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• 1. [Article] Affordable Housing Needs Study for the Portland Metropolitan Area Draft Final Report

  The purpose of this report is to respond to the recommendations of the Regional Housing Choice Task Force by providing information to guide housing choice policy for the Metro Council. In particular, the ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Affordable Housing Needs Study for the Portland Metropolitan Area Draft Final Report Author: Hough, George C., Jr., Martin, Sheila A., Mildner, Gerard C., Proehl, Risa S. Year: 2007 The purpose of this report is to respond to the recommendations of the Regional Housing Choice Task Force by providing information to guide housing choice policy for the Metro Council. In particular, the objectives of this project were to: estimate current and future affordable housing need for the Metro region; describe the distribution of households by income, age, and size across the metro region; describe the tenure of these households and the type of housing they will choose; identify and describe those household types that are most likely to struggle to meet the cost of housing based on their income; and make recommendations for improving analysis of affordable housing need in the future. Our approach to this task was to use output from the Metroscope model, using the base case scenario, to forecast the housing consumption decisions of households from 2005 to 2035. We chose the Metroscope model after also considering the State of Oregon?s Housing/Land Needs model. We concluded from examining the assumptions and abilities of each model that Metroscope is better able to offer the Metro Council the insight into the housing market required to inform housing choice policy. The Metroscope model incorporates housing supply and demand for the entire four-county metropolitan region (Multnomah, Washington, Clackamas, and Clark counties). The region comprises a single housing market; residents travel throughout the region to work, shop, and socialize. Thus, it makes little sense to examine any one county in isolation. While this report does not include the results for Clark County, its impact on demand and supply of housing in the rest of the region is taken into account in the Metroscope model and is reflected in the results presented here. Given the assumptions of the Metroscope model (described in Section 2), we address several questions, including: Where will household growth occur? What kinds of households will grow? What kinds of housing will these households live in? What percentage of their income will they pay for housing? What demographic groups are most cost-burdened and where do those households reside? This report offers a summary of the findings regarding each of these questions. Title: Affordable Housing Needs Study for the Portland Metropolitan Area Draft Final Report Author: Hough, George C., Jr., Martin, Sheila A., Mildner, Gerard C., Proehl, Risa S. Year: 2007 The purpose of this report is to respond to the recommendations of the Regional Housing Choice Task Force by providing information to guide housing choice policy for the Metro Council. In particular, the objectives of this project were to: estimate current and future affordable housing need for the Metro region; describe the distribution of households by income, age, and size across the metro region; describe the tenure of these households and the type of housing they will choose; identify and describe those household types that are most likely to struggle to meet the cost of housing based on their income; and make recommendations for improving analysis of affordable housing need in the future. Our approach to this task was to use output from the Metroscope model, using the base case scenario, to forecast the housing consumption decisions of households from 2005 to 2035. We chose the Metroscope model after also considering the State of Oregon?s Housing/Land Needs model. We concluded from examining the assumptions and abilities of each model that Metroscope is better able to offer the Metro Council the insight into the housing market required to inform housing choice policy. The Metroscope model incorporates housing supply and demand for the entire four-county metropolitan region (Multnomah, Washington, Clackamas, and Clark counties). The region comprises a single housing market; residents travel throughout the region to work, shop, and socialize. Thus, it makes little sense to examine any one county in isolation. While this report does not include the results for Clark County, its impact on demand and supply of housing in the rest of the region is taken into account in the Metroscope model and is reflected in the results presented here. Given the assumptions of the Metroscope model (described in Section 2), we address several questions, including: Where will household growth occur? What kinds of households will grow? What kinds of housing will these households live in? What percentage of their income will they pay for housing? What demographic groups are most cost-burdened and where do those households reside? This report offers a summary of the findings regarding each of these questions. Close

• 2. [Article] Housing Needs Study for the Portland Metropolitan Area Final Report

  The purpose of this report is to respond to the recommendations of the Regional Housing Choice Task Force by providing information to guide housing choice policy for the Metro Council. In particular, the ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Housing Needs Study for the Portland Metropolitan Area Final Report Author: Hough, George C., Jr., Martin, Sheila A., Mildner, Gerard C., Proehl, Risa Year: 2008 The purpose of this report is to respond to the recommendations of the Regional Housing Choice Task Force by providing information to guide housing choice policy for the Metro Council. In particular, the objectives of this project were to: Estimate current and future affordable housing need for the Metro region; Describe the distribution of households by income, age, and size across the metro region; Describe the tenure of these households and the type of housing they will choose; Identify and describe those household types that are most likely to struggle to meet the cost of housing based on their income; and Make recommendations for improving analysis of affordable housing need in the future. Our approach to this task was to use output from the Metroscope model, using the base case scenario, to forecast the housing consumption decisions of households from 2005 to 2035. We chose the Metroscope model after also considering the State of Oregon?s Housing/Land Needs model. We concluded from examining the assumptions and abilities of each model that Metroscope is better able to offer the Metro Council the insight into the housing market required to inform housing choice policy. The Metroscope model incorporates housing supply and demand for the entire four-county metropolitan region (Multnomah, Washington, Clackamas, and Clark counties). The region comprises a single housing market; residents travel throughout the region to work, shop, and socialize. Thus, it makes little sense to examine any one county in isolation. Given the assumptions of the Metroscope model (described in Section 2), we address several questions, including: Where will household growth occur? What kinds of households will grow? What kinds of housing will these households live in? What percentage of their income will they pay for housing? What demographic groups are most cost-burdened and where do those households reside? Title: Housing Needs Study for the Portland Metropolitan Area Final Report Author: Hough, George C., Jr., Martin, Sheila A., Mildner, Gerard C., Proehl, Risa Year: 2008 The purpose of this report is to respond to the recommendations of the Regional Housing Choice Task Force by providing information to guide housing choice policy for the Metro Council. In particular, the objectives of this project were to: Estimate current and future affordable housing need for the Metro region; Describe the distribution of households by income, age, and size across the metro region; Describe the tenure of these households and the type of housing they will choose; Identify and describe those household types that are most likely to struggle to meet the cost of housing based on their income; and Make recommendations for improving analysis of affordable housing need in the future. Our approach to this task was to use output from the Metroscope model, using the base case scenario, to forecast the housing consumption decisions of households from 2005 to 2035. We chose the Metroscope model after also considering the State of Oregon?s Housing/Land Needs model. We concluded from examining the assumptions and abilities of each model that Metroscope is better able to offer the Metro Council the insight into the housing market required to inform housing choice policy. The Metroscope model incorporates housing supply and demand for the entire four-county metropolitan region (Multnomah, Washington, Clackamas, and Clark counties). The region comprises a single housing market; residents travel throughout the region to work, shop, and socialize. Thus, it makes little sense to examine any one county in isolation. Given the assumptions of the Metroscope model (described in Section 2), we address several questions, including: Where will household growth occur? What kinds of households will grow? What kinds of housing will these households live in? What percentage of their income will they pay for housing? What demographic groups are most cost-burdened and where do those households reside? Close

• 3. [Article] Oregon's Changing Demographics 2000

  This is a report on Oregon's changing demographics in 2000.

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Oregon's Changing Demographics 2000 Author: Hough, George C., Jr., Portland State University. Population Research Center Year: 2000 This is a report on Oregon's changing demographics in 2000. Title: Oregon's Changing Demographics 2000 Author: Hough, George C., Jr., Portland State University. Population Research Center Year: 2000 This is a report on Oregon's changing demographics in 2000. Close

• 4. [Article] Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast, 2006-2015, Based on October 2005 Enrollments

  The Population Research Center has prepared district-wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Portland Public Schools (PPS) for the past 7 years. This year’s forecast relies on October 2005 ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast, 2006-2015, Based on October 2005 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Proehl, Risa S., Buelow, Vicky, Radin, Kenneth, Hough, George C., Jr., Rynerson, Charles Year: 2006 The Population Research Center has prepared district-wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Portland Public Schools (PPS) for the past 7 years. This year’s forecast relies on October 2005 PPS enrollment figures. It considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the October 2005 and 2015, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. The forecasts do not take into account local factors such as changing school programs or future school reorganizations that may have a significant effect on an individual school’s enrollment. It does consider PPS Board approved changes in attendance area boundaries and in schools’ grade configuration that were resolved prior to March 31, 2006. Forecasts were initially prepared for the District as a whole and for the students residing in the high school clusters and elementary school attendance areas. The students were then assigned to the schools they were predicted to attend yielding the Enrollment Forecasts for the individual schools in PPS. The school assignment was based on the current pattern of where the students live and the schools that they attend. Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast, 2006-2015, Based on October 2005 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Proehl, Risa S., Buelow, Vicky, Radin, Kenneth, Hough, George C., Jr., Rynerson, Charles Year: 2006 The Population Research Center has prepared district-wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Portland Public Schools (PPS) for the past 7 years. This year’s forecast relies on October 2005 PPS enrollment figures. It considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the October 2005 and 2015, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. The forecasts do not take into account local factors such as changing school programs or future school reorganizations that may have a significant effect on an individual school’s enrollment. It does consider PPS Board approved changes in attendance area boundaries and in schools’ grade configuration that were resolved prior to March 31, 2006. Forecasts were initially prepared for the District as a whole and for the students residing in the high school clusters and elementary school attendance areas. The students were then assigned to the schools they were predicted to attend yielding the Enrollment Forecasts for the individual schools in PPS. The school assignment was based on the current pattern of where the students live and the schools that they attend. Close

• 5. [Article] Enrollment Forecast (2006-2015) for Klamath Falls City Schools

  This report, prepared by the Population Research Center (PRC) provides a district-wide Enrollment Forecast, Enrollment Forecasts for individual schools, and demographic information for Klamath Falls City ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Enrollment Forecast (2006-2015) for Klamath Falls City Schools Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Proehl, Risa S., Buelow, Vicky, Hough, George C., Jr. Year: 2005 This report, prepared by the Population Research Center (PRC) provides a district-wide Enrollment Forecast, Enrollment Forecasts for individual schools, and demographic information for Klamath Falls City Schools (KFCS). The Enrollment Forecasts are developed for each grade for both the district-wide forecast and for the individual schools. KFCS offers education for students in grades kindergarten through 12. However, there is an area within its geographic boundary where not all public school students attend schools in KFCS. This area is referred to as the ‘overlap’ area. Students residing in the overlap area in grades 9-12 attend school in KFCS and those in grades K-8 attend schools in the adjacent Klamath County School District. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the October 2005 and 2015, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. Special consideration was given to where in the district future population and housing growth may occur. Title: Enrollment Forecast (2006-2015) for Klamath Falls City Schools Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Proehl, Risa S., Buelow, Vicky, Hough, George C., Jr. Year: 2005 This report, prepared by the Population Research Center (PRC) provides a district-wide Enrollment Forecast, Enrollment Forecasts for individual schools, and demographic information for Klamath Falls City Schools (KFCS). The Enrollment Forecasts are developed for each grade for both the district-wide forecast and for the individual schools. KFCS offers education for students in grades kindergarten through 12. However, there is an area within its geographic boundary where not all public school students attend schools in KFCS. This area is referred to as the ‘overlap’ area. Students residing in the overlap area in grades 9-12 attend school in KFCS and those in grades K-8 attend schools in the adjacent Klamath County School District. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the October 2005 and 2015, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. Special consideration was given to where in the district future population and housing growth may occur. Close

• 6. [Article] Centennial School District: Enrollment Forecast, 2004 to 2015

  The Population Research Center at Portland State University was asked by Centennial School District to provide Enrollment Forecasts for the District by grade level for the years 2004 to 2015. This report ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Centennial School District: Enrollment Forecast, 2004 to 2015 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Hough, George C., Jr. Year: 2006 The Population Research Center at Portland State University was asked by Centennial School District to provide Enrollment Forecasts for the District by grade level for the years 2004 to 2015. This report presents Enrollment Forecasts for the school district, as well as background information on the District, and the methods used for the forecast. Title: Centennial School District: Enrollment Forecast, 2004 to 2015 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Hough, George C., Jr. Year: 2006 The Population Research Center at Portland State University was asked by Centennial School District to provide Enrollment Forecasts for the District by grade level for the years 2004 to 2015. This report presents Enrollment Forecasts for the school district, as well as background information on the District, and the methods used for the forecast. Close

• 7. [Article] Population Forecast for Lane County, its Cities and Unincorporated Area 2008-2035

  This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Population Research Center (PRC) to address the long-range planning needs of Lane County and produce population forecasts at the county and ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Population Forecast for Lane County, its Cities and Unincorporated Area 2008-2035 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Proehl, Risa S., Hough, George C., Jr., Ru, Danan, Radin, Kenneth, Gilbert, Mark Year: 2009 This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Population Research Center (PRC) to address the long-range planning needs of Lane County and produce population forecasts at the county and sub-county level. This report considers recent and historical demographic changes experienced within the County and provides forecasts from 2008 to 2035 in 5-year intervals. Expected future populations that result from the most-likely demographic trends throughout Lane County are presented in this report. Title: Population Forecast for Lane County, its Cities and Unincorporated Area 2008-2035 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Proehl, Risa S., Hough, George C., Jr., Ru, Danan, Radin, Kenneth, Gilbert, Mark Year: 2009 This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Population Research Center (PRC) to address the long-range planning needs of Lane County and produce population forecasts at the county and sub-county level. This report considers recent and historical demographic changes experienced within the County and provides forecasts from 2008 to 2035 in 5-year intervals. Expected future populations that result from the most-likely demographic trends throughout Lane County are presented in this report. Close

• 8. [Article] Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2008-09, Based on October 2007 Enrollments

  The Enrollment Forecasts in this report were prepared in Spring 2008, based on historic enrollment data from Fall 2007 and previous years. However, the entire report was not ready for publication until ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2008-09, Based on October 2007 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Proehl, Risa, Lycan, Richard, Hough, George C., Jr. Year: 2009 The Enrollment Forecasts in this report were prepared in Spring 2008, based on historic enrollment data from Fall 2007 and previous years. However, the entire report was not ready for publication until after the Fall 2008 enrollment data became available. This preface briefly addresses the district-wide trends observed in Fall 2008 and evaluates the forecasts in the short term. The next report will include more analysis of enrollment trends with respect to area demographics and trends within sub-areas such as high school clusters. In Fall 2008, Portland Public Schools (PPS) enrolled 45,024 students in grades K-12, only 59 fewer students than in Fall 2007. This small loss (one tenth of one percent) extends the string of enrollment losses to 12 years, but is unlike the much larger losses of the previous 11 years. This year’s K-12 enrollment should be characterized as essentially stable compared with last year’s. Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2008-09, Based on October 2007 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Proehl, Risa, Lycan, Richard, Hough, George C., Jr. Year: 2009 The Enrollment Forecasts in this report were prepared in Spring 2008, based on historic enrollment data from Fall 2007 and previous years. However, the entire report was not ready for publication until after the Fall 2008 enrollment data became available. This preface briefly addresses the district-wide trends observed in Fall 2008 and evaluates the forecasts in the short term. The next report will include more analysis of enrollment trends with respect to area demographics and trends within sub-areas such as high school clusters. In Fall 2008, Portland Public Schools (PPS) enrolled 45,024 students in grades K-12, only 59 fewer students than in Fall 2007. This small loss (one tenth of one percent) extends the string of enrollment losses to 12 years, but is unlike the much larger losses of the previous 11 years. This year’s K-12 enrollment should be characterized as essentially stable compared with last year’s. Close

• 9. [Article] Reynolds School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2017-18

  Since 1997-98, Reynolds School District (RSD) overall K-12 enrollment has increased by 28 percent, from 8,452 students in 1997-98 to 10,815 in 2007-08, with most of the growth occurring between 1998-99 ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Reynolds School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2017-18 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Smith-Buani, Joseph, Hough, George C., Jr., Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2008 Since 1997-98, Reynolds School District (RSD) overall K-12 enrollment has increased by 28 percent, from 8,452 students in 1997-98 to 10,815 in 2007-08, with most of the growth occurring between 1998-99 and 2003-04. After one year with little enrollment change (2004-05), the district has added 452 students in the most recent three years. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the most likely scenario for future RSD enrollment is for slow growth in K-12 enrollment during the next five years until 2012-13, and slightly faster growth in the following five year period between 2012-13 and 2017-18. Title: Reynolds School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08 to 2017-18 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Smith-Buani, Joseph, Hough, George C., Jr., Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian Year: 2008 Since 1997-98, Reynolds School District (RSD) overall K-12 enrollment has increased by 28 percent, from 8,452 students in 1997-98 to 10,815 in 2007-08, with most of the growth occurring between 1998-99 and 2003-04. After one year with little enrollment change (2004-05), the district has added 452 students in the most recent three years. This report presents the results of a study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) concluding that the most likely scenario for future RSD enrollment is for slow growth in K-12 enrollment during the next five years until 2012-13, and slightly faster growth in the following five year period between 2012-13 and 2017-18. Close

• 10. [Article] Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08, Based on October 2006 Enrollments

  The Portland Public School District (PPS) enrolled 45,446 K-12 students in Fall 2006, a decrease of 676 students (1.5 percent) from Fall 2005. This was the second consecutive year that PPS lost about 700 ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08, Based on October 2006 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Proehl, Risa, Siu, Vivian, Lycan, Richard, Hough, George C., Jr. Year: 2007 The Portland Public School District (PPS) enrolled 45,446 K-12 students in Fall 2006, a decrease of 676 students (1.5 percent) from Fall 2005. This was the second consecutive year that PPS lost about 700 students, following three years of much steeper losses averaging over 1,500 annually between 2001-02 and 2004-05. Enrollment has fallen in each of the past 10 years, and the 2006-07 K-12 enrollment was 17 percent below its 1996-97 peak of 54,697. About half of the 10 year decline occurred during the 2001-02 to 2004-05 period, when the recession slowed regional employment growth but housing prices continued to rise. This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of new housing development on PPS enrollment, forecasts of district-wide enrollment for the 2007-08 to 2020-21 school years and forecasts by area of residence (high school clusters, school attendance areas) and by individual school for the years 2007-08 to 2015-16. Title: Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08, Based on October 2006 Enrollments Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Proehl, Risa, Siu, Vivian, Lycan, Richard, Hough, George C., Jr. Year: 2007 The Portland Public School District (PPS) enrolled 45,446 K-12 students in Fall 2006, a decrease of 676 students (1.5 percent) from Fall 2005. This was the second consecutive year that PPS lost about 700 students, following three years of much steeper losses averaging over 1,500 annually between 2001-02 and 2004-05. Enrollment has fallen in each of the past 10 years, and the 2006-07 K-12 enrollment was 17 percent below its 1996-97 peak of 54,697. About half of the 10 year decline occurred during the 2001-02 to 2004-05 period, when the recession slowed regional employment growth but housing prices continued to rise. This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of new housing development on PPS enrollment, forecasts of district-wide enrollment for the 2007-08 to 2020-21 school years and forecasts by area of residence (high school clusters, school attendance areas) and by individual school for the years 2007-08 to 2015-16. Close