for individual schools for the five years from 2012‐13 to 2016‐17. The 10 year horizon of the district‐wide forecast enhances opportunities for school districts to coordinate long range planning with city and county comprehensive plans, which may extend for 20 or more years. Overall K‐12 enrollment is forecast to increase by 364 students (8 percent) in the next 10 years. K‐12 enrollment loss of three students (0.1 percent) is forecast for 2012‐13 and only moderate growth, averaging 0.8 percent, is forecast for the remaining nine years of the forecast. K‐6 enrollments begin to grow gradually after 2012‐13, but grades 7‐8 enrollments remain flat or decline until 2017‐18, begin to grow in between 2017‐18 and 2019‐20, and decline slightly in the last two years of the forecast horizon. High school enrollment changes very little throughout the 10 year forecast period. Close

• 88. [Article] Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 to 2021-22

  The main body of this report presents Oregon City School District (OCSD) district‐wide and individual school forecasts prepared by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 to 2021-22 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Rancik, Kevin Year: 2012 The main body of this report presents Oregon City School District (OCSD) district‐wide and individual school forecasts prepared by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years. The forecasts were prepared in March, 2012, before the school board’s April 16 vote to close Mt. Pleasant and King Elementary Schools and move 6th grade to middle schools. Therefore, the school forecasts represent the status quo as of March, including forecasts for the closed schools and for middle schools consisting of 7th and 8th grade only. A complete report was not issued with the March forecasts, because PRC’s intention was to redistribute the district‐wide forecasts based on the new school boundaries upon receipt of digital boundary files reflecting the changes, and then base the report on the updated school forecasts. The OCSD school board approved new boundaries on May 14, 2012, but digital files in the ArcGIS shapefile format used by PRC were not available from Clackamas County GIS until October, 2012. Because the reconfiguration was complete by that time and the new school year had begun, it made no sense to redistribute the March forecasts that did not incorporate the latest district‐wide enrollment figures. Instead, an upcoming study will included district‐wide and individual school forecasts using Fall 2012 enrollments. Preliminary district‐wide forecasts based on Fall 2012 enrollments are included in this report. Title: Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 to 2021-22 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Rancik, Kevin Year: 2012 The main body of this report presents Oregon City School District (OCSD) district‐wide and individual school forecasts prepared by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years. The forecasts were prepared in March, 2012, before the school board’s April 16 vote to close Mt. Pleasant and King Elementary Schools and move 6th grade to middle schools. Therefore, the school forecasts represent the status quo as of March, including forecasts for the closed schools and for middle schools consisting of 7th and 8th grade only. A complete report was not issued with the March forecasts, because PRC’s intention was to redistribute the district‐wide forecasts based on the new school boundaries upon receipt of digital boundary files reflecting the changes, and then base the report on the updated school forecasts. The OCSD school board approved new boundaries on May 14, 2012, but digital files in the ArcGIS shapefile format used by PRC were not available from Clackamas County GIS until October, 2012. Because the reconfiguration was complete by that time and the new school year had begun, it made no sense to redistribute the March forecasts that did not incorporate the latest district‐wide enrollment figures. Instead, an upcoming study will included district‐wide and individual school forecasts using Fall 2012 enrollments. Preliminary district‐wide forecasts based on Fall 2012 enrollments are included in this report. Close

• 89. [Article] Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 to 2025-26, Based on October 2011 Enrollments

  The Portland Public School District (PPS) enrolled 46,206 K‐12 students in Fall 2011, an increase of 465 students (1.0 percent) from Fall 2010. This was the third consecutive year of K‐12 growth, a reversal ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 to 2025-26, Based on October 2011 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Dann, Ryan, Jurjevich, Jason R. Year: 2012 The Portland Public School District (PPS) enrolled 46,206 K‐12 students in Fall 2011, an increase of 465 students (1.0 percent) from Fall 2010. This was the third consecutive year of K‐12 growth, a reversal from the 12 consecutive years of enrollment losses between 1997 and 2008. For the three year period since 2008‐09, the District has grown by 1,182 K‐12 students (2.6 percent). This report includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, forecasts of district‐wide enrollment, and Enrollment Forecasts by area of residence (high school clusters, school attendance areas) and by individual school of attendance for the 2012‐13 to 2025‐26 school years. For the district‐wide forecast, three scenarios of population and enrollment changes were developed: a most‐likely, or medium, growth scenario; a scenario for lower growth; and a higher growth scenario. All three of the growth scenarios for the PPS district‐wide Enrollment Forecasts use similar mortality, fertility, and capture rates during the 14 year horizon. The differences between the three scenarios are primarily due to different assumptions about the levels of net migration (the net movement into and out of the District) among families with children. Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 to 2025-26, Based on October 2011 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Dann, Ryan, Jurjevich, Jason R. Year: 2012 The Portland Public School District (PPS) enrolled 46,206 K‐12 students in Fall 2011, an increase of 465 students (1.0 percent) from Fall 2010. This was the third consecutive year of K‐12 growth, a reversal from the 12 consecutive years of enrollment losses between 1997 and 2008. For the three year period since 2008‐09, the District has grown by 1,182 K‐12 students (2.6 percent). This report includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, forecasts of district‐wide enrollment, and Enrollment Forecasts by area of residence (high school clusters, school attendance areas) and by individual school of attendance for the 2012‐13 to 2025‐26 school years. For the district‐wide forecast, three scenarios of population and enrollment changes were developed: a most‐likely, or medium, growth scenario; a scenario for lower growth; and a higher growth scenario. All three of the growth scenarios for the PPS district‐wide Enrollment Forecasts use similar mortality, fertility, and capture rates during the 14 year horizon. The differences between the three scenarios are primarily due to different assumptions about the levels of net migration (the net movement into and out of the District) among families with children. Close

• 90. [Article] Canby School District: Enrollment Forecast Update 2011-12 to 2020-21

  The Population Research Center (PRC) has prepared district-wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Canby School District (CSD) annually for the past five years. This study includes forecasts ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Canby School District: Enrollment Forecast Update 2011-12 to 2020-21 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, West, David Year: 2011 The Population Research Center (PRC) has prepared district-wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Canby School District (CSD) annually for the past five years. This study includes forecasts of district-wide enrollment for the 10 years from 2011-12 to 2020-21 and forecasts for individual schools for the five years from 2011-12 to 2015-16. The 10 year horizon of the district-wide forecast enhances opportunities for school districts to coordinate long range planning with city and county comprehensive plans, which may extend for 20 or more years. After many years of growth, K-12 enrollment in the Canby School District reached about 5,300 students in 2000-01 and remained at that level through the 2004-05 school year. Enrollment has declined in five out of six years since 2004-05, contributing to a net loss of 394 students (7.4 percent) in the ten year period since 2000-01. The K-12 total in Fall 2010 was 4,895 students. Title: Canby School District: Enrollment Forecast Update 2011-12 to 2020-21 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, West, David Year: 2011 The Population Research Center (PRC) has prepared district-wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Canby School District (CSD) annually for the past five years. This study includes forecasts of district-wide enrollment for the 10 years from 2011-12 to 2020-21 and forecasts for individual schools for the five years from 2011-12 to 2015-16. The 10 year horizon of the district-wide forecast enhances opportunities for school districts to coordinate long range planning with city and county comprehensive plans, which may extend for 20 or more years. After many years of growth, K-12 enrollment in the Canby School District reached about 5,300 students in 2000-01 and remained at that level through the 2004-05 school year. Enrollment has declined in five out of six years since 2004-05, contributing to a net loss of 394 students (7.4 percent) in the ten year period since 2000-01. The K-12 total in Fall 2010 was 4,895 students. Close

• 91. [Article] Bend-La Pine School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2010-11 to 2030-31

  The Bend-La Pine School District (BLPSD) enrolled 15,898 students in Fall 2009, an increase of 61 students from Fall 2008. This followed a loss of 13 students between Fall 2007 and Fall 2008. These two ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Bend-La Pine School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2010-11 to 2030-31 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Lycan, Richard, West, David Year: 2010 The Bend-La Pine School District (BLPSD) enrolled 15,898 students in Fall 2009, an increase of 61 students from Fall 2008. This followed a loss of 13 students between Fall 2007 and Fall 2008. These two most recent years are in sharp contrast with the previous 19 years of uninterrupted gains of more than 200 students each year. K-12 enrollment growth averaged about 350 students per year from 1990 to 2000, and about 400 students per year from 2000 to 2007. The enrollment trends align closely with the housing and employment trends described in this report. Housing growth began to slow early in 2007, job losses became evident by the end of 2007, and the migration of families with children into the District tapered off beginning in 2008. In spite of this slowdown, there is still momentum from the District’s recent high population growth and increase in births. All school levels, elementary, middle, and high, remain at or near their all time high enrollments. Kindergarten and 1st grade enrollments, typically the leading indicators of shifting enrollment trends, have not declined. They were each slightly larger in Fall 2009 than in Fall 2007. The primary purpose of this study by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) is to provide school Enrollment Forecasts that will be used by the District, Deschutes County, and the City of Bend for long range planning. These district-wide forecasts by grade level for the BLPSD are consistent with the Deschutes County Coordinated Population Forecast (DCCPF) adopted by the Deschutes County Board of Commissioners in September 2004. Title: Bend-La Pine School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2010-11 to 2030-31 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Lycan, Richard, West, David Year: 2010 The Bend-La Pine School District (BLPSD) enrolled 15,898 students in Fall 2009, an increase of 61 students from Fall 2008. This followed a loss of 13 students between Fall 2007 and Fall 2008. These two most recent years are in sharp contrast with the previous 19 years of uninterrupted gains of more than 200 students each year. K-12 enrollment growth averaged about 350 students per year from 1990 to 2000, and about 400 students per year from 2000 to 2007. The enrollment trends align closely with the housing and employment trends described in this report. Housing growth began to slow early in 2007, job losses became evident by the end of 2007, and the migration of families with children into the District tapered off beginning in 2008. In spite of this slowdown, there is still momentum from the District’s recent high population growth and increase in births. All school levels, elementary, middle, and high, remain at or near their all time high enrollments. Kindergarten and 1st grade enrollments, typically the leading indicators of shifting enrollment trends, have not declined. They were each slightly larger in Fall 2009 than in Fall 2007. The primary purpose of this study by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) is to provide school Enrollment Forecasts that will be used by the District, Deschutes County, and the City of Bend for long range planning. These district-wide forecasts by grade level for the BLPSD are consistent with the Deschutes County Coordinated Population Forecast (DCCPF) adopted by the Deschutes County Board of Commissioners in September 2004. Close

• 92. [Article] Canby School District: Enrollment Forecast 2010-11 to 2019-20

  The Population Research Center (PRC) has prepared district-wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Canby School District (CSD) annually for the past four years. This study includes forecasts ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Canby School District: Enrollment Forecast 2010-11 to 2019-20 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, West, David Year: 2010 The Population Research Center (PRC) has prepared district-wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Canby School District (CSD) annually for the past four years. This study includes forecasts of district-wide enrollment for the 10 years from 2010-11 to 2019-20 and forecasts for individual schools for the five years from 2010-11 to 2014-15. Previous district-wide forecasts only extended for five years; a 10 year forecast enhances opportunities for school districts to coordinate long range planning with city and county comprehensive plans, which may extend for 20 or more years. After many years of growth, K-12 enrollment in the Canby School District reached about 5,300 students in 2000-01 and remained at that level through the 2004-05 school year. Enrollment has declined in four out of five years since 2004-05, amounting to a net loss of 324 students (6.1 percent) in the period. The K-12 total in Fall 2009 was 4,978 students. Until the past few years, the District’s expanding housing stock and growing Latino population compensated for the loss of enrollment that would have occurred due to the aging of the existing population. Due to the current regional job losses and paucity of new housing development as well as the large number of graduating high school students, the number of new students moving into the District is currently not sufficient to prevent small losses in enrollment. In this study, we examine enrollment trends by housing type, showing a loss of more than 300 students since 2006-07 residing in single family homes built before 2000 and a gain of about 300 students living in homes built since 2000 and rental apartments. Title: Canby School District: Enrollment Forecast 2010-11 to 2019-20 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, West, David Year: 2010 The Population Research Center (PRC) has prepared district-wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Canby School District (CSD) annually for the past four years. This study includes forecasts of district-wide enrollment for the 10 years from 2010-11 to 2019-20 and forecasts for individual schools for the five years from 2010-11 to 2014-15. Previous district-wide forecasts only extended for five years; a 10 year forecast enhances opportunities for school districts to coordinate long range planning with city and county comprehensive plans, which may extend for 20 or more years. After many years of growth, K-12 enrollment in the Canby School District reached about 5,300 students in 2000-01 and remained at that level through the 2004-05 school year. Enrollment has declined in four out of five years since 2004-05, amounting to a net loss of 324 students (6.1 percent) in the period. The K-12 total in Fall 2009 was 4,978 students. Until the past few years, the District’s expanding housing stock and growing Latino population compensated for the loss of enrollment that would have occurred due to the aging of the existing population. Due to the current regional job losses and paucity of new housing development as well as the large number of graduating high school students, the number of new students moving into the District is currently not sufficient to prevent small losses in enrollment. In this study, we examine enrollment trends by housing type, showing a loss of more than 300 students since 2006-07 residing in single family homes built before 2000 and a gain of about 300 students living in homes built since 2000 and rental apartments. Close

• 93. [Article] Ashland School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2009-10 to 2018-19

  The area served by the Ashland School District (ASD) has experienced population and housing growth in recent years, but the District's K-12 school enrollment of 2,627 students in Fall 2008 was 703 students ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Ashland School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2009-10 to 2018-19 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Radin, Kenneth, Siu, Vivian Year: 2008 The area served by the Ashland School District (ASD) has experienced population and housing growth in recent years, but the District's K-12 school enrollment of 2,627 students in Fall 2008 was 703 students (21 percent) fewer than it enrolled in Fall 2000. The long period of falling enrollment began after the 1993-94 school year; enrollment has not grown by more than a few students in any year since. In 10 of the last 15 years there have been significant K-12 enrollment losses ranging from 31 to 133 students. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) containing Enrollment Forecasts for the ASD from 2009-10 to 2018-19. We conclude that the most likely scenario is for relatively stable total K-12 enrollment in the ASD during the next 10 years. However, growth in elementary grades will be offset by decline in secondary enrollments as smaller classes continue to work their way through the grade levels. Title: Ashland School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2009-10 to 2018-19 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Radin, Kenneth, Siu, Vivian Year: 2008 The area served by the Ashland School District (ASD) has experienced population and housing growth in recent years, but the District's K-12 school enrollment of 2,627 students in Fall 2008 was 703 students (21 percent) fewer than it enrolled in Fall 2000. The long period of falling enrollment began after the 1993-94 school year; enrollment has not grown by more than a few students in any year since. In 10 of the last 15 years there have been significant K-12 enrollment losses ranging from 31 to 133 students. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) containing Enrollment Forecasts for the ASD from 2009-10 to 2018-19. We conclude that the most likely scenario is for relatively stable total K-12 enrollment in the ASD during the next 10 years. However, growth in elementary grades will be offset by decline in secondary enrollments as smaller classes continue to work their way through the grade levels. Close

• 94. [Article] Banks School District Enrollment Forecasts 2008-09 TO 2017-18

  This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the District should expect enrollment growth in the long run, although ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Banks School District Enrollment Forecasts 2008-09 TO 2017-18 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2008 This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the District should expect enrollment growth in the long run, although the forecasts for the next three to four years are for stable or slightly declining K-12 enrollments. Two forecast scenarios are presented, a “HIGH SCENARIO” forecast that is consistent with the population forecast recently adopted in the City of Banks Comprehensive Plan, and a “LOW SCENARIO” forecast under which housing development and migration trends remain similar to their recent levels. This study also presents estimates of the number of students per housing unit within the District. We found that student generation is higher in homes within the City of Banks than those in unincorporated Washington County. More significantly, BSD student generation rates are higher in newer homes (Arbor Village and Banks Estates in the City and homes built since 2000 in the unincorporated area) than in older homes. Detailed information about the average number of BSD students per home is presented in the “Housing Development and Student Generation” section of this report. Title: Banks School District Enrollment Forecasts 2008-09 TO 2017-18 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2008 This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the District should expect enrollment growth in the long run, although the forecasts for the next three to four years are for stable or slightly declining K-12 enrollments. Two forecast scenarios are presented, a “HIGH SCENARIO” forecast that is consistent with the population forecast recently adopted in the City of Banks Comprehensive Plan, and a “LOW SCENARIO” forecast under which housing development and migration trends remain similar to their recent levels. This study also presents estimates of the number of students per housing unit within the District. We found that student generation is higher in homes within the City of Banks than those in unincorporated Washington County. More significantly, BSD student generation rates are higher in newer homes (Arbor Village and Banks Estates in the City and homes built since 2000 in the unincorporated area) than in older homes. Detailed information about the average number of BSD students per home is presented in the “Housing Development and Student Generation” section of this report. Close

• 95. [Article] McMinnville School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2008-09 to 2012-13

  The McMinnville School District (MSD) has experienced nearly uninterrupted enrollment growth for more than 20 years due to a growing economy and rapid housing and population growth within its boundaries. ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: McMinnville School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2008-09 to 2012-13 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2008 The McMinnville School District (MSD) has experienced nearly uninterrupted enrollment growth for more than 20 years due to a growing economy and rapid housing and population growth within its boundaries. By Fall 2007, total K-12 enrollment reached 6,327 students. The Fall 2007 enrollment was an increase of 97 students over Fall 2006, and amounted to 735 more K-12 students than five years earlier, in 2002-03. During the five year period, elementary schools added 371 students (14 percent), middle schools added 171 students (13 percent), and high schools added 193 students (11 percent). This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the District should expect enrollment growth to continue over the next five years at all school levels. The forecast of 647 additional students (10 percent) between 2007-08 and 2012-13 is only slightly less growth than the previous five year period. Title: McMinnville School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2008-09 to 2012-13 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2008 The McMinnville School District (MSD) has experienced nearly uninterrupted enrollment growth for more than 20 years due to a growing economy and rapid housing and population growth within its boundaries. By Fall 2007, total K-12 enrollment reached 6,327 students. The Fall 2007 enrollment was an increase of 97 students over Fall 2006, and amounted to 735 more K-12 students than five years earlier, in 2002-03. During the five year period, elementary schools added 371 students (14 percent), middle schools added 171 students (13 percent), and high schools added 193 students (11 percent). This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the District should expect enrollment growth to continue over the next five years at all school levels. The forecast of 647 additional students (10 percent) between 2007-08 and 2012-13 is only slightly less growth than the previous five year period. Close

• 96. [Article] Phoenix-Talent School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2008-09 to 2017-18

  The area served by the Phoenix-Talent School District (PTSD) has experienced population and housing growth in recent years, but the District’s K-12 school enrollment of 2,708 students in 2007-08 was five ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Phoenix-Talent School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2008-09 to 2017-18 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Smith-Buani, Joseph Year: 2008 The area served by the Phoenix-Talent School District (PTSD) has experienced population and housing growth in recent years, but the District’s K-12 school enrollment of 2,708 students in 2007-08 was five percent lower than its 1999-00 peak of 2,839. The enrollment decline is largely attributed to the smaller elementary classes of the early 2000s, compared with the peak enrollments of the middle to late 1990s. Middle school enrollment peaked in 2003-04, and high school enrollment peaked in 2005-06. Although secondary school enrollment has been declining in the past few years, elementary enrollment has been relatively stable since 2002-03. The number of incoming kindergarten and 1st grade students has remained steady, and in three of the past four years elementary grade cohorts have grown due to net migration of school-age residents into the District. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) containing Enrollment Forecasts for the PTSD from 2008-09 to 2017-18. We conclude that the most likely scenario is for modest enrollment growth in the PTSD during the next 10 years. Title: Phoenix-Talent School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2008-09 to 2017-18 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Smith-Buani, Joseph Year: 2008 The area served by the Phoenix-Talent School District (PTSD) has experienced population and housing growth in recent years, but the District’s K-12 school enrollment of 2,708 students in 2007-08 was five percent lower than its 1999-00 peak of 2,839. The enrollment decline is largely attributed to the smaller elementary classes of the early 2000s, compared with the peak enrollments of the middle to late 1990s. Middle school enrollment peaked in 2003-04, and high school enrollment peaked in 2005-06. Although secondary school enrollment has been declining in the past few years, elementary enrollment has been relatively stable since 2002-03. The number of incoming kindergarten and 1st grade students has remained steady, and in three of the past four years elementary grade cohorts have grown due to net migration of school-age residents into the District. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) containing Enrollment Forecasts for the PTSD from 2008-09 to 2017-18. We conclude that the most likely scenario is for modest enrollment growth in the PTSD during the next 10 years. Close

• 97. [Article] Reynolds School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2017-18

  Since 1997-98, Reynolds School District (RSD) overall K-12 enrollment has increased by 28 percent, from 8,452 students in 1997-98 to 10,815 in 2007-08, with most of the growth occurring between 1998-99 ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Reynolds School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2017-18 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Smith-Buani, Joseph, Hough, George C., Jr., Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2008 Since 1997-98, Reynolds School District (RSD) overall K-12 enrollment has increased by 28 percent, from 8,452 students in 1997-98 to 10,815 in 2007-08, with most of the growth occurring between 1998-99 and 2003-04. After one year with little enrollment change (2004-05), the district has added 452 students in the most recent three years. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the most likely scenario for future RSD enrollment is for slow growth in K-12 enrollment during the next five years until 2012-13, and slightly faster growth in the following five year period between 2012-13 and 2017-18. Title: Reynolds School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2017-18 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Smith-Buani, Joseph, Hough, George C., Jr., Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2008 Since 1997-98, Reynolds School District (RSD) overall K-12 enrollment has increased by 28 percent, from 8,452 students in 1997-98 to 10,815 in 2007-08, with most of the growth occurring between 1998-99 and 2003-04. After one year with little enrollment change (2004-05), the district has added 452 students in the most recent three years. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the most likely scenario for future RSD enrollment is for slow growth in K-12 enrollment during the next five years until 2012-13, and slightly faster growth in the following five year period between 2012-13 and 2017-18. Close

• 98. [Article] Amity School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2008-09 to 2017-18

  The Amity School District (ASD) experienced enrollment growth during the late 1980s and early 1990s, but reached a peak of 945 K-12 students in Fall 1994. In the 12 years that followed, enrollment fell ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Amity School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2008-09 to 2017-18 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2007 The Amity School District (ASD) experienced enrollment growth during the late 1980s and early 1990s, but reached a peak of 945 K-12 students in Fall 1994. In the 12 years that followed, enrollment fell by 143 students, or 15 percent. This year’s enrollment of 822 represents an increase of 20 students (2.5 percent) from Fall 2006, the largest increase since 1994. The long period of decline initially had its greatest impact on elementary grades, followed by middle school and more recently high school. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the Amity District should not expect enrollment declines to continue in the long run, although about three more years of small losses are forecast at the high school level. Two forecast scenarios are presented, a "baseline" forecast under which housing development and migration trends remain similar to their recent levels, and a "high range" forecast that anticipates higher migration levels, primarily due to an increase in housing development. Title: Amity School District: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2008-09 to 2017-18 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2007 The Amity School District (ASD) experienced enrollment growth during the late 1980s and early 1990s, but reached a peak of 945 K-12 students in Fall 1994. In the 12 years that followed, enrollment fell by 143 students, or 15 percent. This year’s enrollment of 822 represents an increase of 20 students (2.5 percent) from Fall 2006, the largest increase since 1994. The long period of decline initially had its greatest impact on elementary grades, followed by middle school and more recently high school. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the Amity District should not expect enrollment declines to continue in the long run, although about three more years of small losses are forecast at the high school level. Two forecast scenarios are presented, a "baseline" forecast under which housing development and migration trends remain similar to their recent levels, and a "high range" forecast that anticipates higher migration levels, primarily due to an increase in housing development. Close

• 99. [Article] Grants Pass School District 7: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2008-09 to 2017-18

  Total K-12 enrollment in the Grants Pass School District 7 (GPSD) has fallen in the most recent two years, between 2005-06 and 2006-07 and again between 2006-07 and 2007- 08. This is the first time in ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Grants Pass School District 7: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2008-09 to 2017-18 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2007 Total K-12 enrollment in the Grants Pass School District 7 (GPSD) has fallen in the most recent two years, between 2005-06 and 2006-07 and again between 2006-07 and 2007- 08. This is the first time in at least 20 years that the District has had two consecutive years of enrollment decline. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the downturn in enrollment will not continue in the long run and that the most likely scenario is for moderate enrollment growth of about 520 additional K-12 students between 2007-08 and 2017-18. The growth represents a nine percent increase over current enrollment, or an average annual rate of 0.9 percent. The study includes a population forecast for the area served by the GPSD for the years 2010 and 2020. In the 20 years between 2000 and 2020, the District is expected to add about 12,800 persons overall, growing from about 31,700 in 2000 to 44,500 in 2020. The average annual population growth forecast is 1.7 percent. Title: Grants Pass School District 7: Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2008-09 to 2017-18 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2007 Total K-12 enrollment in the Grants Pass School District 7 (GPSD) has fallen in the most recent two years, between 2005-06 and 2006-07 and again between 2006-07 and 2007- 08. This is the first time in at least 20 years that the District has had two consecutive years of enrollment decline. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the downturn in enrollment will not continue in the long run and that the most likely scenario is for moderate enrollment growth of about 520 additional K-12 students between 2007-08 and 2017-18. The growth represents a nine percent increase over current enrollment, or an average annual rate of 0.9 percent. The study includes a population forecast for the area served by the GPSD for the years 2010 and 2020. In the 20 years between 2000 and 2020, the District is expected to add about 12,800 persons overall, growing from about 31,700 in 2000 to 44,500 in 2020. The average annual population growth forecast is 1.7 percent. Close

• 100. [Article] Oregon Trail School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2016-17

  Since the Oregon Trail School District (OTSD) was formed in 1997, overall K-12 enrollment has changed very little, with very small increases or decreases in most years. The K-12 total of 4,164 in 2006-07 ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Oregon Trail School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2016-17 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2007 Since the Oregon Trail School District (OTSD) was formed in 1997, overall K-12 enrollment has changed very little, with very small increases or decreases in most years. The K-12 total of 4,164 in 2006-07 is 164 students (3 percent) below the 1998-99 peak, but nearly identical to the total seven years ago in 1999-2000. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the most likely scenario for future OTSD enrollment is for continued stability in K-12 enrollment during the next five years until 2011-12, and modest growth in the following five year period between 2011-12 and 2016-17. Title: Oregon Trail School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2016-17 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2007 Since the Oregon Trail School District (OTSD) was formed in 1997, overall K-12 enrollment has changed very little, with very small increases or decreases in most years. The K-12 total of 4,164 in 2006-07 is 164 students (3 percent) below the 1998-99 peak, but nearly identical to the total seven years ago in 1999-2000. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the most likely scenario for future OTSD enrollment is for continued stability in K-12 enrollment during the next five years until 2011-12, and modest growth in the following five year period between 2011-12 and 2016-17. Close