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• 31. [Article] McMinnville School District Enrollment Forecasts 2017-18 to 2026-27

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the McMinnville School District (MSD). The study includes analysis ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: McMinnville School District Enrollment Forecasts 2017-18 to 2026-27 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Yang, Xi Year: 2017 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the McMinnville School District (MSD). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district‐wide enrollments for a ten year period from 2017‐18 to 2026‐27 and of individual schools for a five year period from 2017‐18 to 2021‐22. Title: McMinnville School District Enrollment Forecasts 2017-18 to 2026-27 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Yang, Xi Year: 2017 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the McMinnville School District (MSD). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district‐wide enrollments for a ten year period from 2017‐18 to 2026‐27 and of individual schools for a five year period from 2017‐18 to 2021‐22. Close

• 32. [Article] Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update 2017-18 to 2026-27

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the Tigard‐Tualatin School District (TTSD). The study includes analysis ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update 2017-18 to 2026-27 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Yang, Xi Year: 2017 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the Tigard‐Tualatin School District (TTSD). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2017‐18 to 2026‐27 school years. Title: Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update 2017-18 to 2026-27 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Yang, Xi Year: 2017 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the Tigard‐Tualatin School District (TTSD). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2017‐18 to 2026‐27 school years. Close

• 33. [Article] Changing Times, Changing Enrollments: How Recent Demographic Trends are Affecting Enrollments in Portland Public Schools

  The purpose of this report is to provide an analysis of the demographic factors affecting recent enrollment changes in Portland Public Schools. Toward this goal, the report discusses how trends in births, ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Changing Times, Changing Enrollments: How Recent Demographic Trends are Affecting Enrollments in Portland Public Schools Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Edmonston, Barry Year: 2000 The purpose of this report is to provide an analysis of the demographic factors affecting recent enrollment changes in Portland Public Schools. Toward this goal, the report discusses how trends in births, migration, and international migration have affected public school enrollments in Portland. This report reaches four main conclusions: * First and foremost, public school enrollments have declined in recent years primarily because there have been sizeable decreases in the number of students entering kindergarten and the early elementary school grades. Smaller numbers of entering students are, in turn, the result of substantial reductions in the number of births--reductions that began in 1991. Because there were fewer births in the early 1990s, fewer students enrolled in school in the late 1990s. The number of births declined in the 1980s primarily because there were decreases in the number of younger couples--not because there were decreases in the average number of births per couples in the 1980s. * The number of births has continued to decline in the 1990s. The lower number of births in the second half of the decade has not yet affected school enrollments. But they will add to declines in school enrollments in the future, starting after about 2002. Although there was net out-migration of school-age children, in the 1980s and 1990s, net out-migration of school-age children appears to have increased in the late 1990s, further reducing enrollments. * Increased international migration into the Portland metropolitan area has ameliorated the decline in enrollments by adding several thousand foreign-born students to the Portland Public Schools. Immigrant couples are contributing an increasing number of births to the population. Births to immigrants partially counterbalance fertility declines among native-born residents. * There is conflicting evidence from public, private, and home schooling data on changes in public school capture rates (the proportion of school age children enrolled in Portland Public Schools). Available data, however, suggest that changes in capture rates have not been a major determinant of public school enrollment trends. Title: Changing Times, Changing Enrollments: How Recent Demographic Trends are Affecting Enrollments in Portland Public Schools Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Edmonston, Barry Year: 2000 The purpose of this report is to provide an analysis of the demographic factors affecting recent enrollment changes in Portland Public Schools. Toward this goal, the report discusses how trends in births, migration, and international migration have affected public school enrollments in Portland. This report reaches four main conclusions: * First and foremost, public school enrollments have declined in recent years primarily because there have been sizeable decreases in the number of students entering kindergarten and the early elementary school grades. Smaller numbers of entering students are, in turn, the result of substantial reductions in the number of births--reductions that began in 1991. Because there were fewer births in the early 1990s, fewer students enrolled in school in the late 1990s. The number of births declined in the 1980s primarily because there were decreases in the number of younger couples--not because there were decreases in the average number of births per couples in the 1980s. * The number of births has continued to decline in the 1990s. The lower number of births in the second half of the decade has not yet affected school enrollments. But they will add to declines in school enrollments in the future, starting after about 2002. Although there was net out-migration of school-age children, in the 1980s and 1990s, net out-migration of school-age children appears to have increased in the late 1990s, further reducing enrollments. * Increased international migration into the Portland metropolitan area has ameliorated the decline in enrollments by adding several thousand foreign-born students to the Portland Public Schools. Immigrant couples are contributing an increasing number of births to the population. Births to immigrants partially counterbalance fertility declines among native-born residents. * There is conflicting evidence from public, private, and home schooling data on changes in public school capture rates (the proportion of school age children enrolled in Portland Public Schools). Available data, however, suggest that changes in capture rates have not been a major determinant of public school enrollment trends. Close

• 34. [Article] Gresham-Barlow School District 10J Enrollment Forecasts, 2007 to 2015: Results and Documentation

  This report represents results of a demographic study conducted by the Population Research Center (PRC) to address the long-range planning needs of the Gresham-Barlow School District 10J (GBSD). The long ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Gresham-Barlow School District 10J Enrollment Forecasts, 2007 to 2015: Results and Documentation Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Sharkova, Irina V., Siu, Vivian Year: 2007 This report represents results of a demographic study conducted by the Population Research Center (PRC) to address the long-range planning needs of the Gresham-Barlow School District 10J (GBSD). The long term District wide forecast was developed using patterns of migration, fertility and mortality that are most likely to occur between school years 2006 and 2015. In addition to the most likely scenario, or the medium growth forecast, two other scenarios--for higher and lower growth trends--were derived. Forecasts by grade for individual schoolsand school attendance areas were also prepared; these forecasts relied on the District wide medium growth scenario. Title: Gresham-Barlow School District 10J Enrollment Forecasts, 2007 to 2015: Results and Documentation Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Sharkova, Irina V., Siu, Vivian Year: 2007 This report represents results of a demographic study conducted by the Population Research Center (PRC) to address the long-range planning needs of the Gresham-Barlow School District 10J (GBSD). The long term District wide forecast was developed using patterns of migration, fertility and mortality that are most likely to occur between school years 2006 and 2015. In addition to the most likely scenario, or the medium growth forecast, two other scenarios--for higher and lower growth trends--were derived. Forecasts by grade for individual schoolsand school attendance areas were also prepared; these forecasts relied on the District wide medium growth scenario. Close

• 35. [Article] North Santiam School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2006-07 to 2025-26

  The North Santiam School District (NSSD) covers about 100 square miles of Marion and Linn Counties in Western Oregon, and includes the communities of Lyons, Mehama, Stayton, and Sublimity. The area served ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: North Santiam School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2006-07 to 2025-26 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Proehl, Risa S. Year: 2006 The North Santiam School District (NSSD) covers about 100 square miles of Marion and Linn Counties in Western Oregon, and includes the communities of Lyons, Mehama, Stayton, and Sublimity. The area served by the District has experienced sustained growth in population, housing, and public school enrollment in recent years. This report presents the results of a forecast conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) indicating that NSSD enrollment will continue to grow during the next twenty years. PRC’s methodology links enrollment trends with the area’s population dynamics. Population and housing are closely related to access to jobs. By itself, the District’s past growth is no guarantee of future long-term growth, but in the context of expected employment, population, and housing growth, enrollment is likely to increase at all grade levels. Title: North Santiam School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2006-07 to 2025-26 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Proehl, Risa S. Year: 2006 The North Santiam School District (NSSD) covers about 100 square miles of Marion and Linn Counties in Western Oregon, and includes the communities of Lyons, Mehama, Stayton, and Sublimity. The area served by the District has experienced sustained growth in population, housing, and public school enrollment in recent years. This report presents the results of a forecast conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) indicating that NSSD enrollment will continue to grow during the next twenty years. PRC’s methodology links enrollment trends with the area’s population dynamics. Population and housing are closely related to access to jobs. By itself, the District’s past growth is no guarantee of future long-term growth, but in the context of expected employment, population, and housing growth, enrollment is likely to increase at all grade levels. Close

• 36. [Article] Scappoose School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2006-07 to 2020-21

  The Scappoose School District (SSD) in northwestern Oregon serves the City of Scappoose and the southeastern portion of Columbia County, as well as the extreme northwestern portion of Multnomah County ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Scappoose School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2006-07 to 2020-21 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2006 The Scappoose School District (SSD) in northwestern Oregon serves the City of Scappoose and the southeastern portion of Columbia County, as well as the extreme northwestern portion of Multnomah County and a small piece of Washington County. The area served by the District has experienced population growth in recent years, but overall school enrollment losses in two of the past five years have negated the gains in the other three years. This report presents the results of a forecast conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) indicating that SSD enrollment will increase during the next fifteen years, with relatively slow growth in the first five years and faster growth during the 2010 to 2020 period. PRC’s methodology links enrollment trends with the area’s population dynamics. Population and housing are closely related to access to jobs. In the context of expected employment, population, and housing growth, enrollment is likely to increase at all grade levels. Title: Scappoose School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2006-07 to 2020-21 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2006 The Scappoose School District (SSD) in northwestern Oregon serves the City of Scappoose and the southeastern portion of Columbia County, as well as the extreme northwestern portion of Multnomah County and a small piece of Washington County. The area served by the District has experienced population growth in recent years, but overall school enrollment losses in two of the past five years have negated the gains in the other three years. This report presents the results of a forecast conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) indicating that SSD enrollment will increase during the next fifteen years, with relatively slow growth in the first five years and faster growth during the 2010 to 2020 period. PRC’s methodology links enrollment trends with the area’s population dynamics. Population and housing are closely related to access to jobs. In the context of expected employment, population, and housing growth, enrollment is likely to increase at all grade levels. Close

• 37. [Article] The Path Ahead: Future Enrollments in Portland Public Schools, 2002-2010, Based on October 2002 Enrollments

  This report provides a school Enrollment Forecast, including demographic information, for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: The Path Ahead: Future Enrollments in Portland Public Schools, 2002-2010, Based on October 2002 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Edmonston, Barry, Lycan, Richard, Proehl, Risa S. Year: 2003 This report provides a school Enrollment Forecast, including demographic information, for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the present and 2010, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. This is the third annual report that forecasts future enrollments for the Portland Public Schools. Previous annual reports were based on October 1999, 2000, and 2001 enrollments; this report relies on October 2002 enrollments. To take into account a variety of demographic and enrollment possibilities, this report describes an extrapolation of likely future trends for housing, population, and enrollment changes between the present and 2010. Title: The Path Ahead: Future Enrollments in Portland Public Schools, 2002-2010, Based on October 2002 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Edmonston, Barry, Lycan, Richard, Proehl, Risa S. Year: 2003 This report provides a school Enrollment Forecast, including demographic information, for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the present and 2010, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. This is the third annual report that forecasts future enrollments for the Portland Public Schools. Previous annual reports were based on October 1999, 2000, and 2001 enrollments; this report relies on October 2002 enrollments. To take into account a variety of demographic and enrollment possibilities, this report describes an extrapolation of likely future trends for housing, population, and enrollment changes between the present and 2010. Close

• 38. [Article] The Path Ahead: Future Enrollments in Portland Public Schools, 2001-2010, Based on October 2001 Enrollments

  This report provides a school Enrollment Forecast, including demographic information, for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: The Path Ahead: Future Enrollments in Portland Public Schools, 2001-2010, Based on October 2001 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center Year: 2002 This report provides a school Enrollment Forecast, including demographic information, for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the present and 2010, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. This is the third annual report that forecasts future enrollments for the Portland Public Schools. Previous annual reports were based on October 1999 and October 2000 enrollments; this report relies on October 2001 enrollments. To take into account a variety of demographic and enrollment possibilities, this report describes an extrapolation of likely future trends for housing, population, and enrollment changes for the ten years between 2001 to 2010. Title: The Path Ahead: Future Enrollments in Portland Public Schools, 2001-2010, Based on October 2001 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center Year: 2002 This report provides a school Enrollment Forecast, including demographic information, for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the present and 2010, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. This is the third annual report that forecasts future enrollments for the Portland Public Schools. Previous annual reports were based on October 1999 and October 2000 enrollments; this report relies on October 2001 enrollments. To take into account a variety of demographic and enrollment possibilities, this report describes an extrapolation of likely future trends for housing, population, and enrollment changes for the ten years between 2001 to 2010. Close

• 39. [Article] Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2014-15 to 2028-29, Based on October 2013 Enrollments

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for Portland Public Schools (PPS). The study includes analysis of population, ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2014-15 to 2028-29, Based on October 2013 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center Year: 2014 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for Portland Public Schools (PPS). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the number of PPS students by housing type, and annual forecasts of enrollment for a 15 year horizon, from 2014‐15 to 2028‐29. Enrollment Forecasts were prepared under high, medium, and low scenarios for the District. Forecasts for attendance areas by place of residence and for individual schools are consistent with the medium district‐wide forecast. Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2014-15 to 2028-29, Based on October 2013 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center Year: 2014 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for Portland Public Schools (PPS). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the number of PPS students by housing type, and annual forecasts of enrollment for a 15 year horizon, from 2014‐15 to 2028‐29. Enrollment Forecasts were prepared under high, medium, and low scenarios for the District. Forecasts for attendance areas by place of residence and for individual schools are consistent with the medium district‐wide forecast. Close

• 40. [Article] Population Forecast for Lane County, its Cities and Unincorporated Area 2008-2035

  This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Population Research Center (PRC) to address the long-range planning needs of Lane County and produce population forecasts at the county and ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Population Forecast for Lane County, its Cities and Unincorporated Area 2008-2035 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Proehl, Risa S., Hough, George C., Jr., Ru, Danan, Radin, Kenneth, Gilbert, Mark Year: 2009 This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Population Research Center (PRC) to address the long-range planning needs of Lane County and produce population forecasts at the county and sub-county level. This report considers recent and historical demographic changes experienced within the County and provides forecasts from 2008 to 2035 in 5-year intervals. Expected future populations that result from the most-likely demographic trends throughout Lane County are presented in this report. Title: Population Forecast for Lane County, its Cities and Unincorporated Area 2008-2035 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Proehl, Risa S., Hough, George C., Jr., Ru, Danan, Radin, Kenneth, Gilbert, Mark Year: 2009 This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Population Research Center (PRC) to address the long-range planning needs of Lane County and produce population forecasts at the county and sub-county level. This report considers recent and historical demographic changes experienced within the County and provides forecasts from 2008 to 2035 in 5-year intervals. Expected future populations that result from the most-likely demographic trends throughout Lane County are presented in this report. Close