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• 1. [Article] Estimation of Columbia River Virgin Flow: 1879 to 1928

  The Columbia River has historically been a major source of economic activity for the Pacific Northwest, and is one of the more heavily modified rivers in the United States today. Understanding human and ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Estimation of Columbia River Virgin Flow: 1879 to 1928 Author: Naik, Pradeep K., Jay, David A. Year: 2005 The Columbia River has historically been a major source of economic activity for the Pacific Northwest, and is one of the more heavily modified rivers in the United States today. Understanding human and climate-induced changes in its hydrologic properties is, therefore, a topic of considerable interest. Long streamflow records are essential to determining how runoff has changed over time. Daily streamflow records of the Columbia River at The Dalles dates back to June 1978. However, the observed daily flow does not alone provide enough information to understand or separate anthropogenic and climate effects. It is necessary also to have an estimate of virgin flow of the river to provide a historical perspective of water resources development, separate anthropogenic and climate effects, and compare present water use scenarios with those of the past decades. The United State Geological Survey (USGS) has calculated a monthly averaged adjusted river flow at The Dalles for 1879-1999 that accounts for the effects of flow regulation. The Bonneville Power Administration (BPA) has estimated the monthly averaged virgin (or naturalized) flow at The Dalles, i.e., the flow in the absence of both flow regulation and irrigation depletion for 1929-89. We have estimated the monthly virgin flow of the Columbia River at The Dalles from records of irrigated area for the missing years, i.e., for the period 1879-1928. In addition, a filtered version of the daily observed flows were combined with monthly virgin flow corrections to obtain estimates of daily virgin flows with realistic higher moments and spectral properties. Examination of the virgin flow record shows that climate change since late 19th century has caused a decrease of >7% in its annual average flow volume. The decrease in flow due to irrigation diversion during the same period is also ~7%. Broadly speaking, there are three periods of Columbia River flow management. Before 1900, mainstem dams were absent and flow diversions relatively small. Numerous dams were constructed between 1900 and 1970, and irrigation depletion increased 500%. Since about 1970, river flows have been managed on a system-wide basin, effecting significant interannual transfers of flows for the first time. Title: Estimation of Columbia River Virgin Flow: 1879 to 1928 Author: Naik, Pradeep K., Jay, David A. Year: 2005 The Columbia River has historically been a major source of economic activity for the Pacific Northwest, and is one of the more heavily modified rivers in the United States today. Understanding human and climate-induced changes in its hydrologic properties is, therefore, a topic of considerable interest. Long streamflow records are essential to determining how runoff has changed over time. Daily streamflow records of the Columbia River at The Dalles dates back to June 1978. However, the observed daily flow does not alone provide enough information to understand or separate anthropogenic and climate effects. It is necessary also to have an estimate of virgin flow of the river to provide a historical perspective of water resources development, separate anthropogenic and climate effects, and compare present water use scenarios with those of the past decades. The United State Geological Survey (USGS) has calculated a monthly averaged adjusted river flow at The Dalles for 1879-1999 that accounts for the effects of flow regulation. The Bonneville Power Administration (BPA) has estimated the monthly averaged virgin (or naturalized) flow at The Dalles, i.e., the flow in the absence of both flow regulation and irrigation depletion for 1929-89. We have estimated the monthly virgin flow of the Columbia River at The Dalles from records of irrigated area for the missing years, i.e., for the period 1879-1928. In addition, a filtered version of the daily observed flows were combined with monthly virgin flow corrections to obtain estimates of daily virgin flows with realistic higher moments and spectral properties. Examination of the virgin flow record shows that climate change since late 19th century has caused a decrease of >7% in its annual average flow volume. The decrease in flow due to irrigation diversion during the same period is also ~7%. Broadly speaking, there are three periods of Columbia River flow management. Before 1900, mainstem dams were absent and flow diversions relatively small. Numerous dams were constructed between 1900 and 1970, and irrigation depletion increased 500%. Since about 1970, river flows have been managed on a system-wide basin, effecting significant interannual transfers of flows for the first time. Close

• 2. [Article] Impacts of Columbia River Discharge on Salmonid Habitat: 2. Changes in Shallow-Water Habitat

  This is the second part of an investigation that analyzes human alteration of shallow-water habitat (SWH) available to juvenile salmonids in the tidal Lower Columbia River. Part 2 develops a one-dimensional, ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Impacts of Columbia River Discharge on Salmonid Habitat: 2. Changes in Shallow-Water Habitat Author: Jay, David A., Kukulka, Tobias Year: 2003 This is the second part of an investigation that analyzes human alteration of shallow-water habitat (SWH) available to juvenile salmonids in the tidal Lower Columbia River. Part 2 develops a one-dimensional, subtidal river stage model that explains ~90% of the stage variance in the tidal river. This model and the tidal model developed in part 1 (Kukulka and Jay, 2003) uncouple the nonlinear interaction of river tides and river stage by referring both to external forcing by river discharge, ocean tides, and atmospheric pressure. Applying the two models, daily high-water levels were predicted for a reach from rkm-50 to rkm-90 during 1974 to 1998, the period of contemporary management. Predicted water levels were related to the bathymetry and topography to determine the changes in shallow-water habitat area (SWHA) caused by flood control dikes and altered flow management. Model results suggest that diking and a >40% reduction of peak flows have reduced SWHA by ~62% during the crucial spring freshet period during which juvenile salmon use of SWHA is maximal. Taken individually, diking and flow cycle alteration reduced spring freshet SWHA by 52% and 29%, respectively. SWHA has been both displaced to lower elevations and modified in its character because tidal range has increased. Our models of these processes are economical for the very long simulations (seasons to centuries) needed to understand historic changes and climate impacts on SWH. Through analysis of the nonlinear processes controlling surface elevation in a tidal river, we have identified some of the mechanisms that link freshwater discharge to SWH and salmonid survival. Title: Impacts of Columbia River Discharge on Salmonid Habitat: 2. Changes in Shallow-Water Habitat Author: Jay, David A., Kukulka, Tobias Year: 2003 This is the second part of an investigation that analyzes human alteration of shallow-water habitat (SWH) available to juvenile salmonids in the tidal Lower Columbia River. Part 2 develops a one-dimensional, subtidal river stage model that explains ~90% of the stage variance in the tidal river. This model and the tidal model developed in part 1 (Kukulka and Jay, 2003) uncouple the nonlinear interaction of river tides and river stage by referring both to external forcing by river discharge, ocean tides, and atmospheric pressure. Applying the two models, daily high-water levels were predicted for a reach from rkm-50 to rkm-90 during 1974 to 1998, the period of contemporary management. Predicted water levels were related to the bathymetry and topography to determine the changes in shallow-water habitat area (SWHA) caused by flood control dikes and altered flow management. Model results suggest that diking and a >40% reduction of peak flows have reduced SWHA by ~62% during the crucial spring freshet period during which juvenile salmon use of SWHA is maximal. Taken individually, diking and flow cycle alteration reduced spring freshet SWHA by 52% and 29%, respectively. SWHA has been both displaced to lower elevations and modified in its character because tidal range has increased. Our models of these processes are economical for the very long simulations (seasons to centuries) needed to understand historic changes and climate impacts on SWH. Through analysis of the nonlinear processes controlling surface elevation in a tidal river, we have identified some of the mechanisms that link freshwater discharge to SWH and salmonid survival. Close

• 3. [Article] The Columbia River Plume Study: Subtidal Variability in the Velocity and Salinity Fields

  A comprehensive study of the strongly wind driven midlatitude buoyant plume from the Columbia River, located on the U.S. west coast, demonstrates that the plume has two basic structures during the fall/winter ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: The Columbia River Plume Study: Subtidal Variability in the Velocity and Salinity Fields Author: Hickey, B. M., Pietrafesa, Leonard J., Jay, David A., Boicourt, William C. Year: 1998 A comprehensive study of the strongly wind driven midlatitude buoyant plume from the Columbia River, located on the U.S. west coast, demonstrates that the plume has two basic structures during the fall/winter season, namely, a thin (~5~15 m), strongly stratified plume tending west to northwestward during periods of southward or light northward wind stress and a thicker (~10~40 m), weakly stratified plume tending northward and hugging the coast during periods of stronger northward stress. The plume and its velocity field respond nearly instantaneously to changes in wind speed or direction, and the wind fluctuations have timescales of 2-10 days. Frictional wind-driven currents cause the primarily unidirectional flow down the plume axis to veer to the right or left of the axis for northward or southward winds, respectively. Farther downstream, currents turn to parallel rather than cross salinity contours, consistent with a geostrophic balance. In particular, during periods when the plume is separated from the coast, currents tend to flow around the mound of fresher water. At distances exceeding about 20 km from the river mouth, the along-shelf depth-averaged flow over the inner to midshelf is linear, and depth-averaged acceleration is governed to lowest order by the difference between surface and bottom stress alone. In this region, along-shelf geostrophic buoyancy-driven currents at ~5 m (calculated from surface density) and along-shelf geostrophic wind-driven currents (computed from a depth-averaged linear model) are comparable in magnitude (~10-25 cm-1 ). Title: The Columbia River Plume Study: Subtidal Variability in the Velocity and Salinity Fields Author: Hickey, B. M., Pietrafesa, Leonard J., Jay, David A., Boicourt, William C. Year: 1998 A comprehensive study of the strongly wind driven midlatitude buoyant plume from the Columbia River, located on the U.S. west coast, demonstrates that the plume has two basic structures during the fall/winter season, namely, a thin (~5~15 m), strongly stratified plume tending west to northwestward during periods of southward or light northward wind stress and a thicker (~10~40 m), weakly stratified plume tending northward and hugging the coast during periods of stronger northward stress. The plume and its velocity field respond nearly instantaneously to changes in wind speed or direction, and the wind fluctuations have timescales of 2-10 days. Frictional wind-driven currents cause the primarily unidirectional flow down the plume axis to veer to the right or left of the axis for northward or southward winds, respectively. Farther downstream, currents turn to parallel rather than cross salinity contours, consistent with a geostrophic balance. In particular, during periods when the plume is separated from the coast, currents tend to flow around the mound of fresher water. At distances exceeding about 20 km from the river mouth, the along-shelf depth-averaged flow over the inner to midshelf is linear, and depth-averaged acceleration is governed to lowest order by the difference between surface and bottom stress alone. In this region, along-shelf geostrophic buoyancy-driven currents at ~5 m (calculated from surface density) and along-shelf geostrophic wind-driven currents (computed from a depth-averaged linear model) are comparable in magnitude (~10-25 cm-1 ). Close

• 4. [Article] Particle Trapping in Stratified Estuaries - Definition of a Parameter Space

  Estuarine turbidity maxima (ETM) retain suspended particulate matter (SPM) through advection, settling, aggregation and non-linearities in bed processes. This contribution defines for the first time a ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Particle Trapping in Stratified Estuaries - Definition of a Parameter Space Author: Jay, David A., Orton, Philip M., Chisholm, Thomas A., Wilson, Douglas J., Fain, Annika M., McGinity, John Year: 2003 Estuarine turbidity maxima (ETM) retain suspended particulate matter (SPM) through advection, settling, aggregation and non-linearities in bed processes. This contribution defines for the first time a parameter space descriptive of ETM water-column particle trapping processes through a scaling analysis of the local and integral SPM balances. In the absence of long-term deposition, there are five primary parameters for the large particles or aggregates that are typically trapped. Rouse number P, the ratio of settling velocity WS of the SPM relative to the shear velocity U*, describes the material trapped in the ETM in terms of the local vertical balance between vertical mixing and aggregate settling. Advection number A= P ΔU/UT scales the landward transport of SPM by tidal and mean flow processes in terms of flood-ebb velocity difference (ΔU) and maximum tidal current (UT). Supply number SR = P UR/UT defines SPM supply and removal (UR is river flow). Changes in the estuarine inventory of SPM are described in terms of a Trapping Efficiency E, a ratio of peak ETM concentration to fluvial or marine supply concentration. The effects of aggregation in the integral dynamic balance are quantified by a Floc number F that describes the tendency of aggregates to form through shear-driven collisions. This study uses observations from two strongly advective systems (the Columbia and Fraser Rivers) plus literature values from 13 other estuaries to illustrate the applicability of the above scaling. The primary question investigated is the relationship of trapping efficiency E and Floc number F to other parameters, especially river flow (expressed in terms of supply number SR). The strongest SPM trapping (high E) occurs in mid-ETM, where A ~0. The extreme high flows observed in the Fraser River estuary show how ETM trapping becomes ineffective as the estuary length contracts to one tidal excursion or less (limit of high SR). Use of data from all 15 estuaries shows that there is a strong trend toward more efficient trapping for low SR. E and F are positively correlated, so that aggregation becomes more prominent in systems with weak to moderate river flow. Examination of tidal monthly and seasonal particle properties at four closely-spaced moorings in the Columbia emphasize the importance of strong ETM gradients – particle properties are diverse even when the hydrodynamic regime is apparently similar. Finally, scaling variables and data are combined to express ETM properties in terms of U*, UR and UT.. Title: Particle Trapping in Stratified Estuaries - Definition of a Parameter Space Author: Jay, David A., Orton, Philip M., Chisholm, Thomas A., Wilson, Douglas J., Fain, Annika M., McGinity, John Year: 2003 Estuarine turbidity maxima (ETM) retain suspended particulate matter (SPM) through advection, settling, aggregation and non-linearities in bed processes. This contribution defines for the first time a parameter space descriptive of ETM water-column particle trapping processes through a scaling analysis of the local and integral SPM balances. In the absence of long-term deposition, there are five primary parameters for the large particles or aggregates that are typically trapped. Rouse number P, the ratio of settling velocity WS of the SPM relative to the shear velocity U*, describes the material trapped in the ETM in terms of the local vertical balance between vertical mixing and aggregate settling. Advection number A= P ΔU/UT scales the landward transport of SPM by tidal and mean flow processes in terms of flood-ebb velocity difference (ΔU) and maximum tidal current (UT). Supply number SR = P UR/UT defines SPM supply and removal (UR is river flow). Changes in the estuarine inventory of SPM are described in terms of a Trapping Efficiency E, a ratio of peak ETM concentration to fluvial or marine supply concentration. The effects of aggregation in the integral dynamic balance are quantified by a Floc number F that describes the tendency of aggregates to form through shear-driven collisions. This study uses observations from two strongly advective systems (the Columbia and Fraser Rivers) plus literature values from 13 other estuaries to illustrate the applicability of the above scaling. The primary question investigated is the relationship of trapping efficiency E and Floc number F to other parameters, especially river flow (expressed in terms of supply number SR). The strongest SPM trapping (high E) occurs in mid-ETM, where A ~0. The extreme high flows observed in the Fraser River estuary show how ETM trapping becomes ineffective as the estuary length contracts to one tidal excursion or less (limit of high SR). Use of data from all 15 estuaries shows that there is a strong trend toward more efficient trapping for low SR. E and F are positively correlated, so that aggregation becomes more prominent in systems with weak to moderate river flow. Examination of tidal monthly and seasonal particle properties at four closely-spaced moorings in the Columbia emphasize the importance of strong ETM gradients – particle properties are diverse even when the hydrodynamic regime is apparently similar. Finally, scaling variables and data are combined to express ETM properties in terms of U*, UR and UT.. Close

• 5. [Article] Archival Water-Level Measurements: Recovering Historical Data to Help Design for the Future

  Improving methods of assessing risk and designing structures to withstand extreme events and changing sea levels is a vital component of strategies for reducing risk to coastal resources and assets. An ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Archival Water-Level Measurements: Recovering Historical Data to Help Design for the Future Author: Talke, Stefan A., Jay, David A. Year: 2017 Improving methods of assessing risk and designing structures to withstand extreme events and changing sea levels is a vital component of strategies for reducing risk to coastal resources and assets. An obvious approach to improving the statistical robustness of risk assessments is to increase the number, time span, and quality of available water-level data sets, and to assess trends and non-stationarity. In this report we discuss efforts to recover, digitize, and analyze hundreds of station-years of lost-and-forgotten tide data and other water-level measurements that extend back to the early 19th century. To date, more than 6,500 station-years of previously lost or forgotten tide data have been identified, of which more than 1,600 station-years have been recovered and more than 550 station-years digitized. An additional 500+ years of once-a-day river-stage measurements in tidal rivers have been recovered and digitized. Approximately 300,000 documents have been recovered. In this report we also demonstrate how data recovery can help engineers better characterize their water-level environment and understand long-term trends, resulting in better risk assessment and ultimately more robust design of new infrastructure and adaptation of existing infrastructure. Long records help improve hazard estimates and can help characterize whether statistics are nonstationarity over climate-relevant time scales. Further, long and more complete records exhibit more natural variability and can be used to validate numerical simulations of historical storms (e.g., the 1893 New York hurricane). Historical tide data can help inform how tidal datums such as High Water and Low Water have changed, can be used to hindcast historical river flow, and provide a much richer view of long-term trends in local sea level. Used with numerical models, historical data help explain how anthropogenic activities have changed tide range and river slope, with the largest effects often observed far inland from the coast. Moreover, numerical models combined with tide data can be used to assess whether local engineering or other long-term changes have influenced storm surge risk. In conclusion, improved assessment of the past can help us better plan for the future. Title: Archival Water-Level Measurements: Recovering Historical Data to Help Design for the Future Author: Talke, Stefan A., Jay, David A. Year: 2017 Improving methods of assessing risk and designing structures to withstand extreme events and changing sea levels is a vital component of strategies for reducing risk to coastal resources and assets. An obvious approach to improving the statistical robustness of risk assessments is to increase the number, time span, and quality of available water-level data sets, and to assess trends and non-stationarity. In this report we discuss efforts to recover, digitize, and analyze hundreds of station-years of lost-and-forgotten tide data and other water-level measurements that extend back to the early 19th century. To date, more than 6,500 station-years of previously lost or forgotten tide data have been identified, of which more than 1,600 station-years have been recovered and more than 550 station-years digitized. An additional 500+ years of once-a-day river-stage measurements in tidal rivers have been recovered and digitized. Approximately 300,000 documents have been recovered. In this report we also demonstrate how data recovery can help engineers better characterize their water-level environment and understand long-term trends, resulting in better risk assessment and ultimately more robust design of new infrastructure and adaptation of existing infrastructure. Long records help improve hazard estimates and can help characterize whether statistics are nonstationarity over climate-relevant time scales. Further, long and more complete records exhibit more natural variability and can be used to validate numerical simulations of historical storms (e.g., the 1893 New York hurricane). Historical tide data can help inform how tidal datums such as High Water and Low Water have changed, can be used to hindcast historical river flow, and provide a much richer view of long-term trends in local sea level. Used with numerical models, historical data help explain how anthropogenic activities have changed tide range and river slope, with the largest effects often observed far inland from the coast. Moreover, numerical models combined with tide data can be used to assess whether local engineering or other long-term changes have influenced storm surge risk. In conclusion, improved assessment of the past can help us better plan for the future. Close

• 6. [Article] Interfacial Mixing in a Highly Stratified Estuary: 2. A "Method of Constrained Differences" Approach for the Determination of the Momentum and Mass Balances and the Energy of Mixing

  This article is Part 2 of a set of papers addressing mixing in a highly stratified estuary. In Part 2, turbulence and mean flow measurements are together used to understand the role of mixing in the overall ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Interfacial Mixing in a Highly Stratified Estuary: 2. A "Method of Constrained Differences" Approach for the Determination of the Momentum and Mass Balances and the Energy of Mixing Author: Kay, David J., Jay, David A. Year: 2003 This article is Part 2 of a set of papers addressing mixing in a highly stratified estuary. In Part 2, turbulence and mean flow measurements are together used to understand the role of mixing in the overall dynamics of the system. Estimates of the partition of energy dissipation between bed-generated and internal mixing suggest that internal mixing accounts for about two thirds of the total turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) produced in the salt-wedge reach of the Columbia River estuary during the neap-tide, moderate river-flow observation period. This suggests that internal mixing plays a larger role in the energetics of such systems than has previously been recognized. The lack of near-bed mixing on the neap is also likely a major factor in the accumulation of sediment in the estuary on neap tides. Profiles of estimated turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) dissipation were obtained using a new approach, which we call the "method of constrained differences," that allows the calculation of all major terms in the momentum and density balances during ebb mixing events from data obtained by a single vessel. The method of constrained differences uses a local equilibrium turbulence closure and measured velocity and density profiles to determine the density flux divergence necessary for internal consistency in the momentum and mass equations. The calculated mixing rates from the iterative procedure compare favorably with measured dissipation rates, tending to validate both the measurements and the procedure. Although this method involves a constraint of the form of a known or inferred stress at some point in the water column, it has the potential for wide application, especially if point measurements of TKE dissipation rates are available. Title: Interfacial Mixing in a Highly Stratified Estuary: 2. A "Method of Constrained Differences" Approach for the Determination of the Momentum and Mass Balances and the Energy of Mixing Author: Kay, David J., Jay, David A. Year: 2003 This article is Part 2 of a set of papers addressing mixing in a highly stratified estuary. In Part 2, turbulence and mean flow measurements are together used to understand the role of mixing in the overall dynamics of the system. Estimates of the partition of energy dissipation between bed-generated and internal mixing suggest that internal mixing accounts for about two thirds of the total turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) produced in the salt-wedge reach of the Columbia River estuary during the neap-tide, moderate river-flow observation period. This suggests that internal mixing plays a larger role in the energetics of such systems than has previously been recognized. The lack of near-bed mixing on the neap is also likely a major factor in the accumulation of sediment in the estuary on neap tides. Profiles of estimated turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) dissipation were obtained using a new approach, which we call the "method of constrained differences," that allows the calculation of all major terms in the momentum and density balances during ebb mixing events from data obtained by a single vessel. The method of constrained differences uses a local equilibrium turbulence closure and measured velocity and density profiles to determine the density flux divergence necessary for internal consistency in the momentum and mass equations. The calculated mixing rates from the iterative procedure compare favorably with measured dissipation rates, tending to validate both the measurements and the procedure. Although this method involves a constraint of the form of a known or inferred stress at some point in the water column, it has the potential for wide application, especially if point measurements of TKE dissipation rates are available. Close

• 7. [Article] River-Tide Dynamics: Exploration of Nonstationary and Nonlinear Tidal Behavior in the Yangtze River Estuary

  River-tide dynamics remain poorly understood, in part because conventional harmonic analysis (HA) does not cope effectively with nonstationary signals. To explore nonstationary behavior of river tides ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: River-Tide Dynamics: Exploration of Nonstationary and Nonlinear Tidal Behavior in the Yangtze River Estuary Author: Guo, Leicheng, van der Wegen, Mick, Jay, David A., Matte, Pascal, Wang, Zheng Bing, Roelvink, Dano, He, Qing Year: 2015 River-tide dynamics remain poorly understood, in part because conventional harmonic analysis (HA) does not cope effectively with nonstationary signals. To explore nonstationary behavior of river tides and the modulation effects of river discharge, this work analyzes tidal signals in the Yangtze River estuary using both HA in a nonstationary mode and continuous wavelet transforms (CWT). The Yangtze is an excellent natural laboratory to analyze river tides because of its high and variable flow, its length, and the fact that there are do dams or reflecting barriers within the tidal part of the system. Analysis of tidal frequencies by CWT and analysis of subtidal water level and tidal ranges reveal a broad range of subtidal variations over fortnightly, monthly, semiannual, and annual frequencies driven by subtidal variations in friction and by variable river discharges. We employ HA in a nonstationary mode (NSHA) by segregating data within defined flow ranges into separate analyses. NSHA quantifies the decay of the principal tides and the modulation of M4 tide with increasing river discharges. M4 amplitudes decrease far upriver (landward portion of the estuary) and conversely increase close to the ocean as river discharge increases. The fortnightly frequencies reach an amplitude maximum upriver of that for over tide frequencies, due to the longer wavelength of the fortnightly constituents. These methods and findings should be applicable to large tidal rivers globally and have broad implications regarding management of navigation channels and ecosystems in tidal rivers. Title: River-Tide Dynamics: Exploration of Nonstationary and Nonlinear Tidal Behavior in the Yangtze River Estuary Author: Guo, Leicheng, van der Wegen, Mick, Jay, David A., Matte, Pascal, Wang, Zheng Bing, Roelvink, Dano, He, Qing Year: 2015 River-tide dynamics remain poorly understood, in part because conventional harmonic analysis (HA) does not cope effectively with nonstationary signals. To explore nonstationary behavior of river tides and the modulation effects of river discharge, this work analyzes tidal signals in the Yangtze River estuary using both HA in a nonstationary mode and continuous wavelet transforms (CWT). The Yangtze is an excellent natural laboratory to analyze river tides because of its high and variable flow, its length, and the fact that there are do dams or reflecting barriers within the tidal part of the system. Analysis of tidal frequencies by CWT and analysis of subtidal water level and tidal ranges reveal a broad range of subtidal variations over fortnightly, monthly, semiannual, and annual frequencies driven by subtidal variations in friction and by variable river discharges. We employ HA in a nonstationary mode (NSHA) by segregating data within defined flow ranges into separate analyses. NSHA quantifies the decay of the principal tides and the modulation of M4 tide with increasing river discharges. M4 amplitudes decrease far upriver (landward portion of the estuary) and conversely increase close to the ocean as river discharge increases. The fortnightly frequencies reach an amplitude maximum upriver of that for over tide frequencies, due to the longer wavelength of the fortnightly constituents. These methods and findings should be applicable to large tidal rivers globally and have broad implications regarding management of navigation channels and ecosystems in tidal rivers. Close

• 8. [Article] Residual Circulation in Shallow Estuaries 1. Highly Stratified, Narrow Estuaries

  Long-wave theory and simple turbulence closures have been used to show that three distinct types of circulation (highly stratified, weakly stratified, and partially mixed) arise in narrow, shallow estuaries ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Residual Circulation in Shallow Estuaries 1. Highly Stratified, Narrow Estuaries Author: Jay, David A., Smith, J. Dungan Year: 1990 Long-wave theory and simple turbulence closures have been used to show that three distinct types of circulation (highly stratified, weakly stratified, and partially mixed) arise in narrow, shallow estuaries from the finite amplitude of the tide and the interaction of stratification with vertical mixing. Each type has a different dominant process causing the vertical exchange of salt and fresh water on the flood, and each gives rise to a characteristic residual circulation. The tidal circulation in highly stratified shallow estuaries, described herein, is the result of a finite amplitude internal motion driven by the barotropic tide; shear instabilities at the interface are the major vertical exchange mechanism. The residual circulation is caused primarily by ebb-flood asymmetry in interface position and thickness. A model based on our theoretical analysis shows that the interface thickness on flood is much less than the depth of flow up to a critical tidal amplitude at which the two-layer flow is destroyed, and correctly predicts the tidal amplitude of the neap-spring transition in the Columbia River Estuary. Tidal frequency internal wave motion is not found in weakly stratified and partially mixed estuaries. Because of the reduced tidal shear, shear instabilities are weak or absent, and the residual circulation assumes a very different character, as described in part 2. Title: Residual Circulation in Shallow Estuaries 1. Highly Stratified, Narrow Estuaries Author: Jay, David A., Smith, J. Dungan Year: 1990 Long-wave theory and simple turbulence closures have been used to show that three distinct types of circulation (highly stratified, weakly stratified, and partially mixed) arise in narrow, shallow estuaries from the finite amplitude of the tide and the interaction of stratification with vertical mixing. Each type has a different dominant process causing the vertical exchange of salt and fresh water on the flood, and each gives rise to a characteristic residual circulation. The tidal circulation in highly stratified shallow estuaries, described herein, is the result of a finite amplitude internal motion driven by the barotropic tide; shear instabilities at the interface are the major vertical exchange mechanism. The residual circulation is caused primarily by ebb-flood asymmetry in interface position and thickness. A model based on our theoretical analysis shows that the interface thickness on flood is much less than the depth of flow up to a critical tidal amplitude at which the two-layer flow is destroyed, and correctly predicts the tidal amplitude of the neap-spring transition in the Columbia River Estuary. Tidal frequency internal wave motion is not found in weakly stratified and partially mixed estuaries. Because of the reduced tidal shear, shear instabilities are weak or absent, and the residual circulation assumes a very different character, as described in part 2. Close

• 9. [Article] Maintaining Safe, Efficient and Sustainable Intermodal Transport Through the Port of Portland

  About $15 billion of freight passes annually through the Lower Columbia River (LCR) navigation channel to reach Portland and Vancouver, where most of it connects with land transport. This commerce plays ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Maintaining Safe, Efficient and Sustainable Intermodal Transport Through the Port of Portland Author: Jay, David A., Pan, Jiayi Year: 2011 About $15 billion of freight passes annually through the Lower Columbia River (LCR) navigation channel to reach Portland and Vancouver, where most of it connects with land transport. This commerce plays a vital role in sustaining the regional economy and connecting Oregon to the global economy. The timely connection of truck and rail transport with vessels is vital, especially for export traffic. This link is susceptible to disruption if water depths in the navigation channel are shallower than expected, leading to delays and/or draft limitations. Moreover, ship drafts have increased in recent decades, 25% of the vessels calling in the river sail with a draft close to the channel depth at low water, and these carry roughly 70% of the cargo. A large vessel may have as little as 0.6 m bed clearance when it passes through a low-tide point in the river, which each vessel in transit must do. Thus, prediction and real-time communication of water level to vessels is vital to safety as well as efficiency. This has been implemented through the LOADMAX system, consisting of telemetered water-level gauges and a forecast model. Moreover, the dilemma has been made more critical by changes in the river – low water levels in the river channel between Wauna and Vancouver have decreased 0.3-1.2 m since 1940. The rate of decrease depends on location and riverflow, but appears to have accelerated in the last decade. The reasons for this decrease are not understood. For perspective, an ongoing 0.9 m channel deepening will cost about $150 million when completed, so unintended decreases in water depths are expensive as well as potentially dangerous. Lower water levels in the river also increase carbon emissions, because smaller loads mean more land and vessel transport trips. Further, navigation and salmon habitat restoration are closely connected. Dredging is used to maintain the channel, and habitat restoration is an integral part of the channel deepening. New dredging strategies are needed to maintain the newly deepened channel, but dredging that removes material permanently from the river may, further lower water levels, limiting possibilities for habitat restoration and reducing bed clearance for large ships. These problems will be exacerbated by future decreases in summer river flows due to climate change. Title: Maintaining Safe, Efficient and Sustainable Intermodal Transport Through the Port of Portland Author: Jay, David A., Pan, Jiayi Year: 2011 About $15 billion of freight passes annually through the Lower Columbia River (LCR) navigation channel to reach Portland and Vancouver, where most of it connects with land transport. This commerce plays a vital role in sustaining the regional economy and connecting Oregon to the global economy. The timely connection of truck and rail transport with vessels is vital, especially for export traffic. This link is susceptible to disruption if water depths in the navigation channel are shallower than expected, leading to delays and/or draft limitations. Moreover, ship drafts have increased in recent decades, 25% of the vessels calling in the river sail with a draft close to the channel depth at low water, and these carry roughly 70% of the cargo. A large vessel may have as little as 0.6 m bed clearance when it passes through a low-tide point in the river, which each vessel in transit must do. Thus, prediction and real-time communication of water level to vessels is vital to safety as well as efficiency. This has been implemented through the LOADMAX system, consisting of telemetered water-level gauges and a forecast model. Moreover, the dilemma has been made more critical by changes in the river – low water levels in the river channel between Wauna and Vancouver have decreased 0.3-1.2 m since 1940. The rate of decrease depends on location and riverflow, but appears to have accelerated in the last decade. The reasons for this decrease are not understood. For perspective, an ongoing 0.9 m channel deepening will cost about $150 million when completed, so unintended decreases in water depths are expensive as well as potentially dangerous. Lower water levels in the river also increase carbon emissions, because smaller loads mean more land and vessel transport trips. Further, navigation and salmon habitat restoration are closely connected. Dredging is used to maintain the channel, and habitat restoration is an integral part of the channel deepening. New dredging strategies are needed to maintain the newly deepened channel, but dredging that removes material permanently from the river may, further lower water levels, limiting possibilities for habitat restoration and reducing bed clearance for large ships. These problems will be exacerbated by future decreases in summer river flows due to climate change. Close

• 10. [Article] Asymmetry of Tidal Plume Fronts in an Eastern Boundary Current Regime

  The Columbia River tidal plume or near-field is formed twice daily by the ebb outflow of the Columbia River. It is a part of a larger, anticyclonic plume bulge, which in turn is embedded in far-field plume ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Asymmetry of Tidal Plume Fronts in an Eastern Boundary Current Regime Author: Jay, David A., Pan, Jiayi, Orton, Philip M., Horner-Devine, Alexander R. Year: 2006 The Columbia River tidal plume or near-field is formed twice daily by the ebb outflow of the Columbia River. It is a part of a larger, anticyclonic plume bulge, which in turn is embedded in far-field plume and coastal waters. Because of the mixing caused directly and indirectly by plume fronts, the interaction of the tidal plume and bulge with the California Current upwelling regime plays a vital role in coastal productivity on the Oregon and Washington shelves. The tidal plume is initially supercritical with respect to the internal Froude number on all stronger ebbs. It is separated from the plume bulge by a front, whose properties are very different under upwelling vs. downwelling conditions. Under summer upwelling conditions, this front is sharp and narrow (only 50-100 m wide on its upwind or northern side) and marks a transition from supercritical to subcritical flow for 6-12 hours after high water. This sharp front is a source of turbulent mixing, despite the strong stratification. Because the tidal plume may overlie newly upwelled waters, these fronts can mix nutrients into the plume, enhancing primary productivity. Symmetry would suggest that there should be a sharp front south of the estuary mouth under summer downwelling conditions. Instead, the downwelling tidal plume front is usually broad (up to several km) and diffuse on the upstream side. Less mixing occurs, and the water immediately below the plume consists of old plume and surface ocean waters, both low in nutrients. There is also a second up-welling-downwelling asymmetry. Supercritical upwelling plume fronts often generate solitons trains as they slow and transition to a subcritical state. These soliton trains contribute to vertical mixing in the plume bulge and have a non-zero Stokes drift so that they transport low-salinity water across the tidal plume into the plume bulge. Under downwelling conditions, soliton forma-tion is uncommon. Moreover, solition formation almost always begins on the south side of the plume so that the front "unzips" from south to north. This implies that a frontal transition from supercritical to subcritical conditions first occurs on the south side tidal plume, regardless of whether this is the upwind or downwind side of the plume. This contribution describes and analyzes these two asymmetries using vessel data, SAR images and a vorticity analysis. Internal Froude number and plume depth are key parameters in distinguishing the upwelling and downwelling situations, and the observed asymmetries can be explained in terms of potential vorticity conservation. The tidal outflow embeds relative vorticity in the emerging tidal plume water mass. This vorticity controls the transition of the tidal plume front to a subcritical state and the timing and location of internal wave generation by plume fronts. Title: Asymmetry of Tidal Plume Fronts in an Eastern Boundary Current Regime Author: Jay, David A., Pan, Jiayi, Orton, Philip M., Horner-Devine, Alexander R. Year: 2006 The Columbia River tidal plume or near-field is formed twice daily by the ebb outflow of the Columbia River. It is a part of a larger, anticyclonic plume bulge, which in turn is embedded in far-field plume and coastal waters. Because of the mixing caused directly and indirectly by plume fronts, the interaction of the tidal plume and bulge with the California Current upwelling regime plays a vital role in coastal productivity on the Oregon and Washington shelves. The tidal plume is initially supercritical with respect to the internal Froude number on all stronger ebbs. It is separated from the plume bulge by a front, whose properties are very different under upwelling vs. downwelling conditions. Under summer upwelling conditions, this front is sharp and narrow (only 50-100 m wide on its upwind or northern side) and marks a transition from supercritical to subcritical flow for 6-12 hours after high water. This sharp front is a source of turbulent mixing, despite the strong stratification. Because the tidal plume may overlie newly upwelled waters, these fronts can mix nutrients into the plume, enhancing primary productivity. Symmetry would suggest that there should be a sharp front south of the estuary mouth under summer downwelling conditions. Instead, the downwelling tidal plume front is usually broad (up to several km) and diffuse on the upstream side. Less mixing occurs, and the water immediately below the plume consists of old plume and surface ocean waters, both low in nutrients. There is also a second up-welling-downwelling asymmetry. Supercritical upwelling plume fronts often generate solitons trains as they slow and transition to a subcritical state. These soliton trains contribute to vertical mixing in the plume bulge and have a non-zero Stokes drift so that they transport low-salinity water across the tidal plume into the plume bulge. Under downwelling conditions, soliton forma-tion is uncommon. Moreover, solition formation almost always begins on the south side of the plume so that the front "unzips" from south to north. This implies that a frontal transition from supercritical to subcritical conditions first occurs on the south side tidal plume, regardless of whether this is the upwind or downwind side of the plume. This contribution describes and analyzes these two asymmetries using vessel data, SAR images and a vorticity analysis. Internal Froude number and plume depth are key parameters in distinguishing the upwelling and downwelling situations, and the observed asymmetries can be explained in terms of potential vorticity conservation. The tidal outflow embeds relative vorticity in the emerging tidal plume water mass. This vorticity controls the transition of the tidal plume front to a subcritical state and the timing and location of internal wave generation by plume fronts. Close