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• 1. [Article] North Clackamas School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 to 2021-22

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: North Clackamas School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 to 2021-22 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Jurjevich, Jason R., Rancik, Kevin, Siu, Vivian Year: 2012 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the North Clackamas School District (NCSD) in recent years and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years. The District enrolled 17,280 students in Fall 2011, a decrease of 68 students (‐0.4 percent) from Fall 2010. Following the recent economic recession, which began in late 2008, enrollment has declined for NCSD in each of the last three consecutive years. This period of decline in the number of students stands in stark contrast to the preceding 22 consecutive years of K‐12 enrollment growth between 1986‐87 and 2008‐09. Title: North Clackamas School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 to 2021-22 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Jurjevich, Jason R., Rancik, Kevin, Siu, Vivian Year: 2012 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the North Clackamas School District (NCSD) in recent years and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years. The District enrolled 17,280 students in Fall 2011, a decrease of 68 students (‐0.4 percent) from Fall 2010. Following the recent economic recession, which began in late 2008, enrollment has declined for NCSD in each of the last three consecutive years. This period of decline in the number of students stands in stark contrast to the preceding 22 consecutive years of K‐12 enrollment growth between 1986‐87 and 2008‐09. Close

• 2. [Article] North Clackamas School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2013-14 to 2022-23

  This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: North Clackamas School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2013-14 to 2022-23 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Rancik, Kevin, Siu, Vivian Year: 2013 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the North Clackamas School District (NCSD) in recent years and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2013‐14 to 2022‐23 school years. After 22 consecutive years of enrollment growth between 1986‐87 and 2008‐09, total K‐12 enrollment in the North Clackamas School District has fallen for four consecutive years. The largest decline occurred between Fall 2011 and Fall 2012 as District enrollment, now 17,044, fell by 236 students. Over the four year period between 2008‐09 and 2012‐13, elementary (K‐5th) grades had a net loss of about six percent while middle (6th‐8th) grades lost about two percent and high school (9th‐12th) grades lost about three percent. Title: North Clackamas School District Population and Enrollment Forecasts 2013-14 to 2022-23 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Rancik, Kevin, Siu, Vivian Year: 2013 This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the North Clackamas School District (NCSD) in recent years and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2013‐14 to 2022‐23 school years. After 22 consecutive years of enrollment growth between 1986‐87 and 2008‐09, total K‐12 enrollment in the North Clackamas School District has fallen for four consecutive years. The largest decline occurred between Fall 2011 and Fall 2012 as District enrollment, now 17,044, fell by 236 students. Over the four year period between 2008‐09 and 2012‐13, elementary (K‐5th) grades had a net loss of about six percent while middle (6th‐8th) grades lost about two percent and high school (9th‐12th) grades lost about three percent. Close

• 3. [Article] Regional Water Providers Consortium Population, Housing Unit, and Household Estimates 1990 to 2013

  Water providers have an ongoing need for estimates and forecasts of the total population and the number of housing units and households within their service areas. While some of the water providers within ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Regional Water Providers Consortium Population, Housing Unit, and Household Estimates 1990 to 2013 Author: Rynerson, Charles, Rancik, Kevin Year: 2014 Water providers have an ongoing need for estimates and forecasts of the total population and the number of housing units and households within their service areas. While some of the water providers within Clackamas, Multnomah, and Washington counties have obtained this information periodically on an individual basis, a complete and systematic set of estimates and forecasts for all members of the Regional Water Providers Consortium has not been prepared for nearly 10 years. The Portland Water Bureau (PWB), on behalf of the Regional Water Providers Consortium, requested that the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) update service area boundaries and prepare population, housing unit, and household estimates and forecasts for the water service areas of the municipalities and water districts in the Consortium, as well as the wholesale customers of the PWB that are not Consortium members. This report includes a brief description of the procedures and methodologies used to update the boundaries and prepare estimates for each year from 1990 to 2013. The Appendix contains these estimates in detail for each provider. A future report will include population, housing unit, and household forecasts for each year from 2014 to 2045. Title: Regional Water Providers Consortium Population, Housing Unit, and Household Estimates 1990 to 2013 Author: Rynerson, Charles, Rancik, Kevin Year: 2014 Water providers have an ongoing need for estimates and forecasts of the total population and the number of housing units and households within their service areas. While some of the water providers within Clackamas, Multnomah, and Washington counties have obtained this information periodically on an individual basis, a complete and systematic set of estimates and forecasts for all members of the Regional Water Providers Consortium has not been prepared for nearly 10 years. The Portland Water Bureau (PWB), on behalf of the Regional Water Providers Consortium, requested that the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) update service area boundaries and prepare population, housing unit, and household estimates and forecasts for the water service areas of the municipalities and water districts in the Consortium, as well as the wholesale customers of the PWB that are not Consortium members. This report includes a brief description of the procedures and methodologies used to update the boundaries and prepare estimates for each year from 1990 to 2013. The Appendix contains these estimates in detail for each provider. A future report will include population, housing unit, and household forecasts for each year from 2014 to 2045. Close

• 4. [Article] Canby School District: Enrollment Forecast Update 2012-13 to 2021-22

  The Population Research Center (PRC) has prepared district‐wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Canby School District (CSD) annually for the past six years. This study includes forecasts ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Canby School District: Enrollment Forecast Update 2012-13 to 2021-22 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Rancik, Kevin Year: 2012 The Population Research Center (PRC) has prepared district‐wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Canby School District (CSD) annually for the past six years. This study includes forecasts of district‐wide enrollment for the 10 years from 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 and forecasts for individual schools for the five years from 2012‐13 to 2016‐17. The 10 year horizon of the district‐wide forecast enhances opportunities for school districts to coordinate long range planning with city and county comprehensive plans, which may extend for 20 or more years. Overall K‐12 enrollment is forecast to increase by 364 students (8 percent) in the next 10 years. K‐12 enrollment loss of three students (0.1 percent) is forecast for 2012‐13 and only moderate growth, averaging 0.8 percent, is forecast for the remaining nine years of the forecast. K‐6 enrollments begin to grow gradually after 2012‐13, but grades 7‐8 enrollments remain flat or decline until 2017‐18, begin to grow in between 2017‐18 and 2019‐20, and decline slightly in the last two years of the forecast horizon. High school enrollment changes very little throughout the 10 year forecast period. Title: Canby School District: Enrollment Forecast Update 2012-13 to 2021-22 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Rancik, Kevin Year: 2012 The Population Research Center (PRC) has prepared district‐wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Canby School District (CSD) annually for the past six years. This study includes forecasts of district‐wide enrollment for the 10 years from 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 and forecasts for individual schools for the five years from 2012‐13 to 2016‐17. The 10 year horizon of the district‐wide forecast enhances opportunities for school districts to coordinate long range planning with city and county comprehensive plans, which may extend for 20 or more years. Overall K‐12 enrollment is forecast to increase by 364 students (8 percent) in the next 10 years. K‐12 enrollment loss of three students (0.1 percent) is forecast for 2012‐13 and only moderate growth, averaging 0.8 percent, is forecast for the remaining nine years of the forecast. K‐6 enrollments begin to grow gradually after 2012‐13, but grades 7‐8 enrollments remain flat or decline until 2017‐18, begin to grow in between 2017‐18 and 2019‐20, and decline slightly in the last two years of the forecast horizon. High school enrollment changes very little throughout the 10 year forecast period. Close

• 5. [Article] Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 to 2021-22

  The main body of this report presents Oregon City School District (OCSD) district‐wide and individual school forecasts prepared by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the ...

  Citation × Citation Citation Abstract Copy Title: Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 to 2021-22 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Rancik, Kevin Year: 2012 The main body of this report presents Oregon City School District (OCSD) district‐wide and individual school forecasts prepared by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years. The forecasts were prepared in March, 2012, before the school board’s April 16 vote to close Mt. Pleasant and King Elementary Schools and move 6th grade to middle schools. Therefore, the school forecasts represent the status quo as of March, including forecasts for the closed schools and for middle schools consisting of 7th and 8th grade only. A complete report was not issued with the March forecasts, because PRC’s intention was to redistribute the district‐wide forecasts based on the new school boundaries upon receipt of digital boundary files reflecting the changes, and then base the report on the updated school forecasts. The OCSD school board approved new boundaries on May 14, 2012, but digital files in the ArcGIS shapefile format used by PRC were not available from Clackamas County GIS until October, 2012. Because the reconfiguration was complete by that time and the new school year had begun, it made no sense to redistribute the March forecasts that did not incorporate the latest district‐wide enrollment figures. Instead, an upcoming study will included district‐wide and individual school forecasts using Fall 2012 enrollments. Preliminary district‐wide forecasts based on Fall 2012 enrollments are included in this report. Title: Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 to 2021-22 Author: Portland State University. Population Research Center, Rynerson, Charles, Siu, Vivian, Rancik, Kevin Year: 2012 The main body of this report presents Oregon City School District (OCSD) district‐wide and individual school forecasts prepared by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the 2012‐13 to 2021‐22 school years. The forecasts were prepared in March, 2012, before the school board’s April 16 vote to close Mt. Pleasant and King Elementary Schools and move 6th grade to middle schools. Therefore, the school forecasts represent the status quo as of March, including forecasts for the closed schools and for middle schools consisting of 7th and 8th grade only. A complete report was not issued with the March forecasts, because PRC’s intention was to redistribute the district‐wide forecasts based on the new school boundaries upon receipt of digital boundary files reflecting the changes, and then base the report on the updated school forecasts. The OCSD school board approved new boundaries on May 14, 2012, but digital files in the ArcGIS shapefile format used by PRC were not available from Clackamas County GIS until October, 2012. Because the reconfiguration was complete by that time and the new school year had begun, it made no sense to redistribute the March forecasts that did not incorporate the latest district‐wide enrollment figures. Instead, an upcoming study will included district‐wide and individual school forecasts using Fall 2012 enrollments. Preliminary district‐wide forecasts based on Fall 2012 enrollments are included in this report. Close