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• 1. [Article] Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 to 2025-26, Based on October 2011 Enrollments

  The Portland Public School District (PPS) enrolled 46,206 K‐12 students in Fall 2011, an increase of 465 students (1.0 percent) from Fall 2010. This was the third consecutive year of K‐12 growth, a reversal ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 to 2025-26, Based on October 2011 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Dann, Ryan, Jurjevich, Jason R. Year: 2012 The Portland Public School District (PPS) enrolled 46,206 K‐12 students in Fall 2011, an increase of 465 students (1.0 percent) from Fall 2010. This was the third consecutive year of K‐12 growth, a reversal from the 12 consecutive years of enrollment losses between 1997 and 2008. For the three year period since 2008‐09, the District has grown by 1,182 K‐12 students (2.6 percent). This report includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, forecasts of district‐wide enrollment, and Enrollment Forecasts by area of residence (high school clusters, school attendance areas) and by individual school of attendance for the 2012‐13 to 2025‐26 school years. For the district‐wide forecast, three scenarios of population and enrollment changes were developed: a most‐likely, or medium, growth scenario; a scenario for lower growth; and a higher growth scenario. All three of the growth scenarios for the PPS district‐wide Enrollment Forecasts use similar mortality, fertility, and capture rates during the 14 year horizon. The differences between the three scenarios are primarily due to different assumptions about the levels of net migration (the net movement into and out of the District) among families with children. Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 to 2025-26, Based on October 2011 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Dann, Ryan, Jurjevich, Jason R. Year: 2012 The Portland Public School District (PPS) enrolled 46,206 K‐12 students in Fall 2011, an increase of 465 students (1.0 percent) from Fall 2010. This was the third consecutive year of K‐12 growth, a reversal from the 12 consecutive years of enrollment losses between 1997 and 2008. For the three year period since 2008‐09, the District has grown by 1,182 K‐12 students (2.6 percent). This report includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, forecasts of district‐wide enrollment, and Enrollment Forecasts by area of residence (high school clusters, school attendance areas) and by individual school of attendance for the 2012‐13 to 2025‐26 school years. For the district‐wide forecast, three scenarios of population and enrollment changes were developed: a most‐likely, or medium, growth scenario; a scenario for lower growth; and a higher growth scenario. All three of the growth scenarios for the PPS district‐wide Enrollment Forecasts use similar mortality, fertility, and capture rates during the 14 year horizon. The differences between the three scenarios are primarily due to different assumptions about the levels of net migration (the net movement into and out of the District) among families with children. Close